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Manchester City W vs Arsenal W• FA WSL, England

#13.0:1.04-2FT04/10 · Manchester Regional Arena, Manchester0.5:0.5#8

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.35PINX3.881XB22.88BFRMargin at best3.0%Books8Markets44Rating60 · 40Exp. goals L52.5

Price board · 1X2captured 30 Sep 02:30 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
1xBet2.663.922.375.3%
Betfair2.633.602.407.5%
Pinnacle2.683.482.397.9%
BetVictor2.553.502.409.5%
Bet3652.453.502.4510.2%
Betano2.603.302.3711.0%
Marathonbet2.563.452.2811.9%
William Hill2.503.502.2513.0%
Best of all books2.683.922.453.6%
Average2.583.532.369.4%

Best price per column is highlighted. These prices were captured 4 days before kickoff and were not refreshed later; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Manchester City WArsenal W
Last 10#1Table position#83.00Points per game1.0011Form pts · last 553.0Goals for · last 50.51.0Goals against · last 50.586Attack rating1433Defence rating6771Form rating2950H2H rating5071Goals model2960Overall rating40

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 22 Oct 00:03 UTC

Manchester City W

8W 2D 0L · goals 30:12 · per match 3.0 for, 1.2 against

18 OctHBrighton W3-2W
4 OctHArsenal W4-2W
1 OctHReal Madrid W1-1D
26 SepACharlton Athletic W1-0W
22 SepABayern Munich W2-2D
18 SepHLiverpool W4-2W
13 SepAAston Villa W4-1W
6 SepHBirmingham City W3-1W
31 MayABrighton W4-0W
16 MayAWest Ham W4-1W

Arsenal W

5W 3D 2L · goals 14:9 · per match 1.4 for, 0.9 against

4 OctAManchester City W2-4L
30 SepAParis FC W2-2D
27 SepAChelsea W0-1L
22 SepHKøge W1-0W
19 SepHManchester United W1-1D
13 SepHCrystal Palace W0-0D
6 SepABrighton W1-0W
16 MayALiverpool W3-1W
13 MayHEverton W1-0W
9 MayAAston Villa W3-0W

Head to head

10Manchester City W wins
2draws
11Arsenal W wins

23 meetings · goals 33:35 · last 10: 4W 1D 5L for Manchester City W

8 Feb 2026FA WSLFA WSLArsenal W1-0Manchester City W
4 Oct 2025FA WSLFA WSLManchester City W3-2Arsenal W
6 Feb 2025WSL CupWSL CupArsenal W1-2Manchester City W
2 Feb 2025FA WSLFA WSLManchester City W3-4Arsenal W
22 Sep 2024FA WSLFA WSLArsenal W2-2Manchester City W
5 May 2024FA WSLFA WSLManchester City W1-2Arsenal W
11 Feb 2024FA Women's CupFA Women's CupArsenal W0-1Manchester City W
5 Nov 2023FA WSLFA WSLArsenal W2-1Manchester City W
2 Apr 2023FA WSLFA WSLArsenal W2-1Manchester City W
11 Feb 2023FA WSLFA WSLManchester City W2-1Arsenal W

FA WSL tableSuper League Womenupdated 22 Oct 00:04 UTC

In the FA WSL table, Manchester City W sit 1st with 18 points from 6 games, while Arsenal W are 8th with 6 points from 6.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Manchester City W660019:8+1118
2Chelsea W651018:3+1516
3London City Lionesses W650117:6+1115
4Tottenham Hotspur W631218:14+410
5Manchester United W63128:10-210
6Everton W63035:6-19
7Liverpool W621310:8+27
8Arsenal W61325:7-26
9West Ham W62045:10-56
10Aston Villa W61326:12-66
11Crystal Palace W61325:12-76
12Brighton W612310:1005
13Birmingham City W60338:13-53
14Charlton Athletic W60063:18-150

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg140%2.29X26%3.47234%2.67

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.0% margin.

1X2 since open average price

1 Oct 00:014 Oct 10:111 2.29X 3.402 2.68
12.58 → 2.29 -11.2%X3.53 → 3.40 -3.7%22.36 → 2.68 +13.6%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
1xBet1.672.195.5%
Pinnacle1.642.216.2%
Bet3651.672.156.4%
BetVictor1.632.109.0%
Marathonbet1.612.139.1%
Betano1.622.0510.5%
Best of all books1.672.215.1%
Average1.642.147.7%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
William Hill1.552.386.5%
Bet3651.572.258.1%
BetVictor1.502.408.3%
Marathonbet1.522.309.3%
Best of all books1.572.405.4%
Average1.542.338.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Manchester City W 45%Draw 45%Arsenal W 10%

The statistical model rated Manchester City W at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Arsenal W at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.29 | 3.47 | 2.67, which imply roughly 43.7% for a Manchester City W win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the FA WSL table: Manchester City W are 1st (18 pts, 19-8 goals), Arsenal W 8th (6 pts, 5-7).

Over their last five matches, Manchester City W averaged 3 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Arsenal W averaged 0.5 scored and 0.5 conceded.

Statistical advice: Winner : Manchester City W.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Manchester City W

4-2-3-1

Coach: Andrée Alexander Jeglertz

Goalkeeper

  • 31A. Yamashita

Defence

  • 37C. Wamser
  • 4Jade Rose
  • 5A. Greenwood
  • 21Niamh Charles

Midfield

  • 17S. Coffey
  • 25Yui Hasegawa
  • 7B. Mead
  • 20A. Fujino
  • 11L. Hemp

Attack

  • 9K. Shaw
Substitutes (9)
  • 13L. Wienroither
  • 24I. Beney
  • 19Laura Blindkilde Brown
  • 18K. Casparij
  • 6Grace Clinton
  • 1E. Cumings
  • 53Mayzee Davies
  • 8M. Fowler
  • 28Gracie Prior

Arsenal W

4-2-3-1

Coach: R. Slegers

Goalkeeper

  • 28A. Borbe

Defence

  • 2E. Fox
  • 6L. Williamson
  • 3L. Wubben-Moy
  • 22Ona Batlle

Midfield

  • 10K. Little
  • 4G. Stanway
  • 19L. Baum
  • 32K. Cooney-Cross
  • 8Mariona Caldentey

Attack

  • 23A. Russo
Substitutes (9)
  • 11Olivia Smith
  • 25S. Blackstenius
  • 7S. Catley
  • 29S. Cerci
  • 9C. Foord
  • 31S. Holmberg
  • 12F. Maanum
  • 14G. Reuteler
  • 16Misa Rodriguez

Match Statistics

Manchester City WArsenal W
371Passes accurate411
7Shots insidebox13
2Shots outsidebox3
1Blocked Shots3
7Free Kicks5
5Shots on Goal9
7Goalkeeper Saves1
3Shots off Goal4
2Offsides1
442Total passes491
9Total Shots16
3Corner Kicks8
0Yellow Cards1
6Fouls7
0Red Cards0
47%Ball Possession53%

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
2.583.532.36

Double chance

1XX212
1.501.421.24

Draw no bet

12
1.911.77

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.542.33

1st half

1X2
3.132.272.93

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.9014.41.92

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0213.6
1.51.184.29
2.51.642.14
3.52.551.45
4.54.621.15
5.58.831.05
6.511.01.02
7.517.0–
11 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.029.00
1.251.154.70
1.751.233.64
21.273.32
2.251.452.53
2.751.791.92
32.031.68
3.252.301.54
3.753.111.31
43.981.17
4.254.201.19

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-0.52.531.47
-0.252.251.57
01.941.79
+0.251.672.07
+0.51.532.38
+0.751.382.80
10 more lines
LineHomeAway
-2.510.01.02
-1.756.251.12
-1.55.191.12
-1.254.381.19
-14.231.17
-0.753.091.32
+11.223.69
+1.251.184.15
+1.51.154.54
+2.51.039.10

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
9.51.831.83

Next FA WSL matches

25 OctCrystal Palace W – Chelsea W
25 OctBirmingham City W – Charlton Athletic W
25 OctEverton W – Aston Villa W
25 OctLiverpool W – London City Lionesses W
25 OctManchester United W – Manchester City W

All FA WSL fixtures and the table

Latest FA WSL results

18 OctManchester City W 3-2 Brighton W
18 OctCharlton Athletic W 1-3 Manchester United W
18 OctLondon City Lionesses W 2-1 Everton W
18 OctAston Villa W 2-1 Liverpool W
18 OctChelsea W 6-2 Tottenham Hotspur W
18 OctCrystal Palace W 0-1 West Ham W