Polisi Tanzania vs Geita Gold• Ligi kuu Bara, Tanzania

#91.0:1.013:00Today · Ushirika Stadium, Moshi0.4:2.0#12

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.98DAFX3.10BFR23.80B365Margin at best9.1%Books6Markets39Rating55 · 45Exp. goals L52.2

Price board · 1X2captured 1 Nov 06:40 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	1.98	3.05	3.75	10.0%
Betfair	1.91	3.10	3.80	10.9%
1xBet	1.96	3.00	3.76	10.9%
Betano	1.95	3.00	3.75	11.3%
Bet365	1.91	3.00	3.80	12.0%
Marathonbet	1.94	3.00	3.65	12.3%
Best of all books	1.98	3.10	3.80	9.1%
Average	1.94	3.02	3.75	11.2%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Polisi TanzaniaGeita Gold

Last 10#9Table position#121.20Points per game0.905Form pts · last 521.0Goals for · last 50.41.0Goals against · last 52.071Attack rating2967Defence rating3371Form rating299H2H rating9184Goals model1655Overall rating45

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 1 Nov 07:01 UTC

Polisi Tanzania

3W 3D 4L · goals 12:12 · per match 1.2 for, 1.2 against

29 Oct	A	Namungo	0-1	L
23 Oct	H	Pamba Jiji	1-1	D
17 Oct	A	Kagera Sugar	1-1	D
8 Oct	A	Mashujaa	1-2	L
12 Sep	H	Mbeya City	2-0	W
6 Sep	H	Coastal Union	1-2	L
29 Aug	A	Singida Black Stars	2-4	L
25 Aug	A	Dodoma Jiji	1-0	W
20 Aug	H	JKT Tanzania	2-0	W
15 Aug	H	Azam	1-1	D

Geita Gold

2W 3D 5L · goals 11:17 · per match 1.1 for, 1.7 against

29 Oct	A	Tabora United	1-1	D
25 Oct	H	Fountain Gate	1-1	D
16 Oct	H	Dodoma Jiji	0-3	L
8 Oct	A	Pamba Jiji	0-4	L
15 Sep	A	Young Africans	0-1	L
31 Aug	A	Simba	0-2	L
28 Aug	H	Azam	2-2	D
22 Aug	H	Kagera Sugar	6-2	W
18 Aug	A	Namungo	0-1	L
14 Aug	A	Mbeya City	1-0	W

Head to head

0Polisi Tanzania wins

1draws

3Geita Gold wins

4 meetings · goals 3:7 · last 4: 0W 1D 3L for Polisi Tanzania

20 Jan 2023Ligi kuu Bara	Ligi kuu Bara	Geita Gold1-1Polisi Tanzania
4 Oct 2022Ligi kuu Bara	Ligi kuu Bara	Polisi Tanzania1-2Geita Gold
25 Jun 2022Ligi kuu Bara	Ligi kuu Bara	Polisi Tanzania0-1Geita Gold
6 Feb 2022Ligi kuu Bara	Ligi kuu Bara	Geita Gold3-1Polisi Tanzania

Ligi kuu Bara tableLigi kuu Baraupdated 1 Nov 07:01 UTC

In the Ligi kuu Bara table, Polisi Tanzania sit 9th with 12 points from 10 games, while Geita Gold are 12th with 9 points from 10.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Simba	9	9	0	0	20:4	+16	27
2	Azam	10	7	2	1	19:8	+11	23
3	Young Africans	9	7	1	1	19:5	+14	22
4	JKT Tanzania	11	5	2	4	13:14	-1	17
5	Dodoma Jiji	10	4	4	2	8:5	+3	16
6	Namungo	10	5	0	5	10:12	-2	15
7	Singida Black Stars	9	4	2	3	15:11	+4	14
8	Coastal Union	11	4	2	5	9:13	-4	14
9	Polisi Tanzania	10	3	3	4	12:12	0	12
10	Mashujaa	9	4	0	5	10:15	-5	12
11	Mbeya City	9	3	1	5	8:13	-5	10
12	Geita Gold	10	2	3	5	11:17	-6	9
13	Tabora United	9	1	5	3	7:8	-1	8
14	Pamba Jiji	10	1	3	6	10:16	-6	6
15	Kagera Sugar	10	1	3	6	9:18	-9	6
16	Fountain Gate	10	1	3	6	5:14	-9	6

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg146%1.94X30%3.03224%3.75

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 9.1% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.38	1.53	7.4%
1xBet	2.31	1.52	9.1%
Marathonbet	2.31	1.52	9.1%
Betano	2.27	1.52	9.8%
Best of all books	2.38	1.53	7.4%
Average	2.32	1.52	8.8%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	2.01	1.68	9.3%
Marathonbet	2.01	1.66	10.0%
Best of all books	2.01	1.68	9.3%
Average	2.01	1.67	9.6%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Polisi Tanzania 45%Draw 45%Geita Gold 10%

The statistical model rates Polisi Tanzania at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Geita Gold at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.94 | 3.03 | 3.75, which imply roughly 51.5% for a Polisi Tanzania win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Ligi kuu Bara table: Polisi Tanzania are 9th (12 pts, 12-12 goals), Geita Gold 12th (9 pts, 11-17).

Over their last five matches, Polisi Tanzania averaged 1 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Geita Gold averaged 0.4 scored and 2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Polisi Tanzania or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.94	3.03	3.75

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.20	1.69	1.29

Draw no bet

1	2
1.40	2.68

Both teams to score

Yes	No
2.01	1.67

1st half

1	X	2
2.65	1.93	4.52

2nd half

1	X	2
2.35	2.22	4.12

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.22	14.8	44.0
HT X	4.73	4.38	7.87
HT 2	27.3	15.0	6.37

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.73	6.20	2.61

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.06	6.80
1.5	1.41	2.52
2.5	2.32	1.52
3.5	4.30	1.15
4.5	9.00	1.03

9 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.09	5.25
1.25	1.26	3.20
1.75	1.54	2.22
2	1.74	1.90
2.25	2.01	1.66
2.75	2.71	1.37
3	3.50	1.22
3.25	3.90	1.18
4	7.70	1.02

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1	2.92	1.31
-0.75	2.27	1.52
-0.5	1.94	1.76
-0.25	1.67	1.99
0	1.41	2.60
+0.25	1.29	3.06

7 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	8.10	1.02
-2	7.30	1.03
-1.5	3.80	1.19
-1.25	3.34	1.24
+0.75	1.12	4.65
+1	1.03	7.40
+1.5	1.01	8.40

Next Ligi kuu Bara matches

1 Nov

Young Africans – Kagera Sugar

All Ligi kuu Bara fixtures and the table

Latest Ligi kuu Bara results

31 Oct	JKT Tanzania 1-2 Azam
29 Oct	Namungo 1-0 Polisi Tanzania
29 Oct	Fountain Gate 0-1 Simba
29 Oct	Pamba Jiji 0-1 Singida Black Stars
28 Oct	Azam 4-0 Mbeya City
27 Oct	Dodoma Jiji 0-0 JKT Tanzania