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Manchester City W vs Brighton W• FA WSL, England

#13.2:1.23-2FT18/10 · Manchester Regional Arena, Manchester1.6:1.4#12

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.36B365X5.80PIN27.00B365Margin at best5.1%Books6Markets92Rating71 · 29Exp. goals L53.7

Price board · 1X2captured 18 Oct 11:01 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Bet3651.365.257.006.9%
Pinnacle1.335.656.757.7%
BetVictor1.305.257.0010.3%
William Hill1.335.006.5010.6%
1xBet1.315.056.9010.6%
Marathonbet1.305.056.6011.9%
Best of all books1.365.657.005.5%
Average1.325.216.799.6%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Manchester City WBrighton W
Last 10#1Table position#123.00Points per game0.8311Form pts · last 573.2Goals for · last 51.61.2Goals against · last 51.467Attack rating3354Defence rating4675Form rating2580H2H rating2082Goals model1871Overall rating29

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 22 Oct 00:03 UTC

Manchester City W

8W 2D 0L · goals 30:12 · per match 3.0 for, 1.2 against

18 OctHBrighton W3-2W
4 OctHArsenal W4-2W
1 OctHReal Madrid W1-1D
26 SepACharlton Athletic W1-0W
22 SepABayern Munich W2-2D
18 SepHLiverpool W4-2W
13 SepAAston Villa W4-1W
6 SepHBirmingham City W3-1W
31 MayABrighton W4-0W
16 MayAWest Ham W4-1W

Brighton W

3W 2D 5L · goals 16:16 · per match 1.6 for, 1.6 against

4 OctHCharlton Athletic W5-1W
30 SepHTottenham Hotspur W0-1L
26 SepALondon City Lionesses W0-2L
23 SepHCharlton Athletic W4-0W
20 SepHAston Villa W1-1D
13 SepABirmingham City W2-2D
6 SepHArsenal W0-1L
31 MayHManchester City W0-4L
16 MayHTottenham Hotspur W1-2L
10 MayALiverpool W3-2W

Head to head

13Manchester City W wins
1draws
2Brighton W wins

16 meetings · goals 54:12 · last 10: 8W 0D 2L for Manchester City W

31 May 2026FA Women's CupFA Women's CupBrighton W0-4Manchester City W
25 Apr 2026FA WSLFA WSLBrighton W3-2Manchester City W
12 Sep 2025FA WSLFA WSLManchester City W2-1Brighton W
30 Mar 2025FA WSLFA WSLBrighton W1-2Manchester City W
29 Sep 2024FA WSLFA WSLManchester City W1-0Brighton W
17 Mar 2024FA WSLFA WSLBrighton W1-4Manchester City W
12 Nov 2023FA WSLFA WSLManchester City W0-1Brighton W
12 Mar 2023FA WSLFA WSLBrighton W1-2Manchester City W
4 Dec 2022FA WSLFA WSLManchester City W3-1Brighton W
30 Apr 2022FA WSLFA WSLManchester City W7-2Brighton W

FA WSL tableSuper League Womenupdated 23 Oct 00:10 UTC

In the FA WSL table, Manchester City W sit 1st with 18 points from 6 games, while Brighton W are 12th with 5 points from 6.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Manchester City W660019:8+1118
2Chelsea W651018:3+1516
3London City Lionesses W650117:6+1115
4Tottenham Hotspur W631218:14+410
5Manchester United W63128:10-210
6Everton W63035:6-19
7Liverpool W621310:8+27
8Arsenal W61325:7-26
9West Ham W62045:10-56
10Aston Villa W61326:12-66
11Crystal Palace W61325:12-76
12Brighton W612310:1005
13Birmingham City W60338:13-53
14Charlton Athletic W60063:18-150

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg169%1.32X18%5.19213%6.75

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.1% margin.

1X2 since open average price

15 Oct 00:0118 Oct 12:301 1.32X 5.192 6.75
11.32 → 1.32 0.0%X5.18 → 5.19 +0.2%26.69 → 6.75 +0.9%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Bet3651.333.256.0%
BetVictor1.333.008.5%
1xBet1.312.9210.6%
Marathonbet1.312.9210.6%
Best of all books1.333.256.0%
Average1.323.028.8%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
William Hill1.552.308.0%
Bet3651.572.258.1%
BetVictor1.502.388.7%
Marathonbet1.532.279.4%
Best of all books1.572.385.7%
Average1.542.308.5%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Manchester City W 45%Draw 45%Brighton W 10%

The statistical model rated Manchester City W at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Brighton W at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.32 | 5.19 | 6.75, which imply roughly 75.8% for a Manchester City W win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the FA WSL table: Manchester City W are 1st (18 pts, 19-8 goals), Brighton W 12th (5 pts, 10-10).

Over their last five matches, Manchester City W averaged 3.2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; Brighton W averaged 1.6 scored and 1.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Winner : Manchester City W and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Manchester City W

4-2-3-1

Coach: Andrée Alexander Jeglertz

Goalkeeper

  • 31A. Yamashita

Defence

  • 18K. Casparij
  • 4Jade Rose
  • 5A. Greenwood
  • 21Niamh Charles

Midfield

  • 19Laura Blindkilde Brown
  • 25Yui Hasegawa
  • 20A. Fujino
  • 6Grace Clinton
  • 11L. Hemp

Attack

  • 9K. Shaw
Substitutes (9)
  • 13L. Wienroither
  • 53Mayzee Davies
  • 1E. Cumings
  • 24I. Beney
  • 8M. Fowler
  • 27R. Knaak
  • 47S. Lewis
  • 28Gracie Prior
  • 37C. Wamser

Brighton W

4-2-3-1

Coach: Dario Vidosic

Goalkeeper

  • 16C. Nnadozie

Defence

  • 23M. Auée
  • 18C. Hayes
  • 2M. Vanegas
  • 6Gabrielle George

Midfield

  • 10J. Čanković
  • 8M. Symonds
  • 21O. Garcia
  • 14F. Kirby
  • 20O. Tvedten

Attack

  • 11K. Seike
Substitutes (9)
  • 15E. Joramo
  • 28M. Loeck
  • 5M. Mpomé
  • 35Emily murphy
  • 19M. Olislagers
  • 27S. Peskett
  • 17R. Rayner
  • 64Emilie Gay
  • 41T. Warren

Match Statistics

Manchester City WBrighton W
2.37Expected Goals1.03
525Passes accurate354
11Shots insidebox6
6Shots outsidebox3
3Blocked Shots0
7Free Kicks8
8Shots on Goal3
1Goalkeeper Saves5
6Shots off Goal6
3Offsides0
588Total passes429
17Total Shots9
8Corner Kicks1
0Yellow Cards1
8Fouls7
0Red Cards0
59%Ball Possession41%

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.325.216.79

Double chance

1XX212
1.073.021.10

Draw no bet

12
1.115.75

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.542.30

1st half

1X2
1.712.816.05

2nd half

1X2
1.583.255.84

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 11.8719.542.5
HT X4.709.2516.5
HT 215.319.511.3

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.3426.03.09

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0122.8
1.51.086.73
2.51.323.02
3.51.851.84
4.52.851.35
5.55.001.14
6.58.001.06
7.511.01.02
8.517.0–
9.521.0–
11 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.0111.5
21.095.30
2.251.223.80
2.751.392.69
31.482.42
3.251.672.04
3.752.061.67
42.371.49
4.252.631.41
4.753.341.24
54.251.15

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-2.252.661.41
-22.441.48
-1.752.091.66
-1.51.891.83
-1.251.682.06
-11.472.45
13 more lines
LineHomeAway
-4.59.601.01
-3.55.231.12
-3.255.251.16
-34.581.15
-2.753.531.27
-2.52.891.36
-0.751.382.77
-0.51.353.10
-0.251.213.76
01.115.45
+0.251.126.25
+0.51.106.80
+1.51.019.60

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
6.51.017.30
7.51.134.34
8.51.322.92
9.51.602.18
10.51.951.76
11.52.501.44
12.53.381.23
13.54.861.10
14.57.251.01
23 more lines
LineOverUnder
6.751.027.02
71.026.74
7.251.085.21
7.751.154.13
81.173.92
8.251.243.32
8.751.362.77
91.402.62
9.251.502.36
9.751.672.07
101.761.95
10.251.861.84
10.752.091.66
112.271.55
11.252.381.49
11.752.741.37
123.071.29
12.253.221.26
12.753.821.18
134.501.12
13.254.681.11
13.755.701.06
147.011.02

Next FA WSL matches

25 OctCrystal Palace W – Chelsea W
25 OctBirmingham City W – Charlton Athletic W
25 OctEverton W – Aston Villa W
25 OctLiverpool W – London City Lionesses W
25 OctManchester United W – Manchester City W

All FA WSL fixtures and the table

Latest FA WSL results

18 OctCharlton Athletic W 1-3 Manchester United W
18 OctLondon City Lionesses W 2-1 Everton W
18 OctAston Villa W 2-1 Liverpool W
18 OctChelsea W 6-2 Tottenham Hotspur W
18 OctCrystal Palace W 0-1 West Ham W
17 OctArsenal W 1-1 Birmingham City W