Selaya vs Naval Reinosa• Tercera División RFEF - Group 3, Spain

#90.5:1.33-2FT04/100.5:2.5#16

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.65BTNX4.121XB25.651XBMargin at best2.6%Books4Markets37Rating66 · 34Exp. goals L52.4

Price board · 1X2captured 3 Oct 16:15 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	1.86	3.80	4.04	4.8%
Betano	1.83	3.45	3.95	8.9%
Pinnacle	1.79	3.28	4.11	10.7%
Bet365	1.75	3.40	3.90	12.2%
Best of all books	1.86	3.80	4.11	4.4%
Average	1.81	3.48	4.00	9.0%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

SelayaNaval Reinosa

Last 10#9Table position#161.40Points per game0.337Form pts · last 510.5Goals for · last 50.51.3Goals against · last 52.550Attack rating5067Defence rating3380Form rating200H2H rating0100Goals model066Overall rating34

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 4 Oct 11:01 UTC

Selaya

5W 3D 2L · goals 16:11 · per match 1.6 for, 1.1 against

26 Sep	A	Escobedo	1-2	L
20 Sep	H	Atlético Albericia	1-0	W
12 Sep	A	Tropezón	0-3	L
6 Sep	H	Castro	0-0	D
9 May	A	Atlético Albericia	4-2	W
3 May	H	Laredo	1-1	D
26 Apr	A	Bezana	2-1	W
18 Apr	H	Torina	2-0	W
12 Apr	A	Barquereño	2-2	D
3 Apr	H	Noja	3-0	W

Naval Reinosa

0W 1D 3L · goals 2:10 · per match 0.5 for, 2.5 against

26 Sep	H	Laredo	0-4	L
19 Sep	A	Bezana	2-3	L
13 Sep	H	Torina	0-3	L
5 Sep	A	Velarde	0-0	D

Head to head

No previous meetings between Selaya and Naval Reinosa on record.

Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 tableTercera: Group 3updated 10 Oct 19:21 UTC

In the Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 table, Selaya sit 9th with 7 points from 5 games, while Naval Reinosa are 16th with 2 points from 6.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Bezana	6	5	1	0	12:4	+8	16
2	Tropezón	5	5	0	0	11:2	+9	15
3	Laredo	5	4	0	1	12:2	+10	12
4	Revilla	6	3	2	1	13:8	+5	11
5	Vimenor	5	3	1	1	7:3	+4	10
6	Cayón	5	3	1	1	5:2	+3	10
7	Torina	5	2	3	0	8:2	+6	9
8	Sámano	5	2	2	1	12:6	+6	8
9	Selaya	5	2	1	2	5:7	-2	7
10	Atlético Mineros	5	2	0	3	4:11	-7	6
11	Castro	5	1	2	2	4:6	-2	5
12	Guarnizo	6	1	2	3	7:10	-3	5
13	Solares	6	1	2	3	5:8	-3	5
14	Escobedo	6	1	2	3	5:10	-5	5
15	Velarde	5	1	1	3	3:8	-5	4
16	Naval Reinosa	6	0	2	4	6:15	-9	2
17	Atlético Albericia	5	0	1	4	3:9	-6	1
18	Barquereño	5	0	1	4	2:11	-9	1

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg158%1.59X24%3.81218%5.10

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 2.6% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.81 → 1.59 -12.2%X3.48 → 3.81 +9.5%24.00 → 5.10 +27.5%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
1xBet	1.97	1.83	5.4%
Bet365	2.00	1.80	5.6%
Pinnacle	2.04	1.71	7.5%
Betano	1.95	1.75	8.4%
Best of all books	2.04	1.83	3.7%
Average	1.99	1.77	6.7%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.81	1.86	9.0%
Betano	1.80	1.80	11.1%
Best of all books	1.81	1.86	9.0%
Average	1.81	1.83	10.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Selaya 45%Draw 45%Naval Reinosa 10%

The statistical model rated Selaya at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Naval Reinosa at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.59 | 3.81 | 5.10, which imply roughly 62.9% for a Selaya win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 table: Selaya are 9th (7 pts, 5-7 goals), Naval Reinosa 16th (2 pts, 6-15).

Over their last five matches, Selaya averaged 0.5 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game; Naval Reinosa averaged 0.5 scored and 2.5 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Selaya or draw and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.81	3.48	4.00

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.19	1.88	1.24

Draw no bet

1	2
1.36	2.86

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.81	1.83

1st half

1	X	2
2.46	2.14	4.51

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.62	9.00	2.62

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.06	6.00
1.5	1.31	3.05
2.5	1.99	1.77
3.5	3.20	1.29
4.5	5.87	1.08

7 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1.75	1.37	2.75
2	1.53	2.37
2.25	1.79	2.01
2.75	2.25	1.54
3	2.86	1.36
3.25	3.10	1.33
3.75	4.15	1.16

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.25	2.85	1.36
-1	2.48	1.46
-0.75	2.01	1.69
-0.5	1.80	1.96
-0.25	1.55	2.25
0	1.32	2.97

6 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	6.80	1.04
-2	5.95	1.07
-1.75	4.10	1.16
-1.5	3.20	1.26
+0.25	1.25	3.41
+1	1.02	8.10

Latest Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 results

11 Oct	Cayón 0-0 Torina
4 Oct	Castro 0-2 Tropezón
27 Sep	Atlético Albericia 0-2 Solares
27 Sep	Tropezón 2-0 Revilla
26 Sep	Escobedo 2-1 Selaya