Montalegre vs Ponte da Barca• Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A, Portugal

#51.4:0.60-1FT25/100.8:1.6#10

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.78DAFX3.70DAF24.60DAFMargin at best4.9%Books5Markets40Rating63 · 37Exp. goals L52.2

Price board · 1X2captured 25 Oct 12:01 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	1.78	3.70	4.60	4.9%
1xBet	1.69	3.44	4.42	10.9%
Betano	1.75	3.45	4.00	11.1%
Bet365	1.73	3.50	4.00	11.4%
Marathonbet	1.67	3.44	4.30	12.2%
Best of all books	1.78	3.70	4.60	4.9%
Average	1.72	3.51	4.26	10.0%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

MontalegrePonte da Barca

Last 10#5Table position#101.50Points per game1.176Form pts · last 541.4Goals for · last 50.80.6Goals against · last 51.664Attack rating3673Defence rating2769Form rating3120H2H rating8089Goals model1163Overall rating37

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 31 Oct 16:31 UTC

Montalegre

2W 5D 3L · goals 7:9 · per match 0.7 for, 0.9 against

25 Oct	H	Ponte da Barca	0-1	L
11 Oct	A	Bragança	2-0	W
13 Sep	H	Maia Lidador	1-1	D
5 Sep	A	SC Braga B	2-2	D
30 Aug	H	Ponte da Barca	0-0	D
23 Aug	H	Brito	2-0	W
16 Aug	A	Celoricense	0-0	D
7 Apr	A	Sandinenses	0-4	L
29 Mar	H	Os Limianos	0-1	L
24 Mar	H	Vila Real	0-0	D

Ponte da Barca

2W 3D 5L · goals 6:13 · per match 0.6 for, 1.3 against

25 Oct	A	Montalegre	1-0	W
11 Oct	H	Rebordosa	0-0	D
20 Sep	H	Amarante	0-2	L
13 Sep	A	Bragança	0-3	L
6 Sep	H	Os Limianos	2-3	L
30 Aug	A	Montalegre	0-0	D
23 Aug	A	Maia Lidador	1-0	W
16 Aug	H	Vila Meã	1-2	L
8 Sep	A	Merelinense	0-0	D
25 Sep	A	Estarreja	1-3	L

Head to head

0Montalegre wins

1draws

1Ponte da Barca wins

2 meetings · goals 0:1 · last 2: 0W 1D 1L for Montalegre

30 Aug 2026Taça de Portugal	Taça de Portugal	Montalegre0-0Ponte da Barca
4 Sep 2016Taça de Portugal	Taça de Portugal	Ponte da Barca1-0Montalegre

Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A tableII Divisao: Group Aupdated 31 Oct 16:31 UTC

In the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A table, Montalegre sit 5th with 9 points from 6 games, while Ponte da Barca are 10th with 7 points from 6.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	SC Braga B	6	4	2	0	12:5	+7	14
2	Os Limianos	6	4	2	0	13:8	+5	14
3	Bragança	6	4	1	1	9:5	+4	13
4	Chaves II	6	4	0	2	9:5	+4	12
5	Montalegre	6	2	3	1	7:4	+3	9
6	Tirsense	6	3	0	3	12:10	+2	9
7	Rebordosa	6	2	2	2	10:3	+7	8
8	Celoricense	6	2	2	2	5:5	0	8
9	Vila Meã	6	2	2	2	8:6	+2	8
10	Ponte da Barca	6	2	1	3	5:8	-3	7
11	Brito	6	2	0	4	7:13	-6	6
12	Maia Lidador	6	1	2	3	8:9	-1	5
13	Maria da Fonte	6	1	1	4	4:10	-6	4
14	Vinhais	6	0	0	6	2:20	-18	0

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg153%1.72X26%3.51221%4.26

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.9% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.05	1.75	5.9%
1xBet	1.99	1.70	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.99	1.70	9.1%
Betano	1.95	1.70	10.1%
Best of all books	2.05	1.75	5.9%
Average	2.00	1.71	8.5%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.87	1.80	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.87	1.77	10.0%
Best of all books	1.87	1.80	9.0%
Average	1.87	1.79	9.5%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Montalegre 45%Draw 45%Ponte da Barca 10%

The statistical model rated Montalegre at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Ponte da Barca at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.72 | 3.51 | 4.26, which imply roughly 58.1% for a Montalegre win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A table: Montalegre are 5th (9 pts, 7-4 goals), Ponte da Barca 10th (7 pts, 5-8).

Over their last five matches, Montalegre averaged 1.4 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game; Ponte da Barca averaged 0.8 scored and 1.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Montalegre or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.72	3.51	4.26

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.16	1.91	1.22

Draw no bet

1	2
1.33	3.06

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.87	1.79

1st half

1	X	2
2.32	2.10	4.77

2nd half

1	X	2
2.09	2.42	4.41

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.71	16.5	42.7
HT X	4.68	5.17	9.17
HT 2	23.3	16.5	6.97

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.58	9.15	2.69

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
1.5	1.28	3.05
2.5	2.00	1.71
3.5	3.50	1.22
4.5	6.15	1.09

9 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	7.70
1.25	1.15	4.20
1.75	1.36	2.71
2	1.48	2.33
2.25	1.74	1.90
2.75	2.28	1.52
3	2.83	1.33
3.25	3.14	1.27
4	6.40	1.05

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	3.08	1.28
-1.25	2.70	1.36
-1	2.36	1.49
-0.75	1.94	1.75
-0.5	1.70	1.91
-0.25	1.47	2.35

7 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	6.70	1.05
-2	5.75	1.07
-1.75	3.92	1.18
0	1.26	3.20
+0.25	1.19	3.74
+1	1.01	8.50
+1.5	1.02	8.80

Next Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A matches

1 Nov	Brito – Os Limianos
1 Nov	Bragança – Tirsense
1 Nov	SC Braga B – Vila Meã
1 Nov	Montalegre – Maria da Fonte
1 Nov	Celoricense – Rebordosa
1 Nov	Maia Lidador – Chaves II

All Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A fixtures and the table

Latest Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A results

25 Oct	Maria da Fonte 1-2 Bragança
25 Oct	Vila Meã 1-3 Brito
25 Oct	Tirsense 3-5 Maia Lidador
25 Oct	Rebordosa 8-0 Vinhais
25 Oct	Os Limianos 3-2 Celoricense
25 Oct	Chaves II 0-1 SC Braga B