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Nea Salamis vs Pafos• 1. Division, Cyprus

#121.6:2.416:00Today · Ammochostos Stadium, Larnaca0.8:0.6#7

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

15.20MARX3.95BTN21.65DAFMargin at best5.2%Books10Markets73Rating27 · 73Exp. goals L52.7

Price board · 1X2captured 26 Oct 04:56 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Betano4.803.951.656.8%
Dafabet4.904.001.627.1%
Pinnacle4.853.921.627.9%
1xBet5.163.841.607.9%
Bet3655.003.901.608.1%
Marathonbet5.203.841.588.6%
BetVictor5.003.801.608.8%
Betfair4.503.801.6011.0%
William Hill4.803.501.6211.1%
SBO4.503.521.5216.4%
Best of all books5.204.001.654.8%
Average4.873.811.609.3%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Nea SalamisPafos
Last 10#12Table position#70.67Points per game1.836Form pts · last 551.6Goals for · last 50.82.4Goals against · last 50.667Attack rating3320Defence rating8027Form rating737H2H rating9312Goals model8827Overall rating73

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 26 Oct 00:10 UTC

Nea Salamis

4W 1D 5L · goals 26:19 · per match 2.6 for, 1.9 against

21 OctHAPEA4-0W
17 OctAApollon Limassol2-4L
10 OctAApoel Nicosia1-2L
3 OctAErmis3-0W
27 SepAAEK Larnaca1-2L
19 SepHAnorthosis3-0W
11 SepAAEL1-2L
6 SepHAEK Larnaca1-4L
28 AugAOlympiakos3-3D
14 AugHKrasava Odintsovo7-2W

Pafos

5W 3D 2L · goals 14:9 · per match 1.4 for, 0.9 against

22 OctHRiga1-1D
19 OctHApoel Nicosia0-0D
15 OctAAtalanta1-3L
11 OctAAnorthosis3-1W
18 SepHAEL0-2L
13 SepAAEK Larnaca1-0W
7 SepHOlympiakos0-0D
3 SepAOmonia Nicosia1-0W
30 AugAKarmiotissa3-0W
27 AugHDinamo Tirana4-2W

Head to head

6Nea Salamis wins
1draws
10Pafos wins

17 meetings · goals 15:27 · last 10: 2W 1D 7L for Nea Salamis

16 Dec 20241. Division1. DivisionNea Salamis0-2Pafos
18 Sep 20241. Division1. DivisionPafos4-0Nea Salamis
28 Feb 2024CupCupNea Salamis0-5Pafos
19 Feb 20241. Division1. DivisionPafos0-0Nea Salamis
3 Dec 20231. Division1. DivisionNea Salamis0-2Pafos
3 Feb 20231. Division1. DivisionPafos1-2Nea Salamis
29 Oct 20221. Division1. DivisionNea Salamis0-2Pafos
16 May 20211. Division1. DivisionNea Salamis1-2Pafos
20 Mar 20211. Division1. DivisionPafos3-0Nea Salamis
11 Jan 20211. Division1. DivisionNea Salamis2-0Pafos

1. Division table1-divisionupdated 25 Oct 21:20 UTC

In the 1. Division table, Nea Salamis sit 12th with 4 points from 6 games, while Pafos are 7th with 11 points from 6.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Apollon Limassol743019:8+1115
2AEL750211:11015
3AEK Larnaca641111:5+613
4Omonia Nicosia633013:4+912
5Aris733110:9+112
6Apoel Nicosia732216:9+711
7Pafos63217:3+411
8Omonia 29is Maiou722312:13-18
9Anorthosis72056:13-76
10Olympiakos706111:12-16
11Omonia Aradippou71334:8-46
12Nea Salamis611411:15-44
13Krasava Ypsonas71156:15-94
14Karmiotissa70344:16-123

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg119%4.91X24%3.83257%1.61

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.2% margin.

1X2 since open average price

23 Oct 00:0125 Oct 23:301 4.91X 3.832 1.61
16.56 → 4.91 -25.2%X4.20 → 3.83 -8.8%21.44 → 1.61 +11.8%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Bet3651.732.085.9%
Betano1.752.055.9%
Pinnacle1.712.106.1%
1xBet1.722.037.4%
Marathonbet1.722.037.4%
Betfair1.652.108.2%
BetVictor1.701.999.1%
Best of all books1.752.104.8%
Average1.712.057.1%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betfair1.732.056.6%
William Hill1.702.057.6%
Betano1.751.987.6%
1xBet1.732.007.8%
Bet3651.732.007.8%
Marathonbet1.731.978.6%
BetVictor1.702.008.8%
Best of all books1.752.055.9%
Average1.722.017.8%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Nea Salamis 10%Draw 45%Pafos 45%

The statistical model rates Nea Salamis at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Pafos at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 4.91 | 3.83 | 1.61, which imply roughly 26.1% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the 1. Division table: Nea Salamis are 12th (4 pts, 11-15 goals), Pafos 7th (11 pts, 7-3).

Over their last five matches, Nea Salamis averaged 1.6 goals scored and 2.4 conceded per game; Pafos averaged 0.8 scored and 0.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Pafos.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
4.873.811.60

Double chance

1XX212
2.201.141.22

Draw no bet

12
3.691.25

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.722.01

1st half

1X2
4.962.282.11

2nd half

1X2
4.642.631.94

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 18.2215.721.5
HT X10.56.034.43
HT 242.915.22.41

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
2.7513.01.50

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0310.7
1.51.213.95
2.51.712.05
3.52.771.39
4.55.131.13
5.59.231.05
6.512.11.01
7.521.0–
14 more lines
LineOverUnder
0.751.018.90
1–9.30
1.251.095.25
1.751.273.34
21.303.07
2.251.512.37
2.751.901.83
32.181.60
3.252.451.47
3.753.221.27
44.201.15
4.254.561.13
4.756.151.06
58.601.01

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
+0.252.711.40
+0.52.261.60
+0.751.981.74
+11.732.02
+1.251.552.32
+1.51.452.62
12 more lines
LineHomeAway
-19.401.01
-0.756.401.07
-0.54.651.18
-0.254.291.17
03.751.22
+1.751.323.10
+21.194.08
+2.251.164.44
+2.51.144.87
+2.751.086.30
+31.018.90
+3.51.019.65

Cards in match

LineOverUnder
5.52.071.70

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
5.51.027.02
6.51.184.08
7.51.382.79
8.51.682.08
9.52.151.64
10.52.871.36
11.54.021.19
12.56.141.04
7 more lines
LineOverUnder
61.036.42
71.203.64
81.482.41
91.921.83
102.541.43
113.661.20
125.711.06

Next 1. Division matches

26 OctAEK Larnaca – Omonia Nicosia

All 1. Division fixtures and the table

Latest 1. Division results

25 OctAEL 1-3 Aris
25 OctApoel Nicosia 4-1 Omonia 29is Maiou
25 OctKarmiotissa 0-5 Apollon Limassol
24 OctAnorthosis 2-0 Omonia Aradippou
24 OctOlympiakos 1-1 Krasava Ypsonas
19 OctOmonia Nicosia 2-2 Olympiakos