Foggia vs Sorrento• Serie C - Girone C, Italy

#130.6:1.42-0FT27/09 · Stadio Pino Zaccheria, Foggia1.6:0.8#3

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.46PINX3.13BVC23.02PINMargin at best5.7%Books5Markets43Rating31 · 69Exp. goals L52.2

Price board · 1X2captured 23 Sep 02:30 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Betano	2.37	3.05	3.00	8.3%
1xBet	2.29	3.04	2.92	10.8%
Bet365	2.30	3.00	2.90	11.3%
Betfair	2.30	3.00	2.90	11.3%
Marathonbet	2.27	3.04	2.84	12.2%
Best of all books	2.37	3.05	3.00	8.3%
Average	2.31	3.03	2.91	10.8%

Best price per column is highlighted. These prices were captured 4 days before kickoff and were not refreshed later; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

FoggiaSorrento

Last 10#13Table position#31.22Points per game2.007Form pts · last 560.6Goals for · last 51.61.4Goals against · last 50.827Attack rating7336Defence rating6414Form rating8650H2H rating5010Goals model9031Overall rating69

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 06:40 UTC

Foggia

3W 2D 5L · goals 10:12 · per match 1.0 for, 1.2 against

11 Oct	H	Potenza	1-3	L
4 Oct	A	Cosenza	2-0	W
27 Sep	H	Sorrento	2-0	W
20 Sep	A	Inter U23	2-3	L
15 Sep	H	Savoia	0-0	D
12 Sep	A	SS Monopoli	0-1	L
6 Sep	H	Audace Cerignola	0-2	L
29 Aug	H	Salernitana	1-1	D
24 Aug	A	Crotone	1-0	W
16 Aug	H	Team Altamura	1-2	L

Sorrento

7W 0D 3L · goals 15:10 · per match 1.5 for, 1.0 against

11 Oct	A	Scafatese	2-3	L
3 Oct	H	Casarano	2-0	W
27 Sep	A	Foggia	0-2	L
19 Sep	H	Bari	1-2	L
15 Sep	A	Cavese	3-2	W
12 Sep	H	AZ Picerno	1-0	W
5 Sep	A	Giugliano	2-0	W
2 Sep	H	Cosenza	1-0	W
29 Aug	H	Crotone	1-0	W
24 Aug	A	Salernitana	2-1	W

Head to head

3Foggia wins

2draws

3Sorrento wins

8 meetings · goals 12:9 · last 8: 3W 2D 3L for Foggia

10 Jan 2026Serie C - Girone C	Serie C - Girone C	Sorrento2-1Foggia
30 Aug 2025Serie C - Girone C	Serie C - Girone C	Foggia1-0Sorrento
9 Mar 2025Serie C - Girone C	Serie C - Girone C	Foggia2-1Sorrento
27 Oct 2024Serie C - Girone C	Serie C - Girone C	Sorrento2-1Foggia
10 Mar 2024Serie C - Girone C	Serie C - Girone C	Sorrento1-1Foggia
4 Nov 2023Serie C - Girone C	Serie C - Girone C	Foggia1-1Sorrento
4 Oct 2023Coppa Italia Serie C	Coppa Italia Serie C	Foggia5-0Sorrento
10 Nov 2019Serie D - Girone H	Serie D - Girone H	Foggia0-2Sorrento

Serie C - Girone C tableSerie C: Girone Cupdated 17 Oct 00:10 UTC

In the Serie C - Girone C table, Foggia sit 13th with 11 points from 9 games, while Sorrento are 3rd with 18 points from 9.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Potenza	9	7	1	1	24:12	+12	22
2	Bari	9	6	1	2	13:6	+7	19
3	Sorrento	9	6	0	3	14:10	+4	18
4	Catania	9	5	1	3	17:10	+7	16
5	Casertana	9	4	3	2	15:13	+2	15
6	Audace Cerignola	9	4	2	3	14:9	+5	14
7	Inter U23	8	4	1	3	16:13	+3	13
8	Scafatese	8	3	4	1	13:11	+2	13
9	Salernitana	9	3	4	2	12:10	+2	13
10	AZ Picerno	9	4	0	5	17:17	0	12
11	Cavese	9	3	3	3	15:15	0	12
12	SS Monopoli	9	3	3	3	7:7	0	12
13	Foggia	9	3	2	4	9:10	-1	11
14	Casarano	9	3	2	4	10:13	-3	11
15	Savoia	9	2	4	3	11:12	-1	10
16	Barletta	9	1	5	3	12:15	-3	8
17	Team Altamura	9	2	2	5	4:13	-9	8
18	Giugliano	9	2	1	6	12:22	-10	7
19	Cosenza	9	1	2	6	7:19	-12	5
20	Crotone	9	1	3	5	10:15	-5	0

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg138%2.40X30%2.97232%2.81

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.7% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.31 → 2.39 +3.5%X3.03 → 2.97 -2.0%22.91 → 2.82 -3.1%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.25	1.62	6.2%
Betano	2.22	1.62	6.8%
1xBet	2.17	1.59	9.0%
Marathonbet	2.17	1.59	9.0%
Best of all books	2.25	1.62	6.2%
Average	2.20	1.60	7.7%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Bet365	1.91	1.80	7.9%
Betano	1.90	1.80	8.2%
1xBet	1.87	1.80	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.87	1.77	10.0%
Best of all books	1.91	1.80	7.9%
Average	1.89	1.79	8.8%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Foggia 10%Draw 45%Sorrento 45%

The statistical model rated Foggia at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Sorrento at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.40 | 2.97 | 2.81, which imply roughly 33.7% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Serie C - Girone C table: Foggia are 13th (11 pts, 9-10 goals), Sorrento 3rd (18 pts, 14-10).

Over their last five matches, Foggia averaged 0.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; Sorrento averaged 1.6 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Sorrento.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.31	3.03	2.91

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.32	1.51	1.29

Draw no bet

1	2
1.66	2.10

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.89	1.79

1st half

1	X	2
3.00	1.96	3.70

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.90	7.35	2.20

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.06	7.03
1.5	1.38	2.71
2.5	2.20	1.61
3.5	3.90	1.20
4.5	7.35	1.05
5.5	10.6	1.02
6.5	21.0	–

12 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.05	6.60
1	1.07	5.95
1.25	1.22	3.50
1.75	1.48	2.39
2	1.64	2.07
2.25	1.91	1.77
2.75	2.52	1.44
3	3.20	1.26
3.25	3.50	1.22
3.75	4.90	1.11
4	6.90	1.04
4.25	7.30	1.03

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	2.73	1.39
-0.5	2.33	1.58
-0.25	1.98	1.74
0	1.66	2.08
+0.25	1.48	2.44
+0.5	1.39	2.91

10 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	10.5	1.01
-1.75	6.17	1.08
-1.5	4.70	1.14
-1.25	4.22	1.17
-1	3.77	1.21
+0.75	1.23	3.55
+1	1.11	5.38
+1.25	1.09	5.80
+1.5	1.08	6.30
+1.75	1.02	8.10