Novara vs Desenzano Calvina• Serie C - Girone A, Italy

#160.8:1.819:30Today · Stadio Silvio Piola, Novara1.2:1.4#11

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.19PINX3.20BVC23.61PINMargin at best4.6%Books9Markets63Rating39 · 61Exp. goals L52.6

Price board · 1X2captured 2 Nov 06:00 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	2.12	3.20	3.50	7.0%
Pinnacle	2.19	2.96	3.61	7.1%
BetVictor	2.10	3.20	3.40	8.3%
Betano	2.10	3.10	3.35	9.7%
Betfair	2.05	3.10	3.40	10.5%
1xBet	2.06	2.93	3.54	10.9%
Bet365	2.05	3.10	3.25	11.8%
Marathonbet	2.04	2.93	3.44	12.2%
William Hill	2.10	2.90	3.10	14.4%
Best of all books	2.19	3.20	3.61	4.6%
Average	2.09	3.05	3.40	10.1%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

NovaraDesenzano Calvina

Last 10#16Table position#110.91Points per game1.184Form pts · last 590.8Goals for · last 51.21.8Goals against · last 51.440Attack rating6044Defence rating5636Form rating640H2H rating036Goals model6439Overall rating61

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 2 Nov 00:10 UTC

Novara

2W 4D 4L · goals 8:13 · per match 0.8 for, 1.3 against

25 Oct	A	Arzignano Valchiampo	0-2	L
18 Oct	A	Albinoleffe	2-2	D
10 Oct	H	Cittadella	0-2	L
4 Oct	A	Dolomiti Bellunesi	2-1	W
26 Sep	H	Ospitaletto	0-2	L
20 Sep	H	Athletic Carpi	2-2	D
17 Sep	A	Lumezzane	0-0	D
13 Sep	H	Pergolettese	0-1	L
7 Sep	A	Renate	2-1	W
3 Sep	H	Livorno	0-0	D

Desenzano Calvina

4W 2D 4L · goals 10:12 · per match 1.0 for, 1.2 against

28 Oct	A	Dolomiti Bellunesi	1-0	W
25 Oct	H	Giana Erminio	1-2	L
18 Oct	A	Alcione	1-4	L
10 Oct	H	Dolomiti Bellunesi	2-0	W
3 Oct	A	Folgore Caratese	2-1	W
26 Sep	H	Juventus U23	0-0	D
21 Sep	A	Treviso	0-0	D
17 Sep	H	Lecco	1-3	L
13 Sep	A	Arzignano Valchiampo	2-1	W
6 Sep	A	Union Brescia	0-1	L

Head to head

No previous meetings between Novara and Desenzano Calvina on record.

Serie C - Girone A tableSerie C: Girone Aupdated 1 Nov 19:50 UTC

In the Serie C - Girone A table, Novara sit 16th with 10 points from 11 games, while Desenzano Calvina are 11th with 13 points from 11.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Cittadella	12	10	0	2	19:6	+13	30
2	Union Brescia	12	7	4	1	23:9	+14	25
3	Trento	12	6	6	0	17:6	+11	24
4	Arzignano Valchiampo	11	6	2	3	16:11	+5	20
5	Ospitaletto	12	5	4	3	18:11	+7	19
6	Treviso	12	5	4	3	12:9	+3	19
7	Alcione	12	4	6	2	21:18	+3	18
8	Lecco	12	4	5	3	18:11	+7	17
9	Albinoleffe	12	4	5	3	19:17	+2	17
10	Pergolettese	12	4	5	3	12:12	0	17
11	Desenzano Calvina	11	3	4	4	10:13	-3	13
12	Lumezzane	11	3	3	5	12:16	-4	12
13	Athletic Carpi	11	3	3	5	16:21	-5	12
14	PRO Vercelli	11	3	3	5	10:19	-9	12
15	Giana Erminio	12	2	5	5	13:17	-4	11
16	Novara	11	2	4	5	10:16	-6	10
17	Juventus U23	11	2	4	5	11:18	-7	10
18	Dolomiti Bellunesi	12	2	4	6	8:18	-10	10
19	Folgore Caratese	12	1	4	7	11:21	-10	7
20	Renate	11	0	5	6	9:16	-7	5

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg143%2.09X30%3.05227%3.40

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.6% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.01 → 2.09 +4.0%X3.10 → 3.05 -1.6%23.49 → 3.40 -2.6%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.05	1.75	5.9%
Pinnacle	2.18	1.66	6.1%
Betano	2.05	1.72	6.9%
Betfair	2.10	1.65	8.2%
BetVictor	2.04	1.67	8.9%
1xBet	2.05	1.66	9.0%
Marathonbet	2.05	1.66	9.0%
Best of all books	2.18	1.75	3.0%
Average	2.07	1.68	7.7%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.83	1.91	7.0%
Bet365	1.80	1.91	7.9%
Betano	1.78	1.93	8.0%
BetVictor	1.83	1.85	8.7%
1xBet	1.81	1.86	9.0%
William Hill	1.85	1.80	9.6%
Marathonbet	1.81	1.83	9.9%
Best of all books	1.85	1.93	5.9%
Average	1.82	1.87	8.6%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Novara 10%Draw 45%Desenzano Calvina 45%

The statistical model rates Novara at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Desenzano Calvina at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.09 | 3.05 | 3.40, which imply roughly 32.8% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Serie C - Girone A table: Novara are 16th (10 pts, 10-16 goals), Desenzano Calvina 11th (13 pts, 10-13).

Over their last five matches, Novara averaged 0.8 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game; Desenzano Calvina averaged 1.2 scored and 1.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Desenzano Calvina.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.09	3.05	3.40

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.26	1.64	1.30

Draw no bet

1	2
1.54	2.33

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.82	1.87

1st half

1	X	2
2.73	2.02	4.04

2nd half

1	X	2
2.47	2.32	3.56

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.39	14.5	39.3
HT X	4.99	4.44	7.28
HT 2	30.3	14.8	5.75

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.77	8.65	2.29

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.05	7.97
1.5	1.33	3.07
2.5	2.07	1.68
3.5	3.63	1.24
4.5	7.25	1.06
5.5	13.8	1.02
6.5	17.0	–
7.5	21.0	–

12 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.04	7.10
1	1.05	6.40
1.25	1.18	3.90
1.75	1.42	2.59
2	1.56	2.25
2.25	1.82	1.86
2.75	2.38	1.50
3	2.89	1.34
3.25	3.17	1.29
3.75	4.56	1.13
4	6.50	1.05
4.25	6.95	1.04

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1	3.24	1.29
-0.75	2.45	1.48
-0.5	2.10	1.69
-0.25	1.79	1.92
0	1.49	2.44
+0.25	1.35	2.91

11 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.25	8.50	1.01
-2	7.73	1.05
-1.75	5.33	1.11
-1.5	4.03	1.19
-1.25	3.57	1.23
+0.5	1.30	3.40
+0.75	1.16	4.42
+1	1.07	6.87
+1.25	1.05	7.47
+1.5	1.05	7.80
+1.75	1.01	8.80

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
6.5	1.08	5.25
7.5	1.24	3.32
8.5	1.51	2.37
9.5	1.86	1.87
10.5	2.38	1.51
11.5	3.16	1.27
12.5	4.54	1.12
13.5	6.97	1.02

7 more lines

Line	Over	Under
7	1.10	4.76
8	1.31	2.97
9	1.64	2.12
10	2.10	1.65
11	2.85	1.34
12	4.17	1.14
13	6.54	1.03

Next Serie C - Girone A matches

2 Nov

Juventus U23 – PRO Vercelli

All Serie C - Girone A fixtures and the table

Latest Serie C - Girone A results

1 Nov	Athletic Carpi 0-5 Renate
1 Nov	Lumezzane 1-1 Arzignano Valchiampo
1 Nov	Cittadella 1-0 Treviso
1 Nov	Dolomiti Bellunesi 0-4 Lecco
1 Nov	Folgore Caratese 0-4 Union Brescia
31 Oct	Giana Erminio 1-3 Alcione