Nottingham Forest W vs Burnley W• Women's Championship, England

#61.5:1.32-0FT04/10 · City Ground, Nottingham0.3:1.3#10

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.60BTNX4.581XB25.25BVCMargin at best3.4%Books8Markets43Rating62 · 38Exp. goals L52.2

Price board · 1X2captured 3 Oct 14:09 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	1.58	4.58	4.98	5.2%
Betfair	1.53	4.00	5.00	10.4%
BetVictor	1.53	4.00	5.00	10.4%
Pinnacle	1.49	4.51	4.72	10.5%
Betano	1.60	3.95	4.40	10.5%
Marathonbet	1.51	3.98	4.80	12.2%
William Hill	1.53	4.00	4.50	12.6%
Bet365	1.62	3.90	3.90	13.0%
Best of all books	1.62	4.58	5.00	3.6%
Average	1.55	4.12	4.66	10.3%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Nottingham Forest WBurnley W

Last 10#6Table position#101.50Points per game0.508Form pts · last 541.5Goals for · last 50.31.3Goals against · last 51.386Attack rating1450Defence rating5075Form rating2550H2H rating50100Goals model062Overall rating38

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 21:11 UTC

Nottingham Forest W

4W 4D 2L · goals 12:12 · per match 1.2 for, 1.2 against

4 Oct	H	Burnley W	2-0	W
27 Sep	A	Southampton W	1-1	D
23 Sep	H	Aston Villa W	0-2	L
20 Sep	A	Durham W	2-1	W
13 Sep	H	Watford W	2-2	D
6 Sep	A	Ipswich Town W	1-1	D
2 May	H	Southampton W	0-3	L
26 Apr	A	Portsmouth W	1-0	W
5 Apr	A	Newcastle United W	1-1	D
29 Mar	H	Durham W	2-1	W

Burnley W

4W 2D 4L · goals 27:14 · per match 2.7 for, 1.4 against

18 Oct	H	Durham W	3-2	W
4 Oct	A	Nottingham Forest W	0-2	L
26 Sep	H	Bristol City W	0-0	D
18 Sep	A	Wolverhampton W	0-3	L
13 Sep	H	Sunderland W	1-2	L
4 Sep	A	Watford W	0-0	D
18 Jan	A	Manchester United W	0-5	L
14 Dec	H	Peterborough United W	7-0	W
23 Nov	H	Norwich City W	4-0	W
26 Oct	H	Blackburn Rovers W	12-0	W

Head to head

1Nottingham Forest W wins

0draws

1Burnley W wins

2 meetings · goals 2:2 · last 2: 1W 0D 1L for Nottingham Forest W

8 Jan 2025FA Women's Cup	FA Women's Cup	Nottingham Forest W1-0Burnley W
5 Jan 2020FA Women's Cup	FA Women's Cup	Burnley W2-1Nottingham Forest W

Women's Championship tableChampionship League Womenupdated 4 Oct 13:11 UTC

In the Women's Championship table, Nottingham Forest W sit 6th with 6 points from 4 games, while Burnley W are 10th with 2 points from 4.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Newcastle United W	4	4	0	0	11:1	+10	12
2	Sunderland W	4	3	1	0	8:3	+5	10
3	Ipswich Town W	4	2	2	0	5:2	+3	8
4	Southampton W	4	1	3	0	4:2	+2	6
5	Wolverhampton W	4	2	0	2	7:6	+1	6
6	Nottingham Forest W	4	1	3	0	6:5	+1	6
7	Leicester City FC W	4	2	0	2	5:7	-2	6
8	Bristol City W	4	1	1	2	6:6	0	4
9	Sheffield United W	4	1	0	3	6:9	-3	3
10	Burnley W	4	0	2	2	1:5	-4	2
11	Watford W	4	0	2	2	4:9	-5	2
12	Durham W	4	0	0	4	5:13	-8	0

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg159%1.53X22%4.15219%4.79

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.4% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.55 → 1.53 -1.3%X4.12 → 4.18 +1.5%24.66 → 4.77 +2.4%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
1xBet	1.61	2.30	5.6%
Bet365	1.75	2.05	5.9%
Pinnacle	1.59	2.25	7.3%
Betfair	1.60	2.20	8.0%
BetVictor	1.60	2.20	8.0%
Marathonbet	1.59	2.17	9.0%
Betano	1.55	2.15	11.0%
Best of all books	1.75	2.30	0.6%
Average	1.61	2.19	7.7%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.65	2.10	8.2%
BetVictor	1.65	2.10	8.2%
William Hill	1.67	2.05	8.7%
Marathonbet	1.64	2.04	10.0%
Best of all books	1.67	2.10	7.5%
Average	1.65	2.07	8.8%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Nottingham Forest W 45%Draw 45%Burnley W 10%

The statistical model rated Nottingham Forest W at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Burnley W at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.53 | 4.15 | 4.79, which imply roughly 65.4% for a Nottingham Forest W win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Women's Championship table: Nottingham Forest W are 6th (6 pts, 6-5 goals), Burnley W 10th (2 pts, 1-5).

Over their last five matches, Nottingham Forest W averaged 1.5 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game; Burnley W averaged 0.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Nottingham Forest W or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.55	4.12	4.66

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.14	2.22	1.18

Draw no bet

1	2
1.25	3.57

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.65	2.07

1st half

1	X	2
2.08	2.37	4.89

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.44	15.5	2.75

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.01	13.0
1.5	1.15	4.52
2.5	1.61	2.19
3.5	2.54	1.46
4.5	4.39	1.16
5.5	8.68	1.02

8 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1.75	1.19	3.80
2	1.25	3.35
2.25	1.43	2.63
2.75	1.74	1.94
3	1.97	1.71
3.25	2.29	1.55
3.75	2.83	1.33
4	3.58	1.21

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	2.45	1.45
-1.25	2.18	1.58
-1	1.89	1.78
-0.75	1.71	2.00
-0.5	1.47	2.48
-0.25	1.35	2.78

8 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	8.80	1.02
-3	7.80	1.02
-2.5	4.40	1.14
-2	3.74	1.19
-1.75	2.93	1.32
0	1.20	3.70
+0.25	1.16	4.15
+1.5	1.02	8.75

Latest Women's Championship results

4 Oct	Bristol City W 2-1 Southampton W
4 Oct	Sunderland W 3-1 Leicester City FC W
4 Oct	Sheffield United W 1-2 Ipswich Town W
4 Oct	Durham W 0-3 Newcastle United W
27 Sep	Southampton W 1-1 Nottingham Forest W
27 Sep	Sheffield United W 4-1 Durham W