Mashujaa vs Pamba Jiji• Ligi kuu Bara, Tanzania

#101.2:2.213:15Today · Lake Tanganyika Stadium, Kigoma1.4:1.2#14

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.83WHX3.25BFR25.00BFRMargin at best5.4%Books7Markets40Rating54 · 47 levelExp. goals L53.0

Price board · 1X2captured 2 Nov 09:15 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	1.80	3.20	4.40	9.5%
Betfair	1.67	3.25	5.00	10.6%
Betano	1.78	3.15	4.40	10.7%
1xBet	1.76	3.16	4.46	10.9%
Bet365	1.73	3.20	4.50	11.3%
Marathonbet	1.74	3.16	4.33	12.2%
William Hill	1.83	2.90	4.20	12.9%
Best of all books	1.83	3.25	5.00	5.4%
Average	1.76	3.15	4.47	11.0%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

MashujaaPamba Jiji

Last 10#10Table position#141.33Points per game0.606Form pts · last 551.2Goals for · last 51.42.2Goals against · last 51.246Attack rating5435Defence rating6555Form rating4550H2H rating5079Goals model2154Overall rating47

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 2 Nov 02:40 UTC

Mashujaa

4W 0D 6L · goals 10:16 · per match 1.0 for, 1.6 against

27 Oct	A	Young Africans	1-2	L
13 Oct	A	Simba	1-6	L
8 Oct	H	Polisi Tanzania	2-1	W
9 Sep	H	Singida Black Stars	2-1	W
4 Sep	A	Dodoma Jiji	0-1	L
27 Aug	H	Kagera Sugar	2-1	W
23 Aug	A	Mbeya City	1-2	L
18 Aug	A	Fountain Gate	0-1	L
15 Aug	A	Coastal Union	1-0	W
30 Jun	H	Tanzania Prisons	0-1	L

Pamba Jiji

1W 3D 6L · goals 10:16 · per match 1.0 for, 1.6 against

29 Oct	H	Singida Black Stars	0-1	L
23 Oct	A	Polisi Tanzania	1-1	D
16 Oct	A	Fountain Gate	1-1	D
8 Oct	H	Geita Gold	4-0	W
13 Sep	H	Tabora United	1-3	L
5 Sep	A	JKT Tanzania	0-3	L
28 Aug	A	Young Africans	0-2	L
23 Aug	A	Azam	1-2	L
19 Aug	H	Simba	1-2	L
14 Aug	H	Dodoma Jiji	1-1	D

Head to head

1Mashujaa wins

2draws

1Pamba Jiji wins

4 meetings · goals 5:4 · last 4: 1W 2D 1L for Mashujaa

4 Apr 2026Ligi kuu Bara	Ligi kuu Bara	Mashujaa0-0Pamba Jiji
17 Oct 2025Ligi kuu Bara	Ligi kuu Bara	Pamba Jiji2-1Mashujaa
19 Feb 2025Ligi kuu Bara	Ligi kuu Bara	Mashujaa2-0Pamba Jiji
21 Sep 2024Ligi kuu Bara	Ligi kuu Bara	Pamba Jiji2-2Mashujaa

Ligi kuu Bara tableLigi kuu Baraupdated 2 Nov 02:40 UTC

In the Ligi kuu Bara table, Mashujaa sit 10th with 12 points from 9 games, while Pamba Jiji are 14th with 6 points from 10.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Simba	9	9	0	0	20:4	+16	27
2	Young Africans	10	8	1	1	23:5	+18	25
3	Azam	10	7	2	1	19:8	+11	23
4	JKT Tanzania	11	5	2	4	13:14	-1	17
5	Dodoma Jiji	10	4	4	2	8:5	+3	16
6	Polisi Tanzania	11	4	3	4	13:12	+1	15
7	Namungo	10	5	0	5	10:12	-2	15
8	Singida Black Stars	9	4	2	3	15:11	+4	14
9	Coastal Union	11	4	2	5	9:13	-4	14
10	Mashujaa	9	4	0	5	10:15	-5	12
11	Mbeya City	9	3	1	5	8:13	-5	10
12	Geita Gold	11	2	3	6	11:18	-7	9
13	Tabora United	9	1	5	3	7:8	-1	8
14	Pamba Jiji	10	1	3	6	10:16	-6	6
15	Fountain Gate	10	1	3	6	5:14	-9	6
16	Kagera Sugar	11	1	3	7	9:22	-13	6

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg151%1.76X29%3.15220%4.47

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.4% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.96 → 1.76 -10.2%X3.05 → 3.15 +3.3%23.69 → 4.47 +21.1%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.38	1.53	7.4%
Betfair	2.40	1.50	8.3%
1xBet	2.31	1.52	9.1%
Marathonbet	2.31	1.52	9.1%
Pinnacle	2.34	1.50	9.4%
Betano	2.25	1.52	10.2%
Best of all books	2.40	1.53	7.0%
Average	2.33	1.51	8.9%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	2.20	1.60	8.0%
William Hill	2.10	1.65	8.2%
1xBet	2.09	1.63	9.2%
Marathonbet	2.09	1.61	10.0%
Best of all books	2.20	1.65	6.1%
Average	2.12	1.62	8.8%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Mashujaa 35%Draw 35%Pamba Jiji 30%

The statistical model rates Mashujaa at 35% to win, the draw at 35% and Pamba Jiji at 30% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.76 | 3.15 | 4.47, which imply roughly 56.8% for a Mashujaa win versus the model's 35%.

Form context from the Ligi kuu Bara table: Mashujaa are 10th (12 pts, 10-15 goals), Pamba Jiji 14th (6 pts, 10-16).

Over their last five matches, Mashujaa averaged 1.2 goals scored and 2.2 conceded per game; Pamba Jiji averaged 1.4 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Mashujaa or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.76	3.15	4.47

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.14	1.89	1.29

Draw no bet

1	2
1.30	3.22

Both teams to score

Yes	No
2.12	1.62

1st half

1	X	2
2.37	1.97	5.20

2nd half

1	X	2
2.20	2.22	4.59

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.74	15.5	51.8
HT X	4.38	4.53	9.50
HT 2	26.3	15.9	8.28

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.59	6.95	2.86

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.06	7.20
1.5	1.41	2.60
2.5	2.33	1.52
3.5	4.50	1.14
4.5	9.50	1.04
5.5	26.0	1.01

9 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.08	5.60
1.25	1.25	3.30
1.75	1.54	2.25
2	1.74	1.91
2.25	2.02	1.66
2.75	2.73	1.36
3	3.58	1.21
3.25	3.98	1.17
4	8.20	1.02

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.25	2.88	1.32
-1	2.49	1.43
-0.75	2.00	1.67
-0.5	1.75	1.96
-0.25	1.52	2.29
0	1.28	3.18

7 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	7.30	1.03
-2	6.40	1.05
-1.5	3.34	1.24
+0.25	1.20	3.69
+0.75	1.08	5.70
+1	1.01	8.40
+1.5	1.01	10.0

Next Ligi kuu Bara matches

2 Nov

Simba – Namungo

All Ligi kuu Bara fixtures and the table

Latest Ligi kuu Bara results

1 Nov	Young Africans 4-0 Kagera Sugar
1 Nov	Polisi Tanzania 1-0 Geita Gold
31 Oct	JKT Tanzania 1-2 Azam
29 Oct	Namungo 1-0 Polisi Tanzania
29 Oct	Fountain Gate 0-1 Simba
29 Oct	Pamba Jiji 0-1 Singida Black Stars