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Aston Villa W vs Liverpool W• FA WSL, England

#100.8:2.22-1FT18/10 · Trevor Brown Memorial Ground, Sutton Coldfield1.8:1.2#7

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

14.50B365X4.36PIN21.65WHMargin at best5.8%Books6Markets83Rating34 · 66Exp. goals L53.0

Price board · 1X2captured 18 Oct 11:01 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Bet3654.334.001.706.9%
Pinnacle4.054.171.697.8%
BetVictor4.333.901.659.3%
1xBet4.043.801.6810.6%
William Hill3.803.751.7011.8%
Marathonbet3.953.801.6611.9%
Best of all books4.334.171.705.9%
Average4.083.901.689.6%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Aston Villa WLiverpool W
Last 10#10Table position#71.00Points per game1.1710Form pts · last 560.8Goals for · last 51.82.2Goals against · last 51.231Attack rating6935Defence rating6530Form rating7040H2H rating6026Goals model7434Overall rating66

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 22 Oct 00:30 UTC

Aston Villa W

4W 3D 3L · goals 14:15 · per match 1.4 for, 1.5 against

21 OctABurnley W2-0W
18 OctHLiverpool W2-1W
4 OctHCrystal Palace W1-1D
30 SepHNewcastle United W3-1W
27 SepATottenham Hotspur W0-4L
23 SepANottingham Forest W2-0W
20 SepABrighton W1-1D
13 SepHManchester City W1-4L
5 SepAChelsea W1-1D
16 MayALondon City Lionesses W1-2L

Liverpool W

4W 1D 5L · goals 22:21 · per match 2.2 for, 2.1 against

21 OctHManchester United W3-5L
18 OctAAston Villa W1-2L
3 OctAManchester United W0-1L
30 SepABirmingham City W4-3W
27 SepHEverton W2-0W
23 SepHSunderland W4-2W
18 SepAManchester City W2-4L
13 SepHTottenham Hotspur W1-1D
6 SepACharlton Athletic W4-0W
16 MayHArsenal W1-3L

Head to head

3Aston Villa W wins
2draws
4Liverpool W wins

9 meetings · goals 13:17 · last 9: 3W 2D 4L for Aston Villa W

8 Feb 2026FA WSLFA WSLLiverpool W4-1Aston Villa W
11 Dec 2025FA WSLFA WSLAston Villa W3-0Liverpool W
30 Mar 2025FA WSLFA WSLLiverpool W1-2Aston Villa W
3 Nov 2024FA WSLFA WSLAston Villa W1-2Liverpool W
3 Mar 2024FA WSLFA WSLAston Villa W1-4Liverpool W
8 Oct 2023FA WSLFA WSLLiverpool W2-0Aston Villa W
21 May 2023FA WSLFA WSLAston Villa W3-3Liverpool W
6 Nov 2022FA WSLFA WSLLiverpool W0-1Aston Villa W
13 Oct 2021WSL CupWSL CupLiverpool W1-1Aston Villa W

FA WSL tableSuper League Womenupdated 23 Oct 00:10 UTC

In the FA WSL table, Aston Villa W sit 10th with 6 points from 6 games, while Liverpool W are 7th with 7 points from 6.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Manchester City W660019:8+1118
2Chelsea W651018:3+1516
3London City Lionesses W650117:6+1115
4Tottenham Hotspur W631218:14+410
5Manchester United W63128:10-210
6Everton W63035:6-19
7Liverpool W621310:8+27
8Arsenal W61325:7-26
9West Ham W62045:10-56
10Aston Villa W61326:12-66
11Crystal Palace W61325:12-76
12Brighton W612310:1005
13Birmingham City W60338:13-53
14Charlton Athletic W60063:18-150

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg121%4.36X23%4.02256%1.63

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.8% margin.

1X2 since open average price

15 Oct 00:0118 Oct 12:301 4.36X 4.022 1.63
13.54 → 4.36 +23.2%X3.66 → 4.02 +9.8%21.85 → 1.63 -11.9%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Bet3651.572.356.2%
Pinnacle1.552.366.9%
BetVictor1.562.238.9%
1xBet1.532.2110.6%
Marathonbet1.532.2110.6%
Best of all books1.572.366.1%
Average1.552.278.6%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Bet3651.622.207.2%
William Hill1.552.308.0%
BetVictor1.552.259.0%
Marathonbet1.552.239.4%
Best of all books1.622.305.2%
Average1.572.258.3%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Aston Villa W 10%Draw 45%Liverpool W 45%

The statistical model rated Aston Villa W at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Liverpool W at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 4.36 | 4.02 | 1.63, which imply roughly 24.9% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the FA WSL table: Aston Villa W are 10th (6 pts, 6-12 goals), Liverpool W 7th (7 pts, 10-8).

Over their last five matches, Aston Villa W averaged 0.8 goals scored and 2.2 conceded per game; Liverpool W averaged 1.8 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Winner : Liverpool W.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Aston Villa W

3-4-1-2

Coach: Natalia Arroyo

Goalkeeper

  • 23Akane Okuma

Defence

  • 4A. Patten
  • 3M. Harviken
  • 24O. Deslandes

Midfield

  • 17Chasity Grant
  • 5J. Kielland
  • 25M. Taylor
  • 14L. Wilms
  • 16N. Maritz

Attack

  • 19Lily Murphy
  • 20A. Vangsgaard
Substitutes (6)
  • 22R. Imuran
  • 6O. Jean-François
  • 38R. Maltby
  • 27M. McAulay
  • 18G. Mullet
  • 1E. Ramsey

Liverpool W

4-1-4-1

Coach: G. Taylor

Goalkeeper

  • 12K. Keating

Defence

  • 25A. Bergström
  • 17Jenna Clark
  • 4Grace Fisk
  • 29Alejandra Bernabé de Santiago

Midfield

  • 8F. Nagano
  • 13M. Enderby
  • 7C. Kapocs
  • 6Natalia Ramos
  • 19K. MacLean

Attack

  • 11B. Olsson
Substitutes (9)
  • 48I. Breen
  • 16L. Woodham
  • 87M. Trueman
  • 36Zara Shaw
  • 22F. Kirby
  • 14Marie-Therese Höbinger
  • 9V. Endemann
  • 26M. Itamura
  • 28M. Ward

Match Statistics

Aston Villa WLiverpool W
0.42Expected Goals0.99
259Passes accurate629
2Shots insidebox14
5Shots outsidebox9
8Free Kicks7
3Shots on Goal9
8Goalkeeper Saves2
4Shots off Goal9
1Offsides1
333Total passes701
7Total Shots23
5Corner Kicks5
0Blocked Shots5
8Fouls9
0Red Cards0
0Yellow Cards0
33%Ball Possession67%

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
4.083.901.68

Double chance

1XX212
2.021.191.19

Draw no bet

12
3.201.32

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.572.25

1st half

1X2
4.322.382.22

2nd half

1X2
3.872.682.08

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 16.8015.519.0
HT X10.06.404.93
HT 232.515.52.53

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
2.5015.91.53

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0114.3
1.51.154.62
2.51.552.27
3.52.391.50
4.54.261.18
5.57.831.06
6.510.51.02
7.517.0–
11 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.0110.0
1.751.194.20
21.253.43
2.251.392.70
2.751.682.02
31.891.79
3.252.131.61
3.752.751.37
43.501.22
4.253.841.18
57.101.04

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
+0.252.431.48
+0.52.141.66
+0.751.871.84
+11.622.16
+1.251.482.45
+1.51.392.76
14 more lines
LineHomeAway
-1.58.501.01
-1.256.351.07
-17.401.05
-0.754.721.19
-0.54.251.21
-0.253.441.26
03.121.31
+1.751.273.33
+21.164.48
+2.251.145.31
+2.51.115.32
+2.751.116.60
+31.057.00
+3.51.0110.0

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
6.51.065.74
7.51.213.56
8.51.452.49
9.51.791.89
10.52.221.57
11.52.941.32
12.54.161.15
13.56.261.04
21 more lines
LineOverUnder
6.751.065.48
71.085.23
7.251.144.19
7.751.233.38
81.263.20
8.251.362.78
8.751.502.37
91.572.23
9.251.682.06
9.751.871.83
101.991.73
10.252.111.64
10.752.401.48
112.661.39
11.252.801.35
11.753.291.25
123.801.18
12.253.981.16
12.754.821.10
135.851.05
13.256.061.04

Next FA WSL matches

25 OctCrystal Palace W – Chelsea W
25 OctBirmingham City W – Charlton Athletic W
25 OctEverton W – Aston Villa W
25 OctLiverpool W – London City Lionesses W
25 OctManchester United W – Manchester City W

All FA WSL fixtures and the table

Latest FA WSL results

18 OctManchester City W 3-2 Brighton W
18 OctCharlton Athletic W 1-3 Manchester United W
18 OctLondon City Lionesses W 2-1 Everton W
18 OctChelsea W 6-2 Tottenham Hotspur W
18 OctCrystal Palace W 0-1 West Ham W
17 OctArsenal W 1-1 Birmingham City W