Aston Villa W vs Birmingham City W• WSL Cup, England

2.3:0.319:30Today · Keys Park, Hednesford2.7:2.0

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.83B365X4.33B36524.31PINMargin at best0.9%Books9Markets62Rating55 · 45Exp. goals L53.6

Price board · 1X2captured 28 Oct 06:00 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	1.66	4.10	4.20	8.4%
Betfair	1.62	4.20	4.20	9.3%
Pinnacle	1.68	4.00	3.87	10.4%
William Hill	1.70	3.75	4.00	10.5%
1xBet	1.64	4.05	4.00	10.7%
Betano	1.67	3.85	4.00	10.9%
Bet365	1.65	4.50	3.50	11.4%
Marathonbet	1.62	4.05	3.92	11.9%
BetVictor	1.57	3.50	3.60	20.0%
Best of all books	1.70	4.50	4.20	4.9%
Average	1.65	4.00	3.92	11.3%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Aston Villa WBirmingham City W

Last 1013Form pts · last 572.3Goals for · last 52.70.3Goals against · last 52.047Attack rating5386Defence rating1475Form rating2529H2H rating7149Goals model5155Overall rating45

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 27 Oct 18:31 UTC

Aston Villa W

5W 3D 2L · goals 16:15 · per match 1.6 for, 1.5 against

25 Oct	A	Everton W	3-2	W
21 Oct	A	Burnley W	2-0	W
18 Oct	H	Liverpool W	2-1	W
4 Oct	H	Crystal Palace W	1-1	D
30 Sep	H	Newcastle United W	3-1	W
27 Sep	A	Tottenham Hotspur W	0-4	L
23 Sep	A	Nottingham Forest W	2-0	W
20 Sep	A	Brighton W	1-1	D
13 Sep	H	Manchester City W	1-4	L
5 Sep	A	Chelsea W	1-1	D

Birmingham City W

2W 3D 5L · goals 17:19 · per match 1.7 for, 1.9 against

25 Oct	H	Charlton Athletic W	1-0	W
21 Oct	A	Durham W	5-0	W
17 Oct	A	Arsenal W	1-1	D
4 Oct	A	Everton W	1-2	L
30 Sep	H	Liverpool W	3-4	L
27 Sep	H	Crystal Palace W	3-3	D
23 Sep	A	Everton W	0-2	L
19 Sep	A	Chelsea W	0-2	L
13 Sep	H	Brighton W	2-2	D
6 Sep	A	Manchester City W	1-3	L

Head to head

1Aston Villa W wins

2draws

2Birmingham City W wins

5 meetings · goals 5:6 · last 5: 1W 2D 2L for Aston Villa W

21 Nov 2025WSL Cup	WSL Cup	Aston Villa W3-3Birmingham City W
8 May 2022FA WSL	FA WSL	Aston Villa W0-1Birmingham City W
14 Nov 2021FA WSL	FA WSL	Birmingham City W0-1Aston Villa W
28 Apr 2021FA WSL	FA WSL	Birmingham City W1-1Aston Villa W
15 Nov 2020FA WSL	FA WSL	Aston Villa W0-1Birmingham City W

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg155%1.65X22%4.03223%3.88

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 0.9% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.44	2.62	7.6%
Betfair	1.36	2.88	8.3%
Pinnacle	1.42	2.63	8.4%
1xBet	1.36	2.69	10.7%
Marathonbet	1.36	2.69	10.7%
BetVictor	1.35	2.18	19.9%
Best of all books	1.44	2.88	4.2%
Average	1.38	2.61	10.6%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.40	2.75	7.8%
William Hill	1.44	2.50	9.4%
Marathonbet	1.41	2.56	10.0%
BetVictor	1.33	2.20	20.6%
Best of all books	1.44	2.75	5.8%
Average	1.40	2.50	11.6%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Aston Villa W 45%Draw 45%Birmingham City W 10%

The statistical model rates Aston Villa W at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Birmingham City W at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.65 | 4.03 | 3.88, which imply roughly 60.6% for a Aston Villa W win versus the model's 45%.

Over their last five matches, Aston Villa W averaged 2.3 goals scored and 0.3 conceded per game; Birmingham City W averaged 2.7 scored and 2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Aston Villa W or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.65	4.00	3.92

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.18	2.04	1.16

Draw no bet

1	2
1.31	2.83

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.40	2.50

1st half

1	X	2
2.10	2.46	4.06

2nd half

1	X	2
1.95	2.86	3.88

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.51	14.4	28.3
HT X	4.90	7.13	9.94
HT 2	16.8	14.5	6.83

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.54	22.5	2.37

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	19.0
1.5	1.09	5.25
2.5	1.38	2.62
3.5	1.98	1.67
4.5	3.15	1.25
5.5	5.50	1.08

10 more lines

Line	Over	Under
2	1.11	4.85
2.25	1.24	3.34
2.75	1.46	2.31
3	1.58	2.06
3.25	1.78	1.80
3.75	2.22	1.50
4	2.61	1.36
4.25	2.71	1.31
4.75	3.50	1.22
5	5.35	1.09

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	2.50	1.39
-1.25	2.28	1.46
-1	2.04	1.61
-0.75	1.79	1.84
-0.5	1.68	1.96
-0.25	1.45	2.33

10 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	9.00	1.02
-3	8.50	1.01
-2.5	4.95	1.11
-2	4.25	1.15
-1.75	3.05	1.30
0	1.31	2.84
+0.25	1.23	3.42
+0.75	1.23	3.42
+1	1.03	7.60
+1.5	1.01	8.60

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
6.5	1.02	7.00
7.5	1.14	4.19
8.5	1.34	2.84
9.5	1.62	2.14
10.5	2.01	1.73
11.5	2.57	1.42
12.5	3.49	1.22
13.5	5.06	1.08

7 more lines

Line	Over	Under
7	1.03	6.45
8	1.18	3.78
9	1.43	2.54
10	1.79	1.97
11	2.31	1.52
12	3.18	1.27
13	4.69	1.11

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All WSL Cup fixtures and the table

Latest WSL Cup results

21 Oct	Charlton Athletic W 2-0 Bristol City W
21 Oct	Burnley W 0-2 Aston Villa W
21 Oct	Liverpool W 3-5 Manchester United W
21 Oct	Southampton W 3-2 Crystal Palace W
21 Oct	Everton W 2-0 Newcastle United W
21 Oct	Durham W 0-5 Birmingham City W