Bari vs Crotone• Serie C - Girone C, Italy

#21.2:0.60-0FTToday · Stadio San Nicola, Bari1.4:2.0#20

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.73BVCX3.50BVC24.90PINMargin at best6.8%Books6Markets84Rating65 · 35Exp. goals L52.6

Price board · 1X2captured 18 Oct 06:00 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	1.71	3.45	4.90	7.9%
BetVictor	1.73	3.50	4.50	8.6%
1xBet	1.70	3.36	4.47	11.0%
Bet365	1.70	3.40	4.33	11.3%
Marathonbet	1.68	3.36	4.35	12.3%
William Hill	1.67	3.20	4.60	12.9%
Best of all books	1.73	3.50	4.90	6.8%
Average	1.70	3.38	4.53	10.6%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

BariCrotone

Last 10#2Table position#202.00Points per game0.1010Form pts · last 541.2Goals for · last 51.40.6Goals against · last 52.046Attack rating5477Defence rating2371Form rating290H2H rating0100Goals model065Overall rating35

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 07:32 UTC

Bari

6W 2D 2L · goals 14:7 · per match 1.4 for, 0.7 against

10 Oct	H	Giugliano	2-0	W
4 Oct	A	Salernitana	1-2	L
26 Sep	H	Cosenza	1-0	W
19 Sep	A	Sorrento	2-1	W
15 Sep	H	Potenza	0-0	D
11 Sep	A	Team Altamura	3-0	W
5 Sep	H	Casarano	1-0	W
1 Sep	H	AZ Picerno	1-1	D
28 Aug	A	Barletta	0-3	L
21 Aug	H	Cavese	3-0	W

Crotone

1W 3D 6L · goals 10:17 · per match 1.0 for, 1.7 against

10 Oct	H	Audace Cerignola	2-3	L
3 Oct	A	Catania	1-2	L
26 Sep	H	Salernitana	2-1	W
20 Sep	A	SS Monopoli	2-2	D
15 Sep	H	Inter U23	0-2	L
12 Sep	A	Savoia	1-1	D
5 Sep	H	Barletta	2-2	D
29 Aug	A	Sorrento	0-1	L
24 Aug	H	Foggia	0-1	L
16 Aug	H	Cosenza	0-2	L

Head to head

No previous meetings between Bari and Crotone on record.

Serie C - Girone C tableSerie C: Girone Cupdated 18 Oct 18:41 UTC

In the Serie C - Girone C table, Bari sit 2nd with 20 points from 10 games, while Crotone are 20th with 1 points from 10.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Potenza	10	8	1	1	26:13	+13	25
2	Bari	10	6	2	2	13:6	+7	20
3	Sorrento	9	6	0	3	14:10	+4	18
4	Audace Cerignola	10	5	2	3	18:9	+9	17
5	Catania	10	5	1	4	18:12	+6	16
6	Cavese	10	4	3	3	20:17	+3	15
7	Casertana	9	4	3	2	15:13	+2	15
8	SS Monopoli	10	4	3	3	11:9	+2	15
9	Scafatese	9	3	5	1	15:13	+2	14
10	Salernitana	10	3	5	2	14:12	+2	14
11	Inter U23	9	4	1	4	18:17	+1	13
12	AZ Picerno	9	4	0	5	17:17	0	12
13	Foggia	9	3	2	4	9:10	-1	11
14	Casarano	10	3	2	5	12:18	-6	11
15	Team Altamura	10	3	2	5	7:14	-7	11
16	Savoia	10	2	4	4	11:16	-5	10
17	Barletta	9	1	5	3	12:15	-3	8
18	Giugliano	9	2	1	6	12:22	-10	7
19	Cosenza	10	1	2	7	8:22	-14	5
20	Crotone	10	1	4	5	10:15	-5	1

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg154%1.68X26%3.45220%4.64

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.8% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.44 → 1.70 +18.1%X3.90 → 3.38 -13.3%26.77 → 4.52 -33.2%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.97	1.84	5.1%
Bet365	1.95	1.85	5.3%
1xBet	1.89	1.78	9.1%
BetVictor	1.89	1.78	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.89	1.78	9.1%
Best of all books	1.97	1.85	4.8%
Average	1.92	1.81	7.5%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
BetVictor	1.83	1.85	8.7%
William Hill	1.85	1.83	8.7%
1xBet	1.82	1.85	9.0%
Bet365	1.83	1.83	9.3%
Marathonbet	1.82	1.82	9.9%
Best of all books	1.85	1.85	8.1%
Average	1.83	1.84	9.1%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Bari 45%Draw 45%Crotone 10%

The statistical model rated Bari at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Crotone at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.68 | 3.45 | 4.64, which imply roughly 59.5% for a Bari win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Serie C - Girone C table: Bari are 2nd (20 pts, 13-6 goals), Crotone 20th (1 pts, 10-15).

Over their last five matches, Bari averaged 1.2 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game; Crotone averaged 1.4 scored and 2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Bari or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.70	3.38	4.52

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.15	1.95	1.24

Draw no bet

1	2
1.28	3.37

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.83	1.84

1st half

1	X	2
2.29	2.14	4.97

2nd half

1	X	2
2.08	2.44	4.45

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.59	16.0	41.0
HT X	4.47	5.17	9.57
HT 2	24.3	16.1	7.60

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.56	9.10	2.72

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	8.60
1.5	1.28	3.30
2.5	1.92	1.81
3.5	3.23	1.29
4.5	6.32	1.08
5.5	12.5	1.02
6.5	15.0	1.01
7.5	21.0	–

12 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.02	7.68
1	1.04	7.10
1.25	1.15	4.25
1.75	1.34	2.88
2	1.45	2.49
2.25	1.68	2.03
2.75	2.16	1.61
3	2.58	1.42
3.25	2.91	1.33
3.75	3.85	1.18
4	5.20	1.10
4.25	5.55	1.08

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	2.99	1.34
-1.25	2.68	1.41
-1	2.32	1.54
-0.75	1.92	1.79
-0.5	1.71	2.07
-0.25	1.48	2.43

13 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	8.70	1.01
-3	8.10	1.02
-2.75	6.95	1.06
-2.5	5.80	1.09
-2.25	5.48	1.11
-2	5.05	1.13
-1.75	3.62	1.23
0	1.28	3.32
+0.25	1.23	3.73
+0.5	1.20	4.40
+0.75	1.10	5.60
+1	1.01	8.60
+1.5	1.02	8.90

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
5.5	1.05	5.93
6.5	1.21	3.56
7.5	1.45	2.47
8.5	1.86	1.84
9.5	2.31	1.51
10.5	3.18	1.27
11.5	4.72	1.10
12.5	7.26	1.01

21 more lines

Line	Over	Under
5.75	1.06	5.65
6	1.07	5.37
6.25	1.14	4.21
6.75	1.24	3.35
7	1.27	3.15
7.25	1.37	2.72
7.75	1.53	2.31
8	1.60	2.19
8.25	1.72	2.00
8.75	1.94	1.77
9	2.07	1.67
9.25	2.22	1.58
9.75	2.57	1.42
10	2.89	1.33
10.25	3.04	1.29
10.75	3.65	1.20
11	4.33	1.13
11.25	4.53	1.12
11.75	5.59	1.06
12	7.01	1.02
12.25	7.03	1.02

Next Serie C - Girone C matches

19 Oct

Giugliano – Foggia

All Serie C - Girone C fixtures and the table

Latest Serie C - Girone C results

18 Oct	Barletta 1-0 AZ Picerno
18 Oct	Sorrento 0-0 Casertana
18 Oct	Audace Cerignola 4-0 Savoia
18 Oct	Cavese 5-2 Casarano
18 Oct	Cosenza 1-3 Team Altamura
13 Oct	Giugliano 0-4 Inter U23