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Manchester United W vs Manchester City W• FA WSL, England

#51.4:1.618:0025/10 · Leigh Sports Village, Leigh3.2:1.4#1

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

15.201XBX4.50BFR21.55B365Margin at best6.0%Books9Markets71Rating31 · 69Exp. goals L53.8

Price board · 1X2captured 23 Oct 00:31 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Betfair5.504.601.506.6%
Pinnacle5.124.411.528.0%
Dafabet4.904.401.548.1%
Bet3654.754.331.558.7%
BetVictor5.004.331.509.8%
1xBet5.204.301.4710.5%
Betano4.904.001.5310.8%
Marathonbet5.004.301.4611.7%
William Hill4.804.001.5012.5%
Best of all books5.504.601.554.4%
Average5.024.301.519.5%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Manchester United WManchester City W
Last 10#5Table position#11.67Points per game3.0015Form pts · last 5111.4Goals for · last 53.21.6Goals against · last 51.430Attack rating7047Defence rating5340Form rating6029H2H rating719Goals model9131Overall rating69

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 22 Oct 00:30 UTC

Manchester United W

6W 1D 3L · goals 28:16 · per match 2.8 for, 1.6 against

21 OctALiverpool W5-3W
18 OctACharlton Athletic W3-1W
3 OctHLiverpool W1-0W
30 SepADurham W5-1W
27 SepHWest Ham W2-1W
23 SepHSheffield United W10-1W
19 SepAArsenal W1-1D
13 SepHChelsea W0-5L
4 SepALondon City Lionesses W1-2L
16 MayAChelsea W0-1L

Manchester City W

8W 2D 0L · goals 30:12 · per match 3.0 for, 1.2 against

18 OctHBrighton W3-2W
4 OctHArsenal W4-2W
1 OctHReal Madrid W1-1D
26 SepACharlton Athletic W1-0W
22 SepABayern Munich W2-2D
18 SepHLiverpool W4-2W
13 SepAAston Villa W4-1W
6 SepHBirmingham City W3-1W
31 MayABrighton W4-0W
16 MayAWest Ham W4-1W

Head to head

4Manchester United W wins
5draws
11Manchester City W wins

20 meetings · goals 24:39 · last 10: 3W 1D 6L for Manchester United W

28 Mar 2026FA WSLFA WSLManchester United W0-3Manchester City W
15 Nov 2025FA WSLFA WSLManchester City W3-0Manchester United W
4 May 2025FA WSLFA WSLManchester United W2-2Manchester City W
13 Apr 2025FA Women's CupFA Women's CupManchester City W0-2Manchester United W
22 Jan 2025WSL CupWSL CupManchester United W1-2Manchester City W
19 Jan 2025FA WSLFA WSLManchester City W2-4Manchester United W
23 Mar 2024FA WSLFA WSLManchester City W3-1Manchester United W
24 Jan 2024WSL CupWSL CupManchester City W2-1Manchester United W
19 Nov 2023FA WSLFA WSLManchester United W1-3Manchester City W
21 May 2023FA WSLFA WSLManchester United W2-1Manchester City W

FA WSL tableSuper League Womenupdated 23 Oct 00:10 UTC

In the FA WSL table, Manchester United W sit 5th with 10 points from 6 games, while Manchester City W are 1st with 18 points from 6.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Manchester City W660019:8+1118
2Chelsea W651018:3+1516
3London City Lionesses W650117:6+1115
4Tottenham Hotspur W631218:14+410
5Manchester United W63128:10-210
6Everton W63035:6-19
7Liverpool W621310:8+27
8Arsenal W61325:7-26
9West Ham W62045:10-56
10Aston Villa W61326:12-66
11Crystal Palace W61325:12-76
12Brighton W612310:1005
13Birmingham City W60338:13-53
14Charlton Athletic W60063:18-150

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg118%4.98X21%4.28261%1.50

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.0% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Betfair1.472.636.1%
Bet3651.502.506.7%
Pinnacle1.452.646.8%
BetVictor1.462.479.0%
1xBet1.402.5610.5%
Marathonbet1.402.5610.5%
Best of all books1.502.644.5%
Average1.452.568.2%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
William Hill1.532.387.4%
Bet3651.572.258.1%
BetVictor1.502.388.7%
Marathonbet1.512.329.3%
Best of all books1.572.385.7%
Average1.532.338.3%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Manchester United W 10%Draw 45%Manchester City W 45%

The statistical model rates Manchester United W at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Manchester City W at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 4.98 | 4.28 | 1.50, which imply roughly 23.4% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the FA WSL table: Manchester United W are 5th (10 pts, 8-10 goals), Manchester City W 1st (18 pts, 19-8).

Over their last five matches, Manchester United W averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game; Manchester City W averaged 3.2 scored and 1.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Winner : Manchester City W.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
5.024.301.51

Double chance

1XX212
2.361.141.17

Draw no bet

12
3.951.21

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.532.33

1st half

1X2
4.922.511.97

2nd half

1X2
4.542.911.80

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 18.1816.217.2
HT X11.37.104.67
HT 236.016.32.26

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
2.7019.81.46

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0217.8
1.51.125.30
2.51.452.56
3.52.121.63
4.53.531.24
5.56.671.09
6.510.01.03
7.515.01.01
8.521.0–
10 more lines
LineOverUnder
1.751.154.80
21.144.45
2.251.273.14
2.751.522.30
31.682.02
3.251.901.79
3.752.401.49
42.911.34
4.253.081.28
55.501.08

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
+0.52.431.51
+0.752.151.62
+11.881.82
+1.251.662.08
+1.51.532.32
+1.751.392.74
13 more lines
LineHomeAway
-1.59.351.02
-0.756.251.12
-0.54.651.18
-0.254.351.16
03.881.20
+0.252.911.35
+21.273.34
+2.251.233.80
+2.51.194.02
+2.751.165.25
+31.066.83
+3.251.107.00
+3.51.047.63

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
6.51.065.64
7.51.213.52
8.51.452.48
9.51.801.92
10.52.251.56
11.52.981.31
12.54.221.14
13.56.391.03
7 more lines
LineOverUnder
71.085.14
81.273.15
91.582.21
102.011.71
112.691.38
123.871.17
135.971.05

Next FA WSL matches

25 OctCrystal Palace W – Chelsea W
25 OctBirmingham City W – Charlton Athletic W
25 OctEverton W – Aston Villa W
25 OctLiverpool W – London City Lionesses W

All FA WSL fixtures and the table

Latest FA WSL results

18 OctManchester City W 3-2 Brighton W
18 OctCharlton Athletic W 1-3 Manchester United W
18 OctLondon City Lionesses W 2-1 Everton W
18 OctAston Villa W 2-1 Liverpool W
18 OctChelsea W 6-2 Tottenham Hotspur W
18 OctCrystal Palace W 0-1 West Ham W