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Arsenal W vs Birmingham City W• FA WSL, England

#80.8:1.21-1FT17/10 · Meadow Park, Borehamwood1.4:2.4#13

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.10B365X12.5PIN221.0BVCMargin at best3.7%Books6Markets86Rating66 · 34Exp. goals L52.9

Price board · 1X2captured 17 Oct 07:50 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Pinnacle1.0712.518.17.0%
Bet3651.109.0019.07.3%
William Hill1.0710.019.08.7%
BetVictor1.0610.021.09.1%
Marathonbet1.0310.319.312.0%
1xBet1.0310.219.012.2%
Best of all books1.1012.521.03.7%
Average1.0610.319.29.2%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Arsenal WBirmingham City W
Last 10#8Table position#131.00Points per game0.505Form pts · last 550.8Goals for · last 51.41.2Goals against · last 52.436Attack rating6467Defence rating3371Form rating2971H2H rating2979Goals model2166Overall rating34

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 05:50 UTC

Arsenal W

5W 3D 2L · goals 14:9 · per match 1.4 for, 0.9 against

4 OctAManchester City W2-4L
30 SepAParis FC W2-2D
27 SepAChelsea W0-1L
22 SepHKøge W1-0W
19 SepHManchester United W1-1D
13 SepHCrystal Palace W0-0D
6 SepABrighton W1-0W
16 MayALiverpool W3-1W
13 MayHEverton W1-0W
9 MayAAston Villa W3-0W

Birmingham City W

2W 3D 5L · goals 18:19 · per match 1.8 for, 1.9 against

21 OctADurham W5-0W
17 OctAArsenal W1-1D
4 OctAEverton W1-2L
30 SepHLiverpool W3-4L
27 SepHCrystal Palace W3-3D
23 SepAEverton W0-2L
19 SepAChelsea W0-2L
13 SepHBrighton W2-2D
6 SepAManchester City W1-3L
2 MayACharlton Athletic W2-0W

Head to head

8Arsenal W wins
0draws
2Birmingham City W wins

10 meetings · goals 24:12 · last 10: 8W 0D 2L for Arsenal W

6 Mar 2022FA WSLFA WSLArsenal W4-2Birmingham City W
9 Jan 2022FA WSLFA WSLBirmingham City W2-0Arsenal W
7 Mar 2021FA WSLFA WSLBirmingham City W0-4Arsenal W
6 Dec 2020FA WSLFA WSLArsenal W3-0Birmingham City W
5 Jan 2020FA WSLFA WSLArsenal W2-0Birmingham City W
31 Mar 2019FA WSLFA WSLBirmingham City W0-1Arsenal W
4 Nov 2018FA WSLFA WSLArsenal W3-1Birmingham City W
29 Apr 2018FA WSLFA WSLBirmingham City W3-0Arsenal W
24 Sep 2017FA WSLFA WSLArsenal W3-2Birmingham City W
20 May 2017FA WSLFA WSLArsenal W4-2Birmingham City W

FA WSL tableSuper League Womenupdated 23 Oct 00:10 UTC

In the FA WSL table, Arsenal W sit 8th with 6 points from 6 games, while Birmingham City W are 13th with 3 points from 6.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Manchester City W660019:8+1118
2Chelsea W651018:3+1516
3London City Lionesses W650117:6+1115
4Tottenham Hotspur W631218:14+410
5Manchester United W63128:10-210
6Everton W63035:6-19
7Liverpool W621310:8+27
8Arsenal W61325:7-26
9West Ham W62045:10-56
10Aston Villa W61326:12-66
11Crystal Palace W61325:12-76
12Brighton W612310:1005
13Birmingham City W60338:13-53
14Charlton Athletic W60063:18-150

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg187%1.07X9%10.625%19.5

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.7% margin.

1X2 since open average price

16 Oct 17:3017 Oct 09:101 1.06X 10.32 19.2
11.06 → 1.06 0.0%X10.1 → 10.3 +2.4%219.2 → 19.2 0.0%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Bet3651.224.007.0%
BetVictor1.204.107.7%
1xBet1.174.0010.5%
Marathonbet1.174.0010.5%
Best of all books1.224.106.4%
Average1.194.038.9%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Bet3652.101.677.5%
William Hill1.911.807.9%
BetVictor2.001.708.8%
Marathonbet1.931.749.3%
Best of all books2.101.803.2%
Average1.981.738.3%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Arsenal W 45%Draw 45%Birmingham City W 10%

The statistical model rated Arsenal W at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Birmingham City W at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.07 | 10.59 | 19.53, which imply roughly 93.5% for a Arsenal W win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the FA WSL table: Arsenal W are 8th (6 pts, 5-7 goals), Birmingham City W 13th (3 pts, 8-13).

Over their last five matches, Arsenal W averaged 0.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; Birmingham City W averaged 1.4 scored and 2.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Arsenal W or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Arsenal W

4-2-3-1

Coach: R. Slegers

Goalkeeper

  • 16Misa Rodriguez

Defence

  • 31S. Holmberg
  • 6L. Williamson
  • 3L. Wubben-Moy
  • 22Ona Batlle

Midfield

  • 32K. Cooney-Cross
  • 4G. Stanway
  • 19L. Baum
  • 25S. Blackstenius
  • 11Olivia Smith

Attack

  • 23A. Russo
Substitutes (8)
  • 14G. Reuteler
  • 2E. Fox
  • 24Taylor Hinds
  • 7S. Catley
  • 28A. Borbe
  • 40I Damm
  • 5É. de Almeida
  • 9C. Foord

Birmingham City W

5-3-2

Goalkeeper

  • 23S. Baggaley

Defence

  • 3Marie Levasseur
  • 30N. Herron
  • 21M. Turner
  • 6S. Cooke
  • 18R. McKenna

Midfield

  • 26Asato Miyagawa
  • 14S. Amano
  • 8L. Naalsund

Attack

  • 16L. Crosthwaite
  • 22Oceane Hurtre
Substitutes (9)
  • 19Chelsea Cornet
  • 2Martha Harris
  • 15R. Holloway
  • 7Lee Geum-Min
  • 10W. Leidhammar
  • 4J. Rastocle
  • 27V. Sarri
  • 40K. Startup
  • 1L Thomas

Match Statistics

Arsenal WBirmingham City W
2.58Expected Goals0.83
540Passes accurate129
17Shots insidebox1
10Shots outsidebox4
6Blocked Shots2
9Free Kicks9
4Shots on Goal1
17Shots off Goal2
1Offsides1
618Total passes207
27Total Shots5
1Yellow Cards1
11Corner Kicks1
0Goalkeeper Saves3
9Fouls9
0Red Cards0
76%Ball Possession24%

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.0610.319.2

Double chance

1XX212
1.026.881.04

Draw no bet

12
1.0215.0

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.991.73

1st half

1X2
1.323.7212.6

2nd half

1X2
1.244.4812.2

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 11.3733.088.0
HT X4.5615.339.5
HT 218.035.534.5

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.1437.54.95

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.5–17.0
1.51.048.65
2.51.194.03
3.51.532.32
4.52.201.57
5.53.631.24
6.56.001.10
7.58.501.05
8.512.01.01
9.517.0–
11 more lines
LineOverUnder
21.027.90
2.751.203.68
31.293.15
3.251.392.67
3.751.642.08
41.811.86
4.252.001.68
4.752.491.44
52.921.31
5.253.401.27
64.701.14

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-3.52.511.46
-3.252.311.53
-32.081.66
-2.751.851.85
-2.51.692.04
-2.251.532.31
15 more lines
LineHomeAway
-5.57.901.04
-54.801.13
-4.755.501.15
-4.54.451.17
-4.254.151.21
-43.601.23
-3.752.921.34
-21.372.78
-1.751.332.99
-1.51.273.34
-1.251.224.15
-11.086.00
-0.751.126.40
-0.51.116.60
01.0219.0

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
7.51.075.34
8.51.223.45
9.51.442.52
10.51.771.92
11.52.211.58
12.52.841.34
13.53.911.17
14.55.721.06
8 more lines
LineOverUnder
81.104.88
91.283.11
101.562.26
10.751.851.85
111.981.74
122.571.42
133.591.20
145.341.07

Next FA WSL matches

25 OctCrystal Palace W – Chelsea W
25 OctBirmingham City W – Charlton Athletic W
25 OctEverton W – Aston Villa W
25 OctLiverpool W – London City Lionesses W
25 OctManchester United W – Manchester City W

All FA WSL fixtures and the table

Latest FA WSL results

18 OctManchester City W 3-2 Brighton W
18 OctCharlton Athletic W 1-3 Manchester United W
18 OctLondon City Lionesses W 2-1 Everton W
18 OctAston Villa W 2-1 Liverpool W
18 OctChelsea W 6-2 Tottenham Hotspur W
18 OctCrystal Palace W 0-1 West Ham W