Liverpool W vs
Manchester United W• WSL Cup, England
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 21 Oct 12:57 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dafabet | 2.70 | 3.55 | 2.35 | 7.8% |
| Betfair | 2.50 | 3.60 | 2.38 | 9.8% |
| Pinnacle | 2.51 | 3.48 | 2.39 | 10.4% |
| Bet365 | 2.70 | 3.70 | 2.15 | 10.6% |
| Betano | 2.52 | 3.40 | 2.40 | 10.8% |
| 1xBet | 2.52 | 3.44 | 2.30 | 12.2% |
| Marathonbet | 2.52 | 3.44 | 2.30 | 12.2% |
| William Hill | 2.50 | 3.25 | 2.40 | 12.4% |
| BetVictor | 2.38 | 3.10 | 2.20 | 19.7% |
| Best of all books | 2.70 | 3.70 | 2.40 | 5.7% |
| Average | 2.54 | 3.44 | 2.32 | 11.6% |
Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 20 Oct 17:31 UTC
Liverpool W
4W 1D 5L · goals 21:19 · per match 2.1 for, 1.9 against
| 18 Oct | A | Aston Villa W | 1-2 | L |
| 3 Oct | A | Manchester United W | 0-1 | L |
| 30 Sep | A | Birmingham City W | 4-3 | W |
| 27 Sep | H | Everton W | 2-0 | W |
| 23 Sep | H | Sunderland W | 4-2 | W |
| 18 Sep | A | Manchester City W | 2-4 | L |
| 13 Sep | H | Tottenham Hotspur W | 1-1 | D |
| 6 Sep | A | Charlton Athletic W | 4-0 | W |
| 16 May | H | Arsenal W | 1-3 | L |
| 10 May | H | Brighton W | 2-3 | L |
Manchester United W
5W 2D 3L · goals 24:14 · per match 2.4 for, 1.4 against
| 18 Oct | A | Charlton Athletic W | 3-1 | W |
| 3 Oct | H | Liverpool W | 1-0 | W |
| 30 Sep | A | Durham W | 5-1 | W |
| 27 Sep | H | West Ham W | 2-1 | W |
| 23 Sep | H | Sheffield United W | 10-1 | W |
| 19 Sep | A | Arsenal W | 1-1 | D |
| 13 Sep | H | Chelsea W | 0-5 | L |
| 4 Sep | A | London City Lionesses W | 1-2 | L |
| 16 May | A | Chelsea W | 0-1 | L |
| 2 May | H | Brighton W | 1-1 | D |
Head to head
13 meetings · goals 10:25 · last 10: 3W 0D 7L for Liverpool W
| 3 Oct 2026FA WSL | FA WSL | Manchester United W1-0Liverpool W |
| 1 Feb 2026FA WSL | FA WSL | Manchester United W3-1Liverpool W |
| 28 Sep 2025FA WSL | FA WSL | Liverpool W0-2Manchester United W |
| 14 Mar 2025FA WSL | FA WSL | Liverpool W3-1Manchester United W |
| 8 Dec 2024FA WSL | FA WSL | Manchester United W4-0Liverpool W |
| 2 Oct 2024WSL Cup | WSL Cup | Manchester United W2-0Liverpool W |
| 5 May 2024FA WSL | FA WSL | Liverpool W1-0Manchester United W |
| 17 Dec 2023FA WSL | FA WSL | Manchester United W1-2Liverpool W |
| 22 Nov 2023WSL Cup | WSL Cup | Liverpool W0-1Manchester United W |
| 27 May 2023FA WSL | FA WSL | Liverpool W0-1Manchester United W |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.7% margin.
1X2 since open average price
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.65 | 2.20 | 6.1% |
| Pinnacle | 1.64 | 2.15 | 7.5% |
| 1xBet | 1.62 | 2.12 | 8.9% |
| Marathonbet | 1.62 | 2.12 | 8.9% |
| Betano | 1.62 | 2.07 | 10.0% |
| BetVictor | 1.51 | 1.86 | 20.0% |
| Best of all books | 1.65 | 2.20 | 6.1% |
| Average | 1.61 | 2.09 | 10.0% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 1.55 | 2.30 | 8.0% |
| Marathonbet | 1.51 | 2.29 | 9.9% |
| BetVictor | 1.40 | 2.05 | 20.2% |
| Best of all books | 1.55 | 2.30 | 8.0% |
| Average | 1.49 | 2.21 | 12.4% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates Liverpool W at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Manchester United W at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.54 | 3.44 | 2.32, which imply roughly 29.1% for the draw versus the model's 45%.
Over their last five matches, Liverpool W averaged 4 goals scored and 2.5 conceded per game; Manchester United W averaged 7.5 scored and 1 conceded.
Statistical advice: Combo Winner : Manchester United W and +4.5 goals (goal line signal: over 4.5 goals).
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.54 | 3.44 | 2.32 |
Double chance
| 1X | X2 | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.50 | 1.38 | 1.22 |
Draw no bet
| 1 | 2 |
|---|---|
| 1.89 | 1.69 |
Both teams to score
| Yes | No |
|---|---|
| 1.49 | 2.21 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 3.07 | 2.23 | 2.80 |
2nd half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.84 | 2.55 | 2.62 |
HT/FT
| HT / FT | FT 1 | FT X | FT 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| HT 1 | 4.40 | 14.2 | 23.3 |
| HT X | 6.77 | 5.70 | 5.90 |
| HT 2 | 26.0 | 14.3 | 3.65 |
First team to score
| Home | No Goal | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 2.00 | 15.4 | 1.82 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 1.03 | 13.0 |
| 1.5 | 1.15 | 3.87 |
| 2.5 | 1.61 | 2.09 |
| 3.5 | 2.46 | 1.40 |
| 4.5 | 4.27 | 1.11 |
| 5.5 | 6.80 | 1.04 |
8 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.75 | 1.19 | 3.78 |
| 2 | 1.25 | 3.10 |
| 2.25 | 1.42 | 2.41 |
| 2.75 | 1.74 | 1.85 |
| 3 | 1.97 | 1.64 |
| 3.25 | 2.22 | 1.50 |
| 3.75 | 2.80 | 1.31 |
| 4 | 3.98 | 1.17 |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -0.5 | 2.46 | 1.42 |
| -0.25 | 2.19 | 1.54 |
| 0 | 1.91 | 1.73 |
| +0.25 | 1.66 | 1.99 |
| +0.5 | 1.55 | 2.16 |
| +0.75 | 1.38 | 2.62 |
11 more lines
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 9.70 | 1.01 |
| -2 | 9.00 | 1.01 |
| -1.5 | 5.30 | 1.12 |
| -1.25 | 4.33 | 1.17 |
| -1 | 4.37 | 1.16 |
| -0.75 | 3.11 | 1.31 |
| +1 | 1.26 | 3.48 |
| +1.25 | 1.20 | 3.95 |
| +1.5 | 1.16 | 4.40 |
| +1.75 | 1.16 | 5.25 |
| +2.5 | 1.02 | 8.75 |
Corners 2-Way
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 5.5 | 1.02 | 7.02 |
| 6.5 | 1.15 | 4.06 |
| 7.5 | 1.37 | 2.71 |
| 8.5 | 1.69 | 2.07 |
| 9.5 | 2.09 | 1.67 |
| 10.5 | 2.83 | 1.34 |
| 11.5 | 4.03 | 1.16 |
| 12.5 | 6.14 | 1.04 |
7 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | 1.03 | 6.42 |
| 7 | 1.20 | 3.64 |
| 8 | 1.48 | 2.41 |
| 9 | 1.92 | 1.83 |
| 10 | 2.54 | 1.43 |
| 11 | 3.66 | 1.20 |
| 12 | 5.71 | 1.06 |