Newcastle United W vs Leicester City FC W• Women's Championship, England

#12.3:0.34-0FT27/09 · Gateshead International Stadium, Gateshead1.7:1.0#7

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.60B365X4.00BFR25.00BFRMargin at best7.5%Books4Markets40Rating64 · 36Exp. goals L52.6

Price board · 1X2captured 25 Sep 00:30 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Betfair	1.75	3.60	4.00	9.9%
1xBet	1.78	3.44	3.90	10.9%
Betano	1.83	3.30	3.80	11.3%
Marathonbet	1.76	3.44	3.80	12.2%
Best of all books	1.83	3.60	4.00	7.4%
Average	1.78	3.44	3.88	11.0%

Best price per column is highlighted. These prices were captured 2 days before kickoff and were not refreshed later; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Newcastle United WLeicester City FC W

Last 10#1Table position#73.00Points per game1.509Form pts · last 532.3Goals for · last 51.70.3Goals against · last 51.058Attack rating4275Defence rating2560Form rating400H2H rating00Goals model10064Overall rating36

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 20 Oct 17:31 UTC

Newcastle United W

5W 1D 4L · goals 17:9 · per match 1.7 for, 0.9 against

18 Oct	H	Sunderland W	0-1	L
4 Oct	A	Durham W	3-0	W
30 Sep	A	Aston Villa W	1-3	L
27 Sep	H	Leicester City FC W	4-0	W
20 Sep	H	Sheffield United W	4-1	W
12 Sep	A	Bristol City W	1-0	W
6 Sep	H	Wolverhampton W	2-0	W
2 May	H	Durham W	0-1	L
26 Apr	A	Bristol City W	1-2	L
5 Apr	H	Nottingham Forest W	1-1	D

Leicester City FC W

2W 1D 7L · goals 7:23 · per match 0.7 for, 2.3 against

4 Oct	A	Sunderland W	1-3	L
27 Sep	A	Newcastle United W	0-4	L
23 Sep	H	London City Lionesses W	0-2	L
20 Sep	H	Ipswich Town W	0-1	L
13 Sep	H	Durham W	4-2	W
6 Sep	A	Sheffield United W	1-0	W
23 May	A	Charlton Athletic W	0-0	D
16 May	A	Everton W	0-1	L
3 May	H	Chelsea W	1-3	L
29 Apr	A	Arsenal W	0-7	L

Head to head

No previous meetings between Newcastle United W and Leicester City FC W on record.

Women's Championship tableChampionship League Womenupdated 4 Oct 13:11 UTC

In the Women's Championship table, Newcastle United W sit 1st with 12 points from 4 games, while Leicester City FC W are 7th with 6 points from 4.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Newcastle United W	4	4	0	0	11:1	+10	12
2	Sunderland W	4	3	1	0	8:3	+5	10
3	Ipswich Town W	4	2	2	0	5:2	+3	8
4	Southampton W	4	1	3	0	4:2	+2	6
5	Wolverhampton W	4	2	0	2	7:6	+1	6
6	Nottingham Forest W	4	1	3	0	6:5	+1	6
7	Leicester City FC W	4	2	0	2	5:7	-2	6
8	Bristol City W	4	1	1	2	6:6	0	4
9	Sheffield United W	4	1	0	3	6:9	-3	3
10	Burnley W	4	0	2	2	1:5	-4	2
11	Watford W	4	0	2	2	4:9	-5	2
12	Durham W	4	0	0	4	5:13	-8	0

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg158%1.55X23%3.88219%4.81

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.5% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.78 → 1.56 -12.4%X3.45 → 3.86 +11.9%23.88 → 4.73 +21.9%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
1xBet	1.83	1.83	9.3%
Marathonbet	1.83	1.83	9.3%
Betano	1.82	1.82	9.9%
Best of all books	1.83	1.83	9.3%
Average	1.83	1.83	9.5%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Marathonbet	1.74	1.91	9.8%
Best of all books	1.74	1.91	9.8%
Average	1.74	1.91	9.8%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Newcastle United W 45%Draw 45%Leicester City FC W 10%

The statistical model rated Newcastle United W at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Leicester City FC W at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.55 | 3.88 | 4.81, which imply roughly 64.5% for a Newcastle United W win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Women's Championship table: Newcastle United W are 1st (12 pts, 11-1 goals), Leicester City FC W 7th (6 pts, 5-7).

Over their last five matches, Newcastle United W averaged 2.3 goals scored and 0.3 conceded per game; Leicester City FC W averaged 1.7 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Newcastle United W or draw and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.78	3.45	3.88

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.18	1.83	1.23

Draw no bet

1	2
1.36	2.67

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.74	1.91

1st half

1	X	2
2.34	2.14	4.42

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.57	11.8	2.50

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.01	9.90
1.5	1.24	3.34
2.5	1.83	1.83
3.5	3.08	1.28
4.5	6.50	1.08
5.5	11.0	1.01

9 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.01	8.40
1.75	1.30	2.97
2	1.39	2.59
2.25	1.61	2.09
2.75	2.07	1.63
3	2.46	1.43
3.25	2.78	1.34
3.75	3.80	1.19
4	5.15	1.10

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.25	2.85	1.34
-1	2.49	1.44
-0.75	1.99	1.66
-0.5	1.78	1.83
-0.25	1.55	2.17
0	1.33	2.83

7 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	6.55	1.05
-2	5.75	1.07
-1.75	4.00	1.17
-1.5	3.14	1.27
+0.25	1.25	3.28
+1	1.02	7.80
+1.5	1.01	8.70

Latest Women's Championship results

4 Oct	Bristol City W 2-1 Southampton W
4 Oct	Sunderland W 3-1 Leicester City FC W
4 Oct	Nottingham Forest W 2-0 Burnley W
4 Oct	Sheffield United W 1-2 Ipswich Town W
4 Oct	Durham W 0-3 Newcastle United W
27 Sep	Southampton W 1-1 Nottingham Forest W