Alcione vs Lumezzane• Serie C - Girone A, Italy

#72.2:1.419:30Today · Stadio Ferruccio, Seregno1.2:1.6#11

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.05DAFX3.50BVC23.41PINMargin at best6.7%Books9Markets63Rating62 · 39Exp. goals L53.2

Price board · 1X2captured 6 Nov 14:28 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	2.04	3.47	3.41	7.2%
Dafabet	2.05	3.45	3.40	7.2%
BetVictor	2.00	3.50	3.30	8.9%
Betano	1.95	3.40	3.40	10.1%
Betfair	2.00	3.40	3.25	10.2%
1xBet	1.96	3.30	3.38	10.9%
Marathonbet	1.94	3.30	3.30	12.2%
Bet365	1.95	3.30	3.25	12.4%
William Hill	2.00	3.10	3.25	13.0%
Best of all books	2.05	3.50	3.41	6.7%
Average	1.99	3.36	3.33	10.1%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

AlcioneLumezzane

Last 10#7Table position#111.50Points per game1.088Form pts · last 552.2Goals for · last 51.21.4Goals against · last 51.665Attack rating3553Defence rating4762Form rating3862H2H rating3867Goals model3362Overall rating39

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 4 Nov 06:01 UTC

Alcione

3W 5D 2L · goals 18:17 · per match 1.8 for, 1.7 against

31 Oct	A	Giana Erminio	3-1	W
24 Oct	H	Athletic Carpi	1-2	L
18 Oct	H	Desenzano Calvina	4-1	W
11 Oct	A	Lecco	1-1	D
4 Oct	H	Trento	2-2	D
27 Sep	A	Albinoleffe	1-1	D
20 Sep	H	Union Brescia	0-4	L
17 Sep	A	PRO Vercelli	2-2	D
13 Sep	A	Folgore Caratese	3-2	W
7 Sep	H	Treviso	1-1	D

Lumezzane

2W 4D 4L · goals 11:15 · per match 1.1 for, 1.5 against

1 Nov	H	Arzignano Valchiampo	1-1	D
25 Oct	A	Pergolettese	1-2	L
17 Oct	A	Athletic Carpi	1-3	L
13 Oct	A	Juventus U23	0-0	D
10 Oct	H	Albinoleffe	3-2	W
3 Oct	A	Inter	0-2	L
26 Sep	H	Folgore Caratese	1-2	L
21 Sep	A	Dolomiti Bellunesi	2-1	W
17 Sep	H	Novara	0-0	D
13 Sep	H	Renate	2-2	D

Head to head

3Alcione wins

2draws

2Lumezzane wins

7 meetings · goals 5:5 · last 7: 3W 2D 2L for Alcione

3 May 2026Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs	Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs	Lumezzane0-0Alcione
17 Jan 2026Serie C - Girone A	Serie C - Girone A	Lumezzane1-0Alcione
6 Sep 2025Serie C - Girone A	Serie C - Girone A	Alcione1-0Lumezzane
9 Mar 2025Serie C - Girone A	Serie C - Girone A	Lumezzane1-1Alcione
26 Oct 2024Serie C - Girone A	Serie C - Girone A	Alcione1-0Lumezzane
5 Feb 2023Serie D - Girone B	Serie D - Girone B	Alcione1-0Lumezzane
2 Oct 2022Serie D - Girone B	Serie D - Girone B	Lumezzane3-1Alcione

Serie C - Girone A tableSerie C: Girone Aupdated 6 Nov 06:10 UTC

In the Serie C - Girone A table, Alcione sit 7th with 18 points from 12 games, while Lumezzane are 11th with 13 points from 12.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Cittadella	12	10	0	2	19:6	+13	30
2	Union Brescia	12	7	4	1	23:9	+14	25
3	Trento	12	6	6	0	17:6	+11	24
4	Arzignano Valchiampo	12	6	3	3	17:12	+5	21
5	Ospitaletto	12	5	4	3	18:11	+7	19
6	Treviso	12	5	4	3	12:9	+3	19
7	Alcione	12	4	6	2	21:18	+3	18
8	Lecco	12	4	5	3	18:11	+7	17
9	Albinoleffe	12	4	5	3	19:17	+2	17
10	Pergolettese	12	4	5	3	12:12	0	17
11	Lumezzane	12	3	4	5	13:17	-4	13
12	Desenzano Calvina	12	3	4	5	10:14	-4	13
13	Novara	12	3	4	5	11:16	-5	13
14	PRO Vercelli	12	3	4	5	11:20	-9	13
15	Athletic Carpi	12	3	3	6	16:26	-10	12
16	Giana Erminio	12	2	5	5	13:17	-4	11
17	Juventus U23	12	2	5	5	12:19	-7	11
18	Dolomiti Bellunesi	12	2	4	6	8:18	-10	10
19	Renate	12	1	5	6	14:16	-2	8
20	Folgore Caratese	12	1	4	7	11:21	-10	7

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg146%1.99X27%3.36227%3.33

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.7% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.07 → 1.99 -3.9%X3.28 → 3.36 +2.4%23.14 → 3.33 +6.1%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.81	2.00	5.2%
Bet365	1.80	2.00	5.6%
Betano	1.78	1.98	6.7%
Betfair	1.80	1.91	7.9%
BetVictor	1.76	1.92	8.9%
1xBet	1.75	1.93	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.75	1.93	9.0%
Best of all books	1.81	2.00	5.2%
Average	1.78	1.95	7.4%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.67	2.15	6.4%
Bet365	1.67	2.10	7.5%
Betano	1.65	2.10	8.2%
BetVictor	1.65	2.10	8.2%
1xBet	1.63	2.10	9.0%
William Hill	1.62	2.10	9.3%
Marathonbet	1.63	2.06	9.9%
Best of all books	1.67	2.15	6.4%
Average	1.65	2.10	8.4%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Alcione 45%Draw 45%Lumezzane 10%

The statistical model rates Alcione at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Lumezzane at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.99 | 3.36 | 3.33, which imply roughly 50.3% for a Alcione win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Serie C - Girone A table: Alcione are 7th (18 pts, 21-18 goals), Lumezzane 11th (13 pts, 13-17).

Over their last five matches, Alcione averaged 2.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; Lumezzane averaged 1.2 scored and 1.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Alcione or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.99	3.36	3.33

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.26	1.70	1.25

Draw no bet

1	2
1.49	2.46

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.65	2.10

1st half

1	X	2
2.56	2.18	3.88

2nd half

1	X	2
2.32	2.51	3.52

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.15	13.3	30.4
HT X	5.05	5.40	7.62
HT 2	22.6	13.8	5.56

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.72	10.6	2.28

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	9.92
1.5	1.24	3.64
2.5	1.78	1.95
3.5	2.93	1.35
4.5	5.32	1.12
5.5	9.82	1.04
6.5	12.2	1.01
7.5	21.0	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.01	8.68
1	1.02	8.10
1.25	1.12	4.81
1.75	1.28	3.22
2	1.36	2.82
2.25	1.56	2.24
2.75	1.96	1.74
3	2.29	1.54
3.25	2.57	1.43
3.75	3.35	1.25
4	4.40	1.14
4.25	4.75	1.12
5	8.70	1.01

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1	2.83	1.37
-0.75	2.29	1.55
-0.5	2.00	1.77
-0.25	1.73	2.00
0	1.47	2.48
+0.25	1.36	2.86

11 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	6.85	1.04
-2	6.37	1.07
-1.75	4.43	1.16
-1.5	3.50	1.24
-1.25	3.21	1.30
+0.5	1.32	3.29
+0.75	1.18	4.12
+1	1.08	6.08
+1.25	1.07	6.47
+1.5	1.07	6.62
+1.75	1.01	8.70

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
5.5	1.04	6.09
6.5	1.20	3.62
7.5	1.45	2.51
8.5	1.81	1.93
9.5	2.33	1.53
10.5	3.14	1.27
11.5	4.60	1.11
12.5	7.24	1.01

7 more lines

Line	Over	Under
6	1.06	5.52
7	1.26	3.22
8	1.58	2.20
9	2.06	1.68
10	2.82	1.34
11	4.21	1.14
12	6.77	1.02

Next Serie C - Girone A matches

6 Nov	Union Brescia – Arzignano Valchiampo
7 Nov	PRO Vercelli – Dolomiti Bellunesi
7 Nov	Pergolettese – Renate
7 Nov	Trento – Albinoleffe
8 Nov	Giana Erminio – Cittadella
8 Nov	Lecco – Juventus U23

All Serie C - Girone A fixtures and the table

Latest Serie C - Girone A results

2 Nov	Novara 1-0 Desenzano Calvina
2 Nov	Juventus U23 1-1 PRO Vercelli
1 Nov	Athletic Carpi 0-5 Renate
1 Nov	Lumezzane 1-1 Arzignano Valchiampo
1 Nov	Cittadella 1-0 Treviso
1 Nov	Dolomiti Bellunesi 0-4 Lecco