Southampton W vs Nottingham Forest W• Women's Championship, England

#41.0:0.31-1FT27/09 · Southampton1.7:1.3#6

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.38BFRX3.40B36522.70BVCMargin at best8.5%Books4Markets36Rating56 · 44Exp. goals L52.1

Price board · 1X2captured 25 Sep 00:30 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Betfair	2.63	3.50	2.30	10.1%
1xBet	2.73	3.38	2.24	10.9%
Betano	2.72	3.30	2.27	11.1%
Marathonbet	2.66	3.38	2.22	12.2%
Best of all books	2.73	3.50	2.30	8.7%
Average	2.69	3.39	2.26	11.0%

Best price per column is highlighted. These prices were captured 2 days before kickoff and were not refreshed later; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Southampton WNottingham Forest W

Last 10#4Table position#61.50Points per game1.503Form pts · last 581.0Goals for · last 51.70.3Goals against · last 51.338Attack rating6380Defence rating2050Form rating5050H2H rating500Goals model056Overall rating44

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 20 Oct 17:31 UTC

Southampton W

3W 5D 2L · goals 17:12 · per match 1.7 for, 1.2 against

18 Oct	A	Bristol City W	1-1	D
4 Oct	A	Bristol City W	1-2	L
30 Sep	A	West Ham W	1-3	L
27 Sep	H	Nottingham Forest W	1-1	D
20 Sep	A	Sunderland W	0-0	D
13 Sep	H	Ipswich Town W	0-0	D
6 Sep	A	Durham W	3-1	W
2 May	A	Nottingham Forest W	3-0	W
26 Apr	H	Charlton Athletic W	2-2	D
3 Apr	H	Sheffield United W	5-2	W

Nottingham Forest W

4W 4D 2L · goals 12:12 · per match 1.2 for, 1.2 against

4 Oct	H	Burnley W	2-0	W
27 Sep	A	Southampton W	1-1	D
23 Sep	H	Aston Villa W	0-2	L
20 Sep	A	Durham W	2-1	W
13 Sep	H	Watford W	2-2	D
6 Sep	A	Ipswich Town W	1-1	D
2 May	H	Southampton W	0-3	L
26 Apr	A	Portsmouth W	1-0	W
5 Apr	A	Newcastle United W	1-1	D
29 Mar	H	Durham W	2-1	W

Head to head

1Southampton W wins

0draws

1Nottingham Forest W wins

2 meetings · goals 5:3 · last 2: 1W 0D 1L for Southampton W

2 May 2026Women's Championship	Women's Championship	Nottingham Forest W0-3Southampton W
2 Nov 2025Women's Championship	Women's Championship	Southampton W2-3Nottingham Forest W

Women's Championship tableChampionship League Womenupdated 4 Oct 13:11 UTC

In the Women's Championship table, Southampton W sit 4th with 6 points from 4 games, while Nottingham Forest W are 6th with 6 points from 4.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Newcastle United W	4	4	0	0	11:1	+10	12
2	Sunderland W	4	3	1	0	8:3	+5	10
3	Ipswich Town W	4	2	2	0	5:2	+3	8
4	Southampton W	4	1	3	0	4:2	+2	6
5	Wolverhampton W	4	2	0	2	7:6	+1	6
6	Nottingham Forest W	4	1	3	0	6:5	+1	6
7	Leicester City FC W	4	2	0	2	5:7	-2	6
8	Bristol City W	4	1	1	2	6:6	0	4
9	Sheffield United W	4	1	0	3	6:9	-3	3
10	Burnley W	4	0	2	2	1:5	-4	2
11	Watford W	4	0	2	2	4:9	-5	2
12	Durham W	4	0	0	4	5:13	-8	0

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg142%2.15X27%3.34231%2.88

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 8.5% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.69 → 2.34 -13.0%X3.39 → 3.29 -2.9%22.26 → 2.61 +15.5%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
1xBet	1.68	2.02	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.68	2.02	9.0%
Betano	1.67	1.95	11.2%
Best of all books	1.68	2.02	9.0%
Average	1.68	2.00	9.7%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Marathonbet	1.56	2.18	10.0%
Best of all books	1.56	2.18	10.0%
Average	1.56	2.18	10.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Southampton W 45%Draw 45%Nottingham Forest W 10%

The statistical model rated Southampton W at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Nottingham Forest W at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.15 | 3.34 | 2.88, which imply roughly 46.5% for a Southampton W win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Women's Championship table: Southampton W are 4th (6 pts, 4-2 goals), Nottingham Forest W 6th (6 pts, 6-5).

Over their last five matches, Southampton W averaged 1 goals scored and 0.3 conceded per game; Nottingham Forest W averaged 1.7 scored and 1.3 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Southampton W or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.69	3.39	2.26

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.52	1.37	1.24

Draw no bet

1	2
1.95	1.67

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.56	2.18

1st half

1	X	2
3.29	2.18	2.81

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.01	14.3	1.80

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.01	11.0
1.5	1.17	3.94
2.5	1.68	2.00
3.5	2.70	1.36
4.5	5.10	1.10
5.5	10.0	1.02

9 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	–	9.10
1.75	1.22	3.50
2	1.28	3.05
2.25	1.48	2.37
2.75	1.85	1.79
3	2.14	1.57
3.25	2.43	1.44
3.75	3.28	1.25
4	4.40	1.14

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	3.28	1.25
-0.25	2.31	1.50
0	2.00	1.68
+0.25	1.70	1.93
+0.75	1.38	2.62
+1	1.22	3.50

6 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	5.70	1.08
-1	4.70	1.12
+1.25	1.17	4.00
+1.5	1.14	4.45
+2	1.01	9.00
+2.5	1.01	8.50

Latest Women's Championship results

4 Oct	Bristol City W 2-1 Southampton W
4 Oct	Sheffield United W 1-2 Ipswich Town W
4 Oct	Nottingham Forest W 2-0 Burnley W
4 Oct	Sunderland W 3-1 Leicester City FC W
4 Oct	Durham W 0-3 Newcastle United W
27 Sep	Sheffield United W 4-1 Durham W