Burnley W vs Aston Villa W• WSL Cup, England

3.0:2.018:00Today · Turf Moor, Burnley2.5:0.5

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

111.8MARX6.251XB21.22B365Margin at best6.5%Books9Markets71Rating35 · 66Exp. goals L54.0

Price board · 1X2captured 21 Oct 12:57 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	11.0	6.20	1.21	7.9%
William Hill	11.0	5.50	1.20	10.6%
Bet365	10.0	5.25	1.22	11.0%
Pinnacle	9.77	6.21	1.18	11.1%
Betano	10.0	5.40	1.21	11.2%
Marathonbet	11.8	6.20	1.14	12.4%
1xBet	11.5	6.25	1.14	12.4%
Betfair	11.0	6.00	1.15	12.7%
BetVictor	8.00	4.60	1.17	19.7%
Best of all books	11.8	6.25	1.22	6.5%
Average	10.4	5.73	1.18	11.8%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Burnley WAston Villa W

Last 104Form pts · last 5103.0Goals for · last 52.52.0Goals against · last 50.538Attack rating6333Defence rating6733Form rating670H2H rating00Goals model10035Overall rating66

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 20 Oct 17:31 UTC

Burnley W

4W 2D 4L · goals 27:14 · per match 2.7 for, 1.4 against

18 Oct	H	Durham W	3-2	W
4 Oct	A	Nottingham Forest W	0-2	L
26 Sep	H	Bristol City W	0-0	D
18 Sep	A	Wolverhampton W	0-3	L
13 Sep	H	Sunderland W	1-2	L
4 Sep	A	Watford W	0-0	D
18 Jan	A	Manchester United W	0-5	L
14 Dec	H	Peterborough United W	7-0	W
23 Nov	H	Norwich City W	4-0	W
26 Oct	H	Blackburn Rovers W	12-0	W

Aston Villa W

3W 3D 4L · goals 12:18 · per match 1.2 for, 1.8 against

18 Oct	H	Liverpool W	2-1	W
4 Oct	H	Crystal Palace W	1-1	D
30 Sep	H	Newcastle United W	3-1	W
27 Sep	A	Tottenham Hotspur W	0-4	L
23 Sep	A	Nottingham Forest W	2-0	W
20 Sep	A	Brighton W	1-1	D
13 Sep	H	Manchester City W	1-4	L
5 Sep	A	Chelsea W	1-1	D
16 May	A	London City Lionesses W	1-2	L
9 May	H	Arsenal W	0-3	L

Head to head

No previous meetings between Burnley W and Aston Villa W on record.

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg19%10.4X16%5.73276%1.18

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.5% margin.

1X2 since open average price

19.57 → 10.4 +9.2%X5.28 → 5.73 +8.5%21.21 → 1.18 -2.5%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.50	2.50	6.7%
Betfair	1.44	2.60	7.9%
Pinnacle	1.41	2.63	8.9%
1xBet	1.40	2.56	10.5%
Marathonbet	1.40	2.56	10.5%
BetVictor	1.37	2.12	20.2%
Best of all books	1.50	2.63	4.7%
Average	1.42	2.49	10.5%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.95	1.75	8.4%
William Hill	1.95	1.75	8.4%
Marathonbet	1.95	1.71	9.8%
BetVictor	1.73	1.62	19.5%
Best of all books	1.95	1.75	8.4%
Average	1.90	1.71	11.3%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Burnley W 0%Draw 50%Aston Villa W 50%

The statistical model rates Burnley W at 0% to win, the draw at 50% and Aston Villa W at 50% — against average 1X2 odds of 10.45 | 5.73 | 1.18, which imply roughly 17.5% for the draw versus the model's 50%.

Over their last five matches, Burnley W averaged 3 goals scored and 2 conceded per game; Aston Villa W averaged 2.5 scored and 0.5 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Aston Villa W.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
10.4	5.73	1.18

Double chance

1X	X2	12
3.66	1.03	1.08

Draw no bet

1	2
6.17	1.05

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.90	1.71

1st half

1	X	2
8.57	2.75	1.55

2nd half

1	X	2
8.54	3.33	1.42

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	18.0	22.5	18.8
HT X	20.3	8.80	4.04
HT 2	75.5	21.5	1.69

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
4.03	18.8	1.23

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	17.0
1.5	1.10	4.73
2.5	1.42	2.50
3.5	2.06	1.62
4.5	3.27	1.23
5.5	5.90	1.07

9 more lines

Line	Over	Under
2	1.14	4.40
2.25	1.27	3.14
2.75	1.50	2.23
3	1.63	1.99
3.25	1.83	1.76
3.75	2.28	1.47
4	2.72	1.33
4.25	3.08	1.28
5	5.50	1.08

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
+1.25	2.48	1.42
+1.5	2.10	1.59
+1.75	1.92	1.72
+2	1.70	1.93
+2.25	1.55	2.17
+2.5	1.47	2.45

10 more lines

Line	Home	Away
+0.25	5.40	1.11
+0.5	3.70	1.26
+0.75	3.51	1.25
+1	3.23	1.28
+2.75	1.36	2.95
+3	1.23	3.63
+3.25	1.21	4.25
+3.5	1.16	4.30
+3.75	1.13	5.90
+4	1.04	7.10

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
6.5	1.03	6.46
7.5	1.17	3.92
8.5	1.38	2.70
9.5	1.67	2.08
10.5	2.03	1.71
11.5	2.70	1.38
12.5	3.73	1.19
13.5	5.49	1.06

7 more lines

Line	Over	Under
7	1.05	5.93
8	1.21	3.54
9	1.48	2.41
10	1.90	1.86
11	2.44	1.47
12	3.40	1.23
13	5.10	1.08

Latest WSL Cup results

18 Oct	Bristol City W 1-1 Southampton W
18 Oct	Newcastle United W 0-1 Sunderland W
18 Oct	Sheffield United W 0-0 Nottingham Forest W
18 Oct	Burnley W 3-2 Durham W
17 Oct	Watford W 2-2 Leicester City FC W
30 Sep	Brighton W 0-1 Tottenham Hotspur W