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Maria da Fonte vs Bragança• Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A, Portugal

#130.6:1.61-2FT25/101.4:0.8#3

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.40DAFX3.45DAF22.14DAFMargin at best5.1%Books7Markets41Rating45 · 55Exp. goals L52.2

Price board · 1X2captured 25 Oct 12:01 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Dafabet3.403.452.145.1%
1xBet3.263.202.0410.9%
Betano3.153.352.0211.1%
Marathonbet3.183.202.0212.2%
Bet3653.003.202.1012.2%
William Hill3.102.902.1014.4%
Pinnacle3.163.171.9315.0%
Best of all books3.403.452.145.1%
Average3.183.212.0511.4%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Maria da FonteBragança
Last 10#13Table position#30.67Points per game2.171Form pts · last 590.6Goals for · last 51.41.6Goals against · last 50.830Attack rating7033Defence rating6729Form rating7171H2H rating290Goals model10045Overall rating55

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 31 Oct 16:31 UTC

Maria da Fonte

2W 1D 7L · goals 7:19 · per match 0.7 for, 1.9 against

25 OctHBragança1-2L
11 OctAMaia Lidador1-1D
20 SepAParedes1-5L
13 SepHSC Braga B0-4L
6 SepABrito1-2L
30 AugHUniao Nogueirense1-0W
23 AugHCeloricense0-1L
16 AugAVinhais1-0W
31 JulAFafe0-2L
31 AugHBrito1-2L

Bragança

6W 1D 3L · goals 20:9 · per match 2.0 for, 0.9 against

25 OctAMaria da Fonte2-1W
17 OctAUnião de Leiria1-2L
11 OctHMontalegre0-2L
20 SepHCeloricense6-1W
13 SepHPonte da Barca3-0W
6 SepAMaia Lidador1-0W
30 AugARebordelo4-0W
23 AugHSC Braga B0-0D
16 AugABrito3-2W
31 MayALeça0-1L

Head to head

4Maria da Fonte wins
2draws
1Bragança wins

7 meetings · goals 12:6 · last 7: 4W 2D 1L for Maria da Fonte

22 Jan 2023Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group ACampeonato de Portugal Prio - Group ABragança1-3Maria da Fonte
25 Sep 2022Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group ACampeonato de Portugal Prio - Group AMaria da Fonte0-0Bragança
3 Apr 2021Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group ACampeonato de Portugal Prio - Group ABragança3-2Maria da Fonte
3 Jan 2021Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group ACampeonato de Portugal Prio - Group AMaria da Fonte3-2Bragança
23 Feb 2020Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group ACampeonato de Portugal Prio - Group AMaria da Fonte1-0Bragança
5 Oct 2019Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group ACampeonato de Portugal Prio - Group ABragança0-0Maria da Fonte
8 Sep 2019Taça de PortugalTaça de PortugalMaria da Fonte3-0Bragança

Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A tableII Divisao: Group Aupdated 31 Oct 16:31 UTC

In the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A table, Maria da Fonte sit 13th with 4 points from 6 games, while Bragança are 3rd with 13 points from 6.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1SC Braga B642012:5+714
2Os Limianos642013:8+514
3Bragança64119:5+413
4Chaves II64029:5+412
5Montalegre62317:4+39
6Tirsense630312:10+29
7Rebordosa622210:3+78
8Celoricense62225:508
9Vila Meã62228:6+28
10Ponte da Barca62135:8-37
11Brito62047:13-66
12Maia Lidador61238:9-15
13Maria da Fonte61144:10-64
14Vinhais60062:20-180

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg128%3.18X28%3.21244%2.05

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.1% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Bet3652.101.706.4%
1xBet2.031.679.1%
Marathonbet2.031.679.1%
Pinnacle2.001.6610.2%
Betano1.981.6710.4%
Best of all books2.101.706.4%
Average2.031.679.0%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
William Hill1.851.838.7%
1xBet1.811.869.0%
Marathonbet1.811.839.9%
Best of all books1.851.867.8%
Average1.821.849.2%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Maria da Fonte 10%Draw 45%Bragança 45%

The statistical model rated Maria da Fonte at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Bragança at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.18 | 3.21 | 2.05, which imply roughly 31.2% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A table: Maria da Fonte are 13th (4 pts, 4-10 goals), Bragança 3rd (13 pts, 9-5).

Over their last five matches, Maria da Fonte averaged 0.6 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game; Bragança averaged 1.4 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Winner : Bragança.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
3.183.212.05

Double chance

1XX212
1.611.271.27

Draw no bet

12
2.281.54

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.821.84

1st half

1X2
3.822.052.70

2nd half

1X2
3.572.322.42

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 15.5016.226.3
HT X7.374.785.12
HT 236.316.23.32

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
2.308.201.79

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.047.32
1.51.312.90
2.52.031.67
3.53.581.21
4.57.001.07
5.517.01.02
9 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.047.00
1.251.173.98
1.751.392.58
21.522.24
2.251.781.87
2.752.301.49
32.851.32
3.253.201.26
46.401.05

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-0.52.921.30
-0.252.751.35
02.371.47
+0.251.911.77
+0.51.711.94
+0.751.492.31
8 more lines
LineHomeAway
-1.57.401.03
-16.351.06
-0.754.101.16
+11.302.98
+1.251.233.38
+1.51.174.00
+21.027.90
+2.51.018.70

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
9.51.911.86

Next Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A matches

1 NovMaia Lidador – Chaves II
1 NovPonte da Barca – Vinhais
1 NovSC Braga B – Vila Meã
1 NovBrito – Os Limianos
1 NovMontalegre – Maria da Fonte
1 NovCeloricense – Rebordosa

All Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A fixtures and the table

Latest Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A results

25 OctVila Meã 1-3 Brito
25 OctMontalegre 0-1 Ponte da Barca
25 OctTirsense 3-5 Maia Lidador
25 OctRebordosa 8-0 Vinhais
25 OctOs Limianos 3-2 Celoricense
25 OctChaves II 0-1 SC Braga B