AEK Larnaca vs Omonia Nicosia• 1. Division, Cyprus

#31.6:0.817:00Today · AEK Arena, Larnaca2.6:0.8#4

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.50BFRX3.45BTN22.05B365Margin at best6.3%Books10Markets65Rating34 · 66Exp. goals L52.9

Price board · 1X2captured 26 Oct 04:56 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Betano	3.40	3.50	2.05	6.8%
Dafabet	3.35	3.40	2.09	7.1%
Pinnacle	3.47	3.36	2.03	7.8%
1xBet	3.44	3.34	2.04	8.0%
Bet365	3.30	3.40	2.05	8.5%
BetVictor	3.30	3.40	2.05	8.5%
Marathonbet	3.42	3.34	2.02	8.7%
Betfair	3.50	3.40	1.91	10.3%
William Hill	3.30	3.10	2.00	12.6%
SBO	3.09	3.05	1.93	17.0%
Best of all books	3.50	3.50	2.09	5.0%
Average	3.36	3.33	2.02	9.4%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

AEK LarnacaOmonia Nicosia

Last 10#3Table position#42.17Points per game2.0013Form pts · last 5101.6Goals for · last 52.60.8Goals against · last 50.838Attack rating6250Defence rating5048Form rating5215H2H rating8521Goals model7934Overall rating66

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 26 Oct 00:10 UTC

AEK Larnaca

7W 1D 2L · goals 19:9 · per match 1.9 for, 0.9 against

21 Oct	H	Akritas	3-2	W
18 Oct	A	Aris	1-1	D
12 Oct	H	Omonia Aradippou	1-0	W
3 Oct	H	Apollon Limassol	3-0	W
27 Sep	H	Nea Salamis	2-1	W
18 Sep	A	Omonia 29is Maiou	2-1	W
13 Sep	H	Pafos	0-1	L
6 Sep	A	Nea Salamis	4-1	W
29 Aug	H	Apoel Nicosia	3-1	W
8 Aug	H	Omonia Aradippou	0-1	L

Omonia Nicosia

5W 3D 2L · goals 18:9 · per match 1.8 for, 0.9 against

22 Oct	H	Benfica	1-4	L
19 Oct	H	Olympiakos	2-2	D
15 Oct	A	Celje	3-0	W
9 Oct	A	Karmiotissa	3-0	W
20 Sep	H	Krasava Ypsonas	4-1	W
16 Sep	H	Celta Vigo	1-0	W
12 Sep	H	Apollon Limassol	0-0	D
7 Sep	A	Aris	4-1	W
3 Sep	H	Pafos	0-1	L
31 Aug	H	Omonia Aradippou	0-0	D

Head to head

10AEK Larnaca wins

8draws

12Omonia Nicosia wins

30 meetings · goals 31:34 · last 10: 1W 5D 4L for AEK Larnaca

10 May 20261. Division	1. Division	Omonia Nicosia1-1AEK Larnaca
14 Apr 20261. Division	1. Division	AEK Larnaca0-2Omonia Nicosia
14 Jan 2026Cup	Cup	Omonia Nicosia2-1AEK Larnaca
15 Dec 20251. Division	1. Division	AEK Larnaca1-1Omonia Nicosia
17 Sep 20251. Division	1. Division	Omonia Nicosia1-0AEK Larnaca
7 May 2025Cup	Cup	AEK Larnaca2-1Omonia Nicosia
30 Apr 2025Cup	Cup	Omonia Nicosia0-0AEK Larnaca
22 Apr 20251. Division	1. Division	AEK Larnaca1-1Omonia Nicosia
16 Mar 20251. Division	1. Division	Omonia Nicosia1-1AEK Larnaca
3 Jan 20251. Division	1. Division	AEK Larnaca0-3Omonia Nicosia

1. Division table1-divisionupdated 25 Oct 21:20 UTC

In the 1. Division table, AEK Larnaca sit 3rd with 13 points from 6 games, while Omonia Nicosia are 4th with 12 points from 6.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Apollon Limassol	7	4	3	0	19:8	+11	15
2	AEL	7	5	0	2	11:11	0	15
3	AEK Larnaca	6	4	1	1	11:5	+6	13
4	Omonia Nicosia	6	3	3	0	13:4	+9	12
5	Aris	7	3	3	1	10:9	+1	12
6	Apoel Nicosia	7	3	2	2	16:9	+7	11
7	Pafos	6	3	2	1	7:3	+4	11
8	Omonia 29is Maiou	7	2	2	3	12:13	-1	8
9	Anorthosis	7	2	0	5	6:13	-7	6
10	Olympiakos	7	0	6	1	11:12	-1	6
11	Omonia Aradippou	7	1	3	3	4:8	-4	6
12	Nea Salamis	6	1	1	4	11:15	-4	4
13	Krasava Ypsonas	7	1	1	5	6:15	-9	4
14	Karmiotissa	7	0	3	4	4:16	-12	3

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg127%3.40X27%3.38246%2.02

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.3% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.94 → 3.40 +15.6%X3.31 → 3.38 +2.1%22.28 → 2.02 -11.4%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.83	1.98	5.1%
SBO	1.92	1.88	5.3%
Bet365	1.85	1.95	5.3%
Betano	1.83	1.95	5.9%
1xBet	1.82	1.91	7.3%
Marathonbet	1.82	1.91	7.3%
Betfair	1.80	1.91	7.9%
BetVictor	1.81	1.87	8.7%
Best of all books	1.92	1.98	2.6%
Average	1.84	1.92	6.6%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.62	2.20	7.2%
William Hill	1.67	2.10	7.5%
Bet365	1.73	2.00	7.8%
1xBet	1.66	2.09	8.1%
Betano	1.67	2.07	8.2%
BetVictor	1.67	2.05	8.7%
Marathonbet	1.66	2.06	8.8%
Best of all books	1.73	2.20	3.3%
Average	1.67	2.08	8.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

AEK Larnaca 10%Draw 45%Omonia Nicosia 45%

The statistical model rates AEK Larnaca at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Omonia Nicosia at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.40 | 3.38 | 2.02, which imply roughly 29.6% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the 1. Division table: AEK Larnaca are 3rd (13 pts, 11-5 goals), Omonia Nicosia 4th (12 pts, 13-4).

Over their last five matches, AEK Larnaca averaged 1.6 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game; Omonia Nicosia averaged 2.6 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Omonia Nicosia.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
3.36	3.33	2.02

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.71	1.28	1.27

Draw no bet

1	2
2.48	1.49

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.67	2.08

1st half

1	X	2
3.87	2.15	2.58

2nd half

1	X	2
3.52	2.49	2.38

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	5.64	14.2	24.2
HT X	7.69	5.24	5.12
HT 2	34.6	14.1	3.18

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.28	11.3	1.72

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.04	10.0
1.5	1.24	3.61
2.5	1.84	1.92
3.5	3.00	1.34
4.5	5.85	1.10
5.5	9.68	1.04
6.5	13.9	1.01
7.5	21.0	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.01	8.70
1.25	1.11	4.90
1.75	1.28	3.23
2	1.37	2.77
2.25	1.59	2.20
2.75	2.02	1.71
3	2.37	1.51
3.25	2.67	1.40
3.75	3.60	1.21
4	4.90	1.11
4.25	5.31	1.10
4.75	7.30	1.03
5	7.50	1.04

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.25	2.88	1.36
0	2.49	1.48
+0.25	1.99	1.76
+0.5	1.76	2.03
+0.75	1.54	2.33
+1	1.36	2.94

11 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	7.40	1.05
-1.25	7.00	1.06
-1	6.45	1.07
-0.75	4.23	1.18
-0.5	3.30	1.32
+1.25	1.28	3.34
+1.5	1.22	3.71
+1.75	1.14	4.75
+2	1.06	7.07
+2.25	1.03	7.60
+2.5	1.02	8.00

Cards in match

Line	Over	Under
5.5	2.12	1.67

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
5.5	1.05	5.87
6.5	1.23	3.56
7.5	1.49	2.47
8.5	1.85	1.89
9.5	2.41	1.50
10.5	3.32	1.27
11.5	4.77	1.10

7 more lines

Line	Over	Under
6	1.07	5.32
7	1.28	3.12
8	1.61	2.15
9	2.10	1.65
10	2.91	1.32
11	4.38	1.13
12	7.10	1.01

Next 1. Division matches

26 Oct

Nea Salamis – Pafos

All 1. Division fixtures and the table

Latest 1. Division results

25 Oct	AEL 1-3 Aris
25 Oct	Apoel Nicosia 4-1 Omonia 29is Maiou
25 Oct	Karmiotissa 0-5 Apollon Limassol
24 Oct	Anorthosis 2-0 Omonia Aradippou
24 Oct	Olympiakos 1-1 Krasava Ypsonas
19 Oct	Omonia Nicosia 2-2 Olympiakos