OddsFilter
Live

Maia Lidador vs Maria da Fonte• Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A, Portugal

#120.5:1.31-1FT11/100.5:1.8#13

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.98DAFX3.40DAF24.00DAFMargin at best4.9%Books6Markets40Rating44 · 56Exp. goals L52.0

Price board · 1X2captured 11 Oct 12:01 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Dafabet1.983.404.004.9%
1xBet1.853.203.9110.9%
Betano1.853.253.7511.5%
Bet3651.853.303.6012.1%
Marathonbet1.833.203.8012.2%
Pinnacle1.833.173.7812.6%
Best of all books1.983.404.004.9%
Average1.863.253.8110.6%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Maia LidadorMaria da Fonte
Last 10#12Table position#130.83Points per game0.675Form pts · last 510.5Goals for · last 50.51.3Goals against · last 51.850Attack rating5058Defence rating4225Form rating750H2H rating00Goals model10044Overall rating56

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 31 Oct 16:31 UTC

Maia Lidador

1W 3D 5L · goals 9:12 · per match 1.0 for, 1.3 against

25 OctATirsense5-3W
11 OctHMaria da Fonte1-1D
20 SepAAD Marco 090-1L
13 SepAMontalegre1-1D
6 SepHBragança0-1L
30 AugHVila Meã0-0D
23 AugHPonte da Barca0-1L
16 AugASC Braga B1-2L
8 SepABrito1-2L

Maria da Fonte

2W 1D 7L · goals 7:19 · per match 0.7 for, 1.9 against

25 OctHBragança1-2L
11 OctAMaia Lidador1-1D
20 SepAParedes1-5L
13 SepHSC Braga B0-4L
6 SepABrito1-2L
30 AugHUniao Nogueirense1-0W
23 AugHCeloricense0-1L
16 AugAVinhais1-0W
31 JulAFafe0-2L
31 AugHBrito1-2L

Head to head

No previous meetings between Maia Lidador and Maria da Fonte on record.

Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A tableII Divisao: Group Aupdated 31 Oct 16:31 UTC

In the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A table, Maia Lidador sit 12th with 5 points from 6 games, while Maria da Fonte are 13th with 4 points from 6.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1SC Braga B642012:5+714
2Os Limianos642013:8+514
3Bragança64119:5+413
4Chaves II64029:5+412
5Montalegre62317:4+39
6Tirsense630312:10+29
7Rebordosa622210:3+78
8Celoricense62225:508
9Vila Meã62228:6+28
10Ponte da Barca62135:8-37
11Brito62047:13-66
12Maia Lidador61238:9-15
13Maria da Fonte61144:10-64
14Vinhais60062:20-180

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg148%1.87X28%3.25224%3.81

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.9% margin.

1X2 since open average price

10 Oct 16:4011 Oct 07:301 1.87X 3.262 3.81
12.25 → 1.87 -16.9%X3.23 → 3.26 +0.9%22.88 → 3.81 +32.3%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Bet3652.081.735.9%
Pinnacle1.971.728.9%
1xBet1.961.729.2%
Marathonbet1.961.729.2%
Betano1.981.6710.4%
Best of all books2.081.735.9%
Average1.991.718.7%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
1xBet1.811.869.0%
Marathonbet1.811.839.9%
Best of all books1.811.869.0%
Average1.811.859.4%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Maia Lidador 10%Draw 45%Maria da Fonte 45%

The statistical model rated Maia Lidador at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Maria da Fonte at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.87 | 3.25 | 3.81, which imply roughly 30.8% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A table: Maia Lidador are 12th (5 pts, 8-9 goals), Maria da Fonte 13th (4 pts, 4-10).

Over their last five matches, Maia Lidador averaged 0.5 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game; Maria da Fonte averaged 0.5 scored and 1.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Maria da Fonte and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.873.253.81

Double chance

1XX212
1.191.761.25

Draw no bet

12
1.392.71

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.811.85

1st half

1X2
2.492.034.49

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.658.402.54

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.047.80
1.51.283.06
2.51.991.71
3.53.341.24
4.57.001.08
5.515.01.02
9 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.047.00
1.251.164.10
1.751.362.71
21.482.35
2.251.741.94
2.752.251.53
32.731.36
3.253.081.28
45.901.07

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-1.253.001.30
-12.601.39
-0.752.101.61
-0.51.851.85
-0.251.692.05
01.362.80
7 more lines
LineHomeAway
-2.57.201.03
-26.301.06
-1.53.341.24
+0.251.263.22
+0.751.114.89
+11.027.80
+1.51.018.80

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
9.51.672.10
101.921.88

Next Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A matches

1 NovMaia Lidador – Chaves II
1 NovPonte da Barca – Vinhais
1 NovSC Braga B – Vila Meã
1 NovBrito – Os Limianos
1 NovMontalegre – Maria da Fonte
1 NovCeloricense – Rebordosa

All Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A fixtures and the table

Latest Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A results

25 OctMaria da Fonte 1-2 Bragança
25 OctVila Meã 1-3 Brito
25 OctMontalegre 0-1 Ponte da Barca
25 OctTirsense 3-5 Maia Lidador
25 OctRebordosa 8-0 Vinhais
25 OctOs Limianos 3-2 Celoricense