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Montalegre vs Maria da Fonte• Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A, Portugal

#51.4:0.815:00Today0.6:2.0#13

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.90DAFX3.40B36524.30DAFMargin at best5.3%Books7Markets44Rating63 · 37Exp. goals L52.4

Price board · 1X2captured 1 Nov 06:00 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Dafabet1.903.404.305.3%
1xBet1.793.284.0710.9%
Bet3651.803.403.8011.3%
Betano1.833.253.8511.4%
Pinnacle1.833.084.0112.0%
Marathonbet1.773.283.9612.2%
William Hill1.833.004.0013.0%
Best of all books1.903.404.305.3%
Average1.823.244.0010.8%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

MontalegreMaria da Fonte
Last 10#5Table position#131.50Points per game0.676Form pts · last 511.4Goals for · last 50.60.8Goals against · last 52.070Attack rating3071Defence rating2989Form rating1150H2H rating5058Goals model4263Overall rating37

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 31 Oct 16:31 UTC

Montalegre

2W 5D 3L · goals 7:9 · per match 0.7 for, 0.9 against

25 OctHPonte da Barca0-1L
11 OctABragança2-0W
13 SepHMaia Lidador1-1D
5 SepASC Braga B2-2D
30 AugHPonte da Barca0-0D
23 AugHBrito2-0W
16 AugACeloricense0-0D
7 AprASandinenses0-4L
29 MarHOs Limianos0-1L
24 MarHVila Real0-0D

Maria da Fonte

2W 1D 7L · goals 7:19 · per match 0.7 for, 1.9 against

25 OctHBragança1-2L
11 OctAMaia Lidador1-1D
20 SepAParedes1-5L
13 SepHSC Braga B0-4L
6 SepABrito1-2L
30 AugHUniao Nogueirense1-0W
23 AugHCeloricense0-1L
16 AugAVinhais1-0W
31 JulAFafe0-2L
31 AugHBrito1-2L

Head to head

1Montalegre wins
2draws
1Maria da Fonte wins

4 meetings · goals 5:8 · last 4: 1W 2D 1L for Montalegre

6 Mar 2021Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group ACampeonato de Portugal Prio - Group AMontalegre1-1Maria da Fonte
6 Dec 2020Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group ACampeonato de Portugal Prio - Group AMaria da Fonte2-2Montalegre
27 Sep 2020Taça de PortugalTaça de PortugalMaria da Fonte1-2Montalegre
3 Nov 2019Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group ACampeonato de Portugal Prio - Group AMaria da Fonte4-0Montalegre

Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A tableII Divisao: Group Aupdated 31 Oct 16:31 UTC

In the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A table, Montalegre sit 5th with 9 points from 6 games, while Maria da Fonte are 13th with 4 points from 6.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1SC Braga B642012:5+714
2Os Limianos642013:8+514
3Bragança64119:5+413
4Chaves II64029:5+412
5Montalegre62317:4+39
6Tirsense630312:10+29
7Rebordosa622210:3+78
8Celoricense62225:508
9Vila Meã62228:6+28
10Ponte da Barca62135:8-37
11Brito62047:13-66
12Maia Lidador61238:9-15
13Maria da Fonte61144:10-64
14Vinhais60062:20-180

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg150%1.82X28%3.24223%4.00

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.3% margin.

1X2 since open average price

31 Oct 16:311 Nov 08:101 1.82X 3.242 4.00
11.80 → 1.82 +1.1%X3.40 → 3.24 -4.7%23.80 → 4.00 +5.3%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Bet3652.151.676.4%
Pinnacle2.161.618.4%
1xBet2.101.639.0%
Marathonbet2.101.639.0%
Betano2.071.6210.0%
Best of all books2.161.676.2%
Average2.121.638.5%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
1xBet1.921.759.2%
William Hill1.911.759.5%
Marathonbet1.921.739.9%
Best of all books1.921.759.2%
Average1.921.749.5%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Montalegre 45%Draw 45%Maria da Fonte 10%

The statistical model rates Montalegre at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Maria da Fonte at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.82 | 3.24 | 4.00, which imply roughly 54.9% for a Montalegre win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A table: Montalegre are 5th (9 pts, 7-4 goals), Maria da Fonte 13th (4 pts, 4-10).

Over their last five matches, Montalegre averaged 1.4 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game; Maria da Fonte averaged 0.6 scored and 2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Montalegre or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.823.244.00

Double chance

1XX212
1.181.811.26

Draw no bet

12
1.362.88

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.921.74

1st half

1X2
2.442.024.64

2nd half

1X2
2.222.304.21

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 12.9016.343.3
HT X4.654.728.53
HT 225.716.36.70

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.648.052.65

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.057.32
1.51.342.81
2.52.121.63
3.53.781.19
4.58.001.06
5.519.01.01
9 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.056.65
1.251.193.80
1.751.432.48
21.582.14
2.251.851.81
2.752.451.45
33.071.28
3.253.421.23
46.751.04

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-1.252.921.32
-12.561.42
-0.752.041.64
-0.51.821.89
-0.251.552.20
01.312.92
7 more lines
LineHomeAway
-2.57.201.03
-26.251.06
-1.754.251.15
-1.53.341.24
+0.251.243.36
+11.018.60
+1.51.028.70

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
9.51.742.01
101.951.85

Next Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A matches

1 NovMaia Lidador – Chaves II
1 NovPonte da Barca – Vinhais
1 NovSC Braga B – Vila Meã
1 NovBrito – Os Limianos
1 NovCeloricense – Rebordosa
1 NovBragança – Tirsense

All Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A fixtures and the table

Latest Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A results

25 OctMaria da Fonte 1-2 Bragança
25 OctVila Meã 1-3 Brito
25 OctMontalegre 0-1 Ponte da Barca
25 OctTirsense 3-5 Maia Lidador
25 OctRebordosa 8-0 Vinhais
25 OctOs Limianos 3-2 Celoricense