Durham W vs Newcastle United W• Women's Championship, England

#121.3:3.30-3FT04/10 · Maiden Castle, Durham2.8:0.3#1

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

19.50BVCX6.501XB21.28BTNMargin at best4.0%Books8Markets44Rating51 · 49 levelExp. goals L53.8

Price board · 1X2captured 3 Oct 14:09 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	12.0	6.89	1.22	4.8%
BetVictor	10.5	5.75	1.20	10.2%
Betfair	11.0	6.00	1.18	10.5%
Betano	8.75	5.10	1.25	11.0%
Pinnacle	8.24	6.06	1.21	11.3%
Bet365	7.50	5.25	1.25	12.4%
Marathonbet	10.0	5.90	1.17	12.4%
William Hill	9.50	5.00	1.22	12.5%
Best of all books	12.0	6.89	1.25	2.8%
Average	9.69	5.74	1.21	10.2%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Durham WNewcastle United W

Last 10#12Table position#10.00Points per game3.000Form pts · last 591.3Goals for · last 52.83.3Goals against · last 50.331Attack rating697Defence rating930Form rating10091H2H rating90Goals model10051Overall rating49

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 20 Oct 17:31 UTC

Durham W

2W 1D 7L · goals 13:27 · per match 1.3 for, 2.7 against

18 Oct	A	Burnley W	2-3	L
4 Oct	H	Newcastle United W	0-3	L
30 Sep	H	Manchester United W	1-5	L
27 Sep	A	Sheffield United W	1-4	L
20 Sep	H	Nottingham Forest W	1-2	L
13 Sep	A	Leicester City FC W	2-4	L
6 Sep	H	Southampton W	1-3	L
2 May	A	Newcastle United W	1-0	W
26 Apr	H	Sheffield United W	2-1	W
5 Apr	H	Bristol City W	2-2	D

Newcastle United W

5W 1D 4L · goals 17:9 · per match 1.7 for, 0.9 against

18 Oct	H	Sunderland W	0-1	L
4 Oct	A	Durham W	3-0	W
30 Sep	A	Aston Villa W	1-3	L
27 Sep	H	Leicester City FC W	4-0	W
20 Sep	H	Sheffield United W	4-1	W
12 Sep	A	Bristol City W	1-0	W
6 Sep	H	Wolverhampton W	2-0	W
2 May	H	Durham W	0-1	L
26 Apr	A	Bristol City W	1-2	L
5 Apr	H	Nottingham Forest W	1-1	D

Head to head

3Durham W wins

1draws

0Newcastle United W wins

4 meetings · goals 6:2 · last 4: 3W 1D 0L for Durham W

2 May 2026Women's Championship	Women's Championship	Newcastle United W0-1Durham W
9 Nov 2025Women's Championship	Women's Championship	Durham W1-1Newcastle United W
16 Mar 2025Women's Championship	Women's Championship	Durham W3-1Newcastle United W
6 Oct 2024Women's Championship	Women's Championship	Newcastle United W0-1Durham W

Women's Championship tableChampionship League Womenupdated 4 Oct 13:11 UTC

In the Women's Championship table, Durham W sit 12th with 0 points from 4 games, while Newcastle United W are 1st with 12 points from 4.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Newcastle United W	4	4	0	0	11:1	+10	12
2	Sunderland W	4	3	1	0	8:3	+5	10
3	Ipswich Town W	4	2	2	0	5:2	+3	8
4	Southampton W	4	1	3	0	4:2	+2	6
5	Wolverhampton W	4	2	0	2	7:6	+1	6
6	Nottingham Forest W	4	1	3	0	6:5	+1	6
7	Leicester City FC W	4	2	0	2	5:7	-2	6
8	Bristol City W	4	1	1	2	6:6	0	4
9	Sheffield United W	4	1	0	3	6:9	-3	3
10	Burnley W	4	0	2	2	1:5	-4	2
11	Watford W	4	0	2	2	4:9	-5	2
12	Durham W	4	0	0	4	5:13	-8	0

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg111%8.35X16%5.47273%1.24

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.0% margin.

1X2 since open average price

19.69 → 8.35 -13.8%X5.74 → 5.47 -4.7%21.21 → 1.24 +2.5%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
1xBet	1.45	2.65	6.7%
Bet365	1.44	2.62	7.6%
Betfair	1.44	2.60	7.9%
Pinnacle	1.34	2.92	8.9%
Marathonbet	1.39	2.59	10.6%
Best of all books	1.45	2.92	3.2%
Average	1.41	2.68	8.2%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.91	1.80	7.9%
BetVictor	1.80	1.90	8.2%
William Hill	1.75	1.91	9.5%
Marathonbet	1.84	1.80	9.9%
Best of all books	1.91	1.91	4.7%
Average	1.82	1.85	8.8%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Durham W 10%Draw 45%Newcastle United W 45%

The statistical model rated Durham W at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Newcastle United W at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 8.35 | 5.47 | 1.24, which imply roughly 18.3% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Women's Championship table: Durham W are 12th (0 pts, 5-13 goals), Newcastle United W 1st (12 pts, 11-1).

Over their last five matches, Durham W averaged 1.3 goals scored and 3.3 conceded per game; Newcastle United W averaged 2.8 scored and 0.3 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Newcastle United W.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
9.69	5.74	1.21

Double chance

1X	X2	12
3.61	1.04	1.09

Draw no bet

1	2
6.70	1.07

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.83	1.85

1st half

1	X	2
8.29	2.80	1.59

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
3.90	20.5	1.23

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.01	17.0
1.5	1.10	5.59
2.5	1.41	2.68
3.5	2.05	1.69
4.5	3.37	1.27
5.5	6.59	1.08

9 more lines

Line	Over	Under
2	1.13	4.50
2.25	1.27	3.34
2.75	1.45	2.44
3	1.57	2.21
3.25	1.83	1.86
3.75	2.26	1.52
4	2.72	1.37
4.25	2.98	1.33
5	5.05	1.10

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
+1.25	2.44	1.45
+1.5	2.10	1.62
+1.75	1.88	1.79
+2	1.73	2.00
+2.25	1.54	2.22
+2.5	1.45	2.44

6 more lines

Line	Home	Away
0	7.90	1.02
+0.75	3.50	1.22
+1	3.10	1.29
+2.75	1.32	2.88
+3	1.21	3.58
+3.5	1.15	4.25

Latest Women's Championship results

4 Oct	Bristol City W 2-1 Southampton W
4 Oct	Sunderland W 3-1 Leicester City FC W
4 Oct	Nottingham Forest W 2-0 Burnley W
4 Oct	Sheffield United W 1-2 Ipswich Town W
27 Sep	Southampton W 1-1 Nottingham Forest W
27 Sep	Sheffield United W 4-1 Durham W