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AEL vs Aris• 1. Division, Cyprus

#21.6:1.61-3FTToday · Alphamega Stadium, Limassol1.0:1.2#5

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.91PINX3.60BVC22.00BFRMargin at best3.4%Books10Markets67Rating46 · 54 levelExp. goals L52.7

Price board · 1X2captured 25 Oct 14:12 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Betano3.753.401.986.6%
Dafabet3.703.501.956.9%
Pinnacle3.913.461.887.7%
1xBet3.823.461.898.0%
Marathonbet3.803.461.878.7%
BetVictor3.703.601.858.9%
Bet3653.753.401.8510.1%
William Hill3.703.201.9110.6%
Betfair3.103.402.0011.7%
SBO2.983.231.9815.0%
Best of all books3.913.602.003.4%
Average3.623.411.929.1%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

AELAris
Last 10#2Table position#52.14Points per game1.7112Form pts · last 5101.6Goals for · last 51.01.6Goals against · last 51.262Attack rating3843Defence rating5760Form rating4040H2H rating6050Goals model5046Overall rating54

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 25 Oct 00:11 UTC

AEL

7W 1D 2L · goals 18:13 · per match 1.8 for, 1.3 against

18 OctAOmonia Aradippou2-0W
11 OctHOmonia 29is Maiou2-1W
18 SepAPafos2-0W
11 SepHNea Salamis2-1W
6 SepAApoel Nicosia0-6L
30 AugHAnorthosis2-0W
19 AugAKrasava Odintsovo4-0W
9 AugARadomiak Radom1-1D
15 MayAAkritas2-1W
9 MayHOlympiakos1-3L

Aris

4W 3D 3L · goals 18:15 · per match 1.8 for, 1.5 against

18 OctHAEK Larnaca1-1D
14 OctHEthnikos Achna4-0W
11 OctAOlympiakos2-1W
3 OctHRiga1-2L
26 SepHOmonia 29is Maiou4-2W
20 SepHKarmiotissa0-0D
14 SepAKrasava Ypsonas1-0W
7 SepHOmonia Nicosia1-4L
29 AugHApollon Limassol2-2D
9 AugAUnion Berlin2-3L

Head to head

3AEL wins
3draws
7Aris wins

13 meetings · goals 6:24 · last 10: 3W 1D 6L for AEL

1 Feb 20261. Division1. DivisionAEL2-1Aris
21 Jan 2026CupCupAris0-1AEL
19 Oct 20251. Division1. DivisionAris4-0AEL
23 Feb 20251. Division1. DivisionAris4-0AEL
24 Nov 20241. Division1. DivisionAEL0-3Aris
18 Feb 20241. Division1. DivisionAris4-0AEL
4 Dec 20231. Division1. DivisionAEL0-4Aris
11 Dec 20221. Division1. DivisionAEL0-0Aris
28 Aug 20221. Division1. DivisionAris2-1AEL
31 Jan 20221. Division1. DivisionAris1-2AEL

1. Division table1-divisionupdated 25 Oct 21:20 UTC

In the 1. Division table, AEL sit 2nd with 15 points from 7 games, while Aris are 5th with 12 points from 7.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Apollon Limassol743019:8+1115
2AEL750211:11015
3AEK Larnaca641111:5+613
4Omonia Nicosia633013:4+912
5Aris733110:9+112
6Apoel Nicosia732216:9+711
7Pafos63217:3+411
8Omonia 29is Maiou722312:13-18
9Anorthosis72056:13-76
10Olympiakos706111:12-16
11Omonia Aradippou71334:8-46
12Nea Salamis611411:15-44
13Krasava Ypsonas71156:15-94
14Karmiotissa70344:16-123

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg125%3.62X27%3.41248%1.92

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.4% margin.

1X2 since open average price

22 Oct 00:0125 Oct 15:501 3.62X 3.412 1.92
12.66 → 3.62 +36.1%X3.29 → 3.41 +3.6%22.46 → 1.92 -22.0%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Betano1.722.105.8%
Pinnacle1.782.015.9%
Bet3651.702.106.4%
1xBet1.742.017.2%
Marathonbet1.742.017.2%
Betfair1.652.108.2%
BetVictor1.711.989.0%
Best of all books1.782.103.8%
Average1.722.047.1%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Bet3651.672.107.5%
1xBet1.642.137.9%
Betano1.572.258.1%
Betfair1.572.258.1%
BetVictor1.622.158.2%
William Hill1.622.158.2%
Marathonbet1.642.108.6%
Best of all books1.672.254.3%
Average1.622.168.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

AEL 35%Draw 35%Aris 30%

The statistical model rated AEL at 35% to win, the draw at 35% and Aris at 30% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.62 | 3.41 | 1.92, which imply roughly 27.6% for a AEL win versus the model's 35%.

Form context from the 1. Division table: AEL are 2nd (15 pts, 11-11 goals), Aris 5th (12 pts, 10-9).

Over their last five matches, AEL averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game; Aris averaged 1 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : AEL or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

AEL

Coach: Hugo Martins

Goalkeeper

  • 1S. Kapino

Defence

  • 33E. Antoniou
  • 22K. Neofytou

Midfield

  • 6D. Zdravkovski
  • 20João Tavares
  • 23Diogo Gomes
  • 30G. Papageorgiou

Attack

  • 80Jair Tavares
  • 11L. Singh
  • 10R. Oudin
  • 9S. Jovetić
Substitutes (10)
  • 75Simonas Christofi
  • 99G. Chinedu
  • 2A. Karo
  • 70kyriacos kyriacou
  • 98P. Kyriakou
  • 74Samy Merzouk
  • 19I. Milosavljević
  • 77F. Mughe
  • 17D. Paroutis
  • 35Sérgio Conceição

Aris

Coach: A. Radkov

Goalkeeper

  • 91M. Zadro

Defence

  • 7Anderson Correia
  • 24G. Kalulu
  • 17M. Matysik
  • 20S. Yago

Midfield

  • 8C. Charalampous
  • 70C. El Allachi
  • 29D. Gaustad
  • 22V. Nikolić
  • 6A. Opoku

Attack

  • 11R. Effaghe
Substitutes (12)
  • 88C. Fi Akamba
  • 21D. Galyata
  • 30Gustavo Pajé
  • 16Oriyomi Lebi
  • 5D. Lelle
  • 3Lazar Maraš
  • 78Denis Ovsyannikov
  • 19Sane mamadou
  • 18B. Szakos
  • 1Vaná Alves
  • 46G. Dimitriou
  • 23Bernardo Folha

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
3.623.411.92

Double chance

1XX212
1.781.251.26

Draw no bet

12
2.781.40

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.622.16

1st half

1X2
3.972.232.46

2nd half

1X2
3.622.572.26

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 15.9213.921.6
HT X8.145.535.09
HT 231.514.03.04

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
2.3711.21.69

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0210.2
1.51.213.96
2.51.722.04
3.52.741.39
4.54.931.14
5.58.531.04
6.512.01.01
7.519.0–
14 more lines
LineOverUnder
0.751.018.70
11.018.30
1.251.114.96
1.751.253.30
21.332.94
2.251.532.31
2.751.921.82
32.191.59
3.252.471.46
3.753.211.27
44.201.16
4.254.501.13
4.755.501.08
58.201.02

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
02.821.39
+0.252.161.65
+0.51.881.88
+0.751.662.09
+11.442.57
+1.251.362.87
12 more lines
LineHomeAway
-1.758.701.01
-1.57.201.06
-1.256.771.06
-16.331.08
-0.754.711.15
-0.53.511.29
-0.253.161.31
+1.51.303.13
+1.751.203.89
+21.115.48
+2.251.095.80
+2.51.086.17

Cards in match

LineOverUnder
6.52.101.67

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
5.51.026.70
6.51.193.96
7.51.412.70
8.51.742.00
9.52.221.60
10.52.991.34
11.54.201.14
12.56.471.03
7 more lines
LineOverUnder
61.046.12
71.223.50
81.512.34
91.971.79
102.621.40
113.821.18
126.021.04

Next 1. Division matches

26 OctNea Salamis – Pafos
26 OctAEK Larnaca – Omonia Nicosia

All 1. Division fixtures and the table

Latest 1. Division results

25 OctApoel Nicosia 4-1 Omonia 29is Maiou
25 OctKarmiotissa 0-5 Apollon Limassol
24 OctAnorthosis 2-0 Omonia Aradippou
24 OctOlympiakos 1-1 Krasava Ypsonas
19 OctOmonia Nicosia 2-2 Olympiakos
19 OctPafos 0-0 Apoel Nicosia