Cavese vs Casarano• Serie C - Girone C, Italy

#112.2:2.012:30Tomorrow · Stadio Simonetta Lamberti0.4:0.8#14

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.15BVCX3.40BVC23.33PINMargin at best6.0%Books6Markets80Rating62 · 38Exp. goals L52.7

Price board · 1X2captured 17 Oct 16:16 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	2.09	3.34	3.33	7.8%
BetVictor	2.15	3.40	3.10	8.2%
1xBet	2.08	3.15	3.21	11.0%
Marathonbet	2.06	3.15	3.12	12.3%
Bet365	2.05	3.30	3.00	12.4%
William Hill	2.10	3.10	3.00	13.2%
Best of all books	2.15	3.40	3.33	6.0%
Average	2.09	3.24	3.13	10.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

CaveseCasarano

Last 10#11Table position#141.33Points per game1.227Form pts · last 552.2Goals for · last 50.42.0Goals against · last 50.885Attack rating1529Defence rating7158Form rating4262H2H rating3885Goals model1562Overall rating38

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 07:32 UTC

Cavese

3W 3D 4L · goals 15:17 · per match 1.5 for, 1.7 against

12 Oct	A	Barletta	1-1	D
3 Oct	H	Casertana	2-0	W
26 Sep	H	Savoia	4-2	W
20 Sep	A	Potenza	2-4	L
15 Sep	H	Sorrento	2-3	L
12 Sep	A	Cosenza	0-0	D
6 Sep	A	Salernitana	1-1	D
28 Aug	H	Audace Cerignola	3-1	W
21 Aug	A	Bari	0-3	L
15 Aug	A	Campobasso FC	0-2	L

Casarano

3W 2D 5L · goals 10:14 · per match 1.0 for, 1.4 against

11 Oct	H	Salernitana	0-0	D
3 Oct	A	Sorrento	0-2	L
27 Sep	H	SS Monopoli	0-1	L
19 Sep	A	Savoia	1-1	D
15 Sep	H	Audace Cerignola	1-0	W
11 Sep	H	Barletta	3-1	W
5 Sep	A	Bari	0-1	L
28 Aug	H	Giugliano	4-3	W
21 Aug	A	Potenza	1-4	L
16 Aug	A	Bari	0-1	L

Head to head

2Cavese wins

2draws

1Casarano wins

5 meetings · goals 7:6 · last 5: 2W 2D 1L for Cavese

31 Jan 2026Serie C - Girone C	Serie C - Girone C	Cavese1-1Casarano
21 Sep 2025Serie C - Girone C	Serie C - Girone C	Casarano3-0Cavese
21 May 2023Serie D - Promotion - Play-offs	Serie D - Promotion - Play-offs	Cavese3-0Casarano
16 Apr 2023Serie D - Girone H	Serie D - Girone H	Casarano1-1Cavese
4 Dec 2022Serie D - Girone H	Serie D - Girone H	Cavese2-1Casarano

Serie C - Girone C tableSerie C: Girone Cupdated 17 Oct 00:10 UTC

In the Serie C - Girone C table, Cavese sit 11th with 12 points from 9 games, while Casarano are 14th with 11 points from 9.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Potenza	9	7	1	1	24:12	+12	22
2	Bari	9	6	1	2	13:6	+7	19
3	Sorrento	9	6	0	3	14:10	+4	18
4	Catania	9	5	1	3	17:10	+7	16
5	Casertana	9	4	3	2	15:13	+2	15
6	Audace Cerignola	9	4	2	3	14:9	+5	14
7	Inter U23	8	4	1	3	16:13	+3	13
8	Scafatese	8	3	4	1	13:11	+2	13
9	Salernitana	9	3	4	2	12:10	+2	13
10	AZ Picerno	9	4	0	5	17:17	0	12
11	Cavese	9	3	3	3	15:15	0	12
12	SS Monopoli	9	3	3	3	7:7	0	12
13	Foggia	9	3	2	4	9:10	-1	11
14	Casarano	9	3	2	4	10:13	-3	11
15	Savoia	9	2	4	3	11:12	-1	10
16	Barletta	9	1	5	3	12:15	-3	8
17	Team Altamura	9	2	2	5	4:13	-9	8
18	Giugliano	9	2	1	6	12:22	-10	7
19	Cosenza	9	1	2	6	7:19	-12	5
20	Crotone	9	1	3	5	10:15	-5	0

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg143%2.09X28%3.24229%3.13

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.0% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.46 → 2.09 -15.0%X3.07 → 3.24 +5.5%22.70 → 3.13 +15.9%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.81	2.01	5.0%
Bet365	1.75	2.05	5.9%
BetVictor	1.76	1.92	8.9%
1xBet	1.75	1.93	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.75	1.93	9.0%
Best of all books	1.81	2.05	4.0%
Average	1.76	1.97	7.5%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Bet365	1.67	2.10	7.5%
BetVictor	1.62	2.15	8.2%
1xBet	1.60	2.15	9.0%
William Hill	1.62	2.10	9.3%
Marathonbet	1.60	2.11	9.9%
Best of all books	1.67	2.15	6.4%
Average	1.62	2.12	8.8%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Cavese 45%Draw 45%Casarano 10%

The statistical model rates Cavese at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Casarano at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.09 | 3.24 | 3.13, which imply roughly 47.8% for a Cavese win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Serie C - Girone C table: Cavese are 11th (12 pts, 15-15 goals), Casarano 14th (11 pts, 10-13).

Over their last five matches, Cavese averaged 2.2 goals scored and 2 conceded per game; Casarano averaged 0.4 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Winner : Cavese.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.09	3.24	3.13

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.29	1.60	1.26

Draw no bet

1	2
1.56	2.27

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.62	2.12

1st half

1	X	2
2.69	2.15	3.69

2nd half

1	X	2
2.44	2.49	3.26

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.27	13.7	33.0
HT X	5.23	5.23	7.30
HT 2	26.3	14.5	5.20

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.77	11.9	2.14

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	10.4
1.5	1.21	3.81
2.5	1.76	1.97
3.5	2.81	1.37
4.5	5.43	1.11
5.5	9.50	1.03
6.5	13.0	1.01
7.5	21.0	–

14 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.01	8.98
1	–	9.00
1.25	1.10	5.10
1.75	1.26	3.34
2	1.35	2.87
2.25	1.56	2.26
2.75	1.95	1.74
3	2.29	1.53
3.25	2.51	1.45
3.75	3.42	1.23
4	4.60	1.13
4.25	4.95	1.11
4.75	6.85	1.04
5	8.20	1.02

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1	3.09	1.32
-0.75	2.43	1.48
-0.5	2.09	1.69
-0.25	1.82	1.90
0	1.55	2.32
+0.25	1.40	2.70

12 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	8.50	1.01
-2.25	8.80	1.01
-2	7.60	1.03
-1.75	5.06	1.12
-1.5	3.89	1.20
-1.25	3.48	1.25
+0.5	1.34	3.18
+0.75	1.20	3.88
+1	1.09	5.82
+1.25	1.07	6.26
+1.5	1.07	6.70
+2	1.01	9.70

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
5.5	1.04	6.19
6.5	1.19	3.74
7.5	1.42	2.56
8.5	1.82	1.88
9.5	2.24	1.55
10.5	3.07	1.29
11.5	4.53	1.12
12.5	7.09	1.01

21 more lines

Line	Over	Under
5.75	1.05	5.91
6	1.06	5.63
6.25	1.13	4.38
6.75	1.22	3.47
7	1.25	3.27
7.25	1.35	2.81
7.75	1.50	2.37
8	1.56	2.26
8.25	1.69	2.05
8.75	1.90	1.80
9	2.02	1.72
9.25	2.16	1.61
9.75	2.49	1.45
10	2.79	1.35
10.25	2.94	1.32
10.75	3.51	1.22
11	4.14	1.15
11.25	4.33	1.13
11.75	5.33	1.07
12	6.63	1.03
12.25	6.86	1.02