Simba vs Namungo• Ligi kuu Bara, Tanzania

#12.6:0.416:00Today · Isamuhyo Stadium, Dar es Salaam0.8:0.8#7

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.17B365X7.601XB221.0BFRMargin at best3.4%Books6Markets48Rating79 · 22Exp. goals L52.3

Price board · 1X2captured 2 Nov 09:15 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Bet365	1.17	6.00	17.0	8.0%
Dafabet	1.15	5.80	16.0	10.4%
Betfair	1.10	6.50	21.0	11.1%
Betano	1.15	5.70	14.5	11.4%
Marathonbet	1.08	6.85	18.3	12.7%
1xBet	1.05	7.60	17.0	14.3%
Best of all books	1.17	7.60	21.0	3.4%
Average	1.12	6.41	17.3	10.9%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

SimbaNamungo

Last 10#1Table position#73.00Points per game1.5015Form pts · last 592.6Goals for · last 50.80.4Goals against · last 50.876Attack rating2467Defence rating3363Form rating3893H2H rating790Goals model1079Overall rating22

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 2 Nov 02:40 UTC

Simba

10W 0D 0L · goals 30:4 · per match 3.0 for, 0.4 against

29 Oct	A	Fountain Gate	1-0	W
25 Oct	H	15 de Agosto	3-0	W
21 Oct	A	15 de Agosto	6-1	W
13 Oct	H	Mashujaa	6-1	W
10 Oct	H	Young Africans	2-1	W
16 Sep	A	Azam	2-0	W
13 Sep	H	Be Forward Wanderers	6-1	W
6 Sep	A	Be Forward Wanderers	1-0	W
31 Aug	H	Geita Gold	2-0	W
27 Aug	H	Coastal Union	1-0	W

Namungo

5W 0D 5L · goals 10:12 · per match 1.0 for, 1.2 against

29 Oct	H	Polisi Tanzania	1-0	W
24 Oct	H	Coastal Union	2-1	W
8 Oct	H	Tabora United	1-0	W
11 Sep	A	Dodoma Jiji	0-1	L
7 Sep	A	Azam	0-2	L
1 Sep	A	Singida Black Stars	2-3	L
29 Aug	A	JKT Tanzania	1-2	L
25 Aug	H	Fountain Gate	1-0	W
18 Aug	H	Geita Gold	1-0	W
15 Aug	H	Young Africans	1-3	L

Head to head

9Simba wins

5draws

0Namungo wins

14 meetings · goals 30:10 · last 10: 6W 4D 0L for Simba

19 Apr 2026Ligi kuu Bara	Ligi kuu Bara	Namungo1-3Simba
1 Oct 2025Ligi kuu Bara	Ligi kuu Bara	Simba3-0Namungo
19 Feb 2025Ligi kuu Bara	Ligi kuu Bara	Namungo0-3Simba
25 Oct 2024Ligi kuu Bara	Ligi kuu Bara	Simba3-0Namungo
30 Apr 2024Ligi kuu Bara	Ligi kuu Bara	Namungo2-2Simba
9 Nov 2023Ligi kuu Bara	Ligi kuu Bara	Simba1-1Namungo
3 May 2023Ligi kuu Bara	Ligi kuu Bara	Namungo1-1Simba
16 Nov 2022Ligi kuu Bara	Ligi kuu Bara	Simba1-0Namungo
3 May 2022Ligi kuu Bara	Ligi kuu Bara	Namungo2-2Simba
3 Nov 2021Ligi kuu Bara	Ligi kuu Bara	Simba1-0Namungo

Ligi kuu Bara tableLigi kuu Baraupdated 2 Nov 02:40 UTC

In the Ligi kuu Bara table, Simba sit 1st with 27 points from 9 games, while Namungo are 7th with 15 points from 10.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Simba	9	9	0	0	20:4	+16	27
2	Young Africans	10	8	1	1	23:5	+18	25
3	Azam	10	7	2	1	19:8	+11	23
4	JKT Tanzania	11	5	2	4	13:14	-1	17
5	Dodoma Jiji	10	4	4	2	8:5	+3	16
6	Polisi Tanzania	11	4	3	4	13:12	+1	15
7	Namungo	10	5	0	5	10:12	-2	15
8	Singida Black Stars	9	4	2	3	15:11	+4	14
9	Coastal Union	11	4	2	5	9:13	-4	14
10	Mashujaa	9	4	0	5	10:15	-5	12
11	Mbeya City	9	3	1	5	8:13	-5	10
12	Geita Gold	11	2	3	6	11:18	-7	9
13	Tabora United	9	1	5	3	7:8	-1	8
14	Pamba Jiji	10	1	3	6	10:16	-6	6
15	Fountain Gate	10	1	3	6	5:14	-9	6
16	Kagera Sugar	11	1	3	7	9:22	-13	6

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg181%1.12X14%6.4125%17.3

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.4% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.12 → 1.12 0.0%X6.35 → 6.41 +0.9%217.6 → 17.3 -1.6%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.73	2.08	5.9%
Betfair	1.75	1.95	8.4%
Marathonbet	1.71	1.98	9.0%
1xBet	1.59	2.15	9.4%
Betano	1.65	2.02	10.1%
Best of all books	1.75	2.15	3.7%
Average	1.69	2.04	8.4%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	3.20	1.30	8.2%
1xBet	3.01	1.31	9.6%
Marathonbet	3.28	1.26	9.9%
Best of all books	3.28	1.31	6.8%
Average	3.16	1.29	9.1%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Simba 50%Draw 50%Namungo 0%

The statistical model rates Simba at 50% to win, the draw at 50% and Namungo at 0% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.12 | 6.41 | 17.29, which imply roughly 89.3% for a Simba win versus the model's 50%.

Form context from the Ligi kuu Bara table: Simba are 1st (27 pts, 20-4 goals), Namungo 7th (15 pts, 10-12).

Over their last five matches, Simba averaged 2.6 goals scored and 0.4 conceded per game; Namungo averaged 0.8 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Winner : Simba.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.12	6.41	17.3

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.02	4.75	1.08

Draw no bet

1	2
1.03	8.85

Both teams to score

Yes	No
3.16	1.29

1st half

1	X	2
1.47	2.74	14.5

2nd half

1	X	2
1.35	3.22	14.4

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	1.57	28.0	144.0
HT X	3.53	8.43	30.0
HT 2	26.0	31.3	31.0

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.15	11.6	6.30

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.01	11.0
1.5	1.21	3.79
2.5	1.69	2.04
3.5	2.77	1.37
4.5	5.50	1.11
5.5	11.0	1.01

9 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.01	9.00
1.75	1.25	3.28
2	1.28	3.20
2.25	1.51	2.26
2.75	1.86	1.76
3	2.10	1.61
3.25	2.46	1.43
3.75	3.28	1.25
4	4.30	1.15

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	2.28	1.52
-2.25	2.02	1.64
-2	1.79	1.88
-1.75	1.59	2.10
-1.5	1.46	2.45
-1.25	1.31	2.92

6 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-4	6.85	1.04
-3.5	4.00	1.17
-3	3.34	1.24
-1	1.15	4.25
-0.75	1.12	4.75
-0.25	1.03	7.30

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
8.5	2.02	1.78

Next Ligi kuu Bara matches

2 Nov

Mashujaa – Pamba Jiji

All Ligi kuu Bara fixtures and the table

Latest Ligi kuu Bara results

1 Nov	Young Africans 4-0 Kagera Sugar
1 Nov	Polisi Tanzania 1-0 Geita Gold
31 Oct	JKT Tanzania 1-2 Azam
29 Oct	Namungo 1-0 Polisi Tanzania
29 Oct	Fountain Gate 0-1 Simba
29 Oct	Pamba Jiji 0-1 Singida Black Stars