Giana Erminio vs Cittadella• Serie C - Girone A, Italy

#161.4:1.413:3008/11 · Stadio Citta di Gorgonzola, Gorgonzola1.2:0.8#1

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

14.60BFRX3.65DAF21.81PINMargin at best4.4%Books8Markets51Rating44 · 57Exp. goals L52.4

Price board · 1X2captured 5 Nov 21:45 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	4.27	3.52	1.81	7.1%
Dafabet	4.50	3.65	1.72	7.8%
Betfair	4.60	3.60	1.67	9.4%
Betano	4.35	3.50	1.72	9.7%
1xBet	4.36	3.35	1.72	10.9%
Bet365	4.33	3.50	1.67	11.5%
Marathonbet	4.25	3.35	1.70	12.2%
William Hill	4.00	3.10	1.75	14.4%
Best of all books	4.60	3.65	1.81	4.4%
Average	4.33	3.45	1.72	10.2%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Giana ErminioCittadella

Last 10#16Table position#10.92Points per game2.508Form pts · last 5121.4Goals for · last 51.21.4Goals against · last 50.854Attack rating4636Defence rating6447Form rating5350H2H rating5024Goals model7644Overall rating57

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 5 Nov 00:04 UTC

Giana Erminio

2W 5D 3L · goals 12:14 · per match 1.2 for, 1.4 against

31 Oct	H	Alcione	1-3	L
25 Oct	A	Desenzano Calvina	2-1	W
19 Oct	H	Union Brescia	2-1	W
11 Oct	A	Renate	2-2	D
4 Oct	A	Treviso	0-0	D
26 Sep	H	PRO Vercelli	1-1	D
20 Sep	A	Folgore Caratese	1-1	D
17 Sep	H	Trento	2-2	D
13 Sep	A	Lecco	0-1	L
6 Sep	H	Dolomiti Bellunesi	1-2	L

Cittadella

8W 0D 2L · goals 16:6 · per match 1.6 for, 0.6 against

1 Nov	H	Treviso	1-0	W
28 Oct	A	Union Brescia	2-1	W
24 Oct	A	Union Brescia	1-2	L
19 Oct	H	Arzignano Valchiampo	1-0	W
10 Oct	A	Novara	2-0	W
3 Oct	H	Albinoleffe	1-2	L
26 Sep	H	Lecco	3-0	W
20 Sep	A	Ospitaletto	1-0	W
17 Sep	H	Juventus U23	2-0	W
13 Sep	A	Athletic Carpi	2-1	W

Head to head

1Giana Erminio wins

0draws

1Cittadella wins

2 meetings · goals 2:2 · last 2: 1W 0D 1L for Giana Erminio

25 Apr 2026Serie C - Girone A	Serie C - Girone A	Cittadella0-2Giana Erminio
21 Dec 2025Serie C - Girone A	Serie C - Girone A	Giana Erminio0-2Cittadella

Serie C - Girone A tableSerie C: Girone Aupdated 6 Nov 06:10 UTC

In the Serie C - Girone A table, Giana Erminio sit 16th with 11 points from 12 games, while Cittadella are 1st with 30 points from 12.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Cittadella	12	10	0	2	19:6	+13	30
2	Union Brescia	12	7	4	1	23:9	+14	25
3	Trento	12	6	6	0	17:6	+11	24
4	Arzignano Valchiampo	12	6	3	3	17:12	+5	21
5	Ospitaletto	12	5	4	3	18:11	+7	19
6	Treviso	12	5	4	3	12:9	+3	19
7	Alcione	12	4	6	2	21:18	+3	18
8	Lecco	12	4	5	3	18:11	+7	17
9	Albinoleffe	12	4	5	3	19:17	+2	17
10	Pergolettese	12	4	5	3	12:12	0	17
11	Lumezzane	12	3	4	5	13:17	-4	13
12	Desenzano Calvina	12	3	4	5	10:14	-4	13
13	Novara	12	3	4	5	11:16	-5	13
14	PRO Vercelli	12	3	4	5	11:20	-9	13
15	Athletic Carpi	12	3	3	6	16:26	-10	12
16	Giana Erminio	12	2	5	5	13:17	-4	11
17	Juventus U23	12	2	5	5	12:19	-7	11
18	Dolomiti Bellunesi	12	2	4	6	8:18	-10	10
19	Renate	12	1	5	6	14:16	-2	8
20	Folgore Caratese	12	1	4	7	11:21	-10	7

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg121%4.33X26%3.45253%1.72

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.4% margin.

1X2 since open average price

14.70 → 4.33 -7.9%X3.53 → 3.45 -2.3%21.66 → 1.72 +3.6%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.92	1.88	5.3%
Bet365	1.95	1.85	5.3%
Betfair	2.00	1.80	5.6%
Betano	1.98	1.78	6.7%
1xBet	1.86	1.81	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.86	1.81	9.0%
Best of all books	2.00	1.88	3.2%
Average	1.93	1.82	6.8%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Bet365	1.91	1.80	7.9%
Betano	1.91	1.80	7.9%
1xBet	1.78	1.89	9.1%
William Hill	1.75	1.91	9.5%
Marathonbet	1.78	1.86	9.9%
Best of all books	1.91	1.91	4.7%
Average	1.83	1.85	8.8%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Giana Erminio 10%Draw 45%Cittadella 45%

The statistical model rates Giana Erminio at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Cittadella at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 4.33 | 3.45 | 1.72, which imply roughly 29% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Serie C - Girone A table: Giana Erminio are 16th (11 pts, 13-17 goals), Cittadella 1st (30 pts, 19-6).

Over their last five matches, Giana Erminio averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; Cittadella averaged 1.2 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Cittadella.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
4.33	3.45	1.72

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.98	1.16	1.24

Draw no bet

1	2
3.23	1.30

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.83	1.85

1st half

1	X	2
4.84	2.14	2.29

2nd half

1	X	2
4.40	2.46	2.07

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	7.80	15.9	25.0
HT X	9.45	5.15	4.35
HT 2	44.3	15.9	2.58

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.68	9.50	1.56

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	8.78
1.5	1.28	3.25
2.5	1.93	1.82
3.5	3.22	1.29
4.5	6.05	1.09
5.5	10.7	1.03
6.5	17.0	–
7.5	21.0	–

12 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.01	8.40
1	1.02	7.80
1.25	1.14	4.46
1.75	1.32	2.99
2	1.44	2.56
2.25	1.64	2.09
2.75	2.11	1.64
3	2.58	1.43
3.25	2.83	1.35
3.75	3.83	1.19
4	5.20	1.10
4.25	5.55	1.08

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
+0.25	2.37	1.51
+0.5	2.06	1.74
+0.75	1.78	1.94
+1	1.55	2.32
+1.25	1.41	2.65
+1.5	1.33	2.93

11 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	9.25	1.01
-1	8.80	1.01
-0.75	5.60	1.10
-0.5	4.40	1.20
-0.25	3.68	1.23
0	3.22	1.29
+1.75	1.22	3.66
+2	1.12	5.17
+2.25	1.10	5.60
+2.5	1.08	6.00
+2.75	1.05	7.60

Next Serie C - Girone A matches

6 Nov	Alcione – Lumezzane
6 Nov	Union Brescia – Arzignano Valchiampo
7 Nov	PRO Vercelli – Dolomiti Bellunesi
7 Nov	Pergolettese – Renate
7 Nov	Trento – Albinoleffe
8 Nov	Lecco – Juventus U23

All Serie C - Girone A fixtures and the table

Latest Serie C - Girone A results

2 Nov	Novara 1-0 Desenzano Calvina
2 Nov	Juventus U23 1-1 PRO Vercelli
1 Nov	Athletic Carpi 0-5 Renate
1 Nov	Lumezzane 1-1 Arzignano Valchiampo
1 Nov	Cittadella 1-0 Treviso
1 Nov	Dolomiti Bellunesi 0-4 Lecco