Young Africans vs Kagera Sugar• Ligi kuu Bara, Tanzania

#31.2:0.616:00Today · KMC Stadium, Dar es Salaam1.0:1.0#15

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.10B365X9.50BFR226.0MARMargin at best5.3%Books6Markets52Rating73 · 27Exp. goals L51.9

Price board · 1X2captured 1 Nov 06:40 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Bet365	1.10	8.50	19.0	7.9%
Betfair	1.06	9.50	26.0	8.7%
Dafabet	1.09	7.40	21.0	10.0%
Betano	1.09	7.00	19.0	11.3%
1xBet	1.05	7.70	26.0	12.1%
Marathonbet	1.05	7.70	26.0	12.1%
Best of all books	1.10	9.50	26.0	5.3%
Average	1.07	7.97	22.8	10.1%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Young AfricansKagera Sugar

Last 10#3Table position#152.44Points per game0.6010Form pts · last 551.2Goals for · last 51.00.6Goals against · last 51.055Attack rating4563Defence rating3867Form rating3393H2H rating789Goals model1173Overall rating27

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 1 Nov 07:01 UTC

Young Africans

7W 2D 1L · goals 19:6 · per match 1.9 for, 0.6 against

27 Oct	H	Mashujaa	2-1	W
24 Oct	A	Tabora United	0-0	D
21 Oct	H	CFFA	4-1	W
17 Oct	A	CFFA	4-0	W
10 Oct	A	Simba	1-2	L
15 Sep	H	Geita Gold	1-0	W
12 Sep	H	Gaborone United	2-1	W
5 Sep	A	Gaborone United	1-1	D
31 Aug	A	Fountain Gate	2-0	W
28 Aug	H	Pamba Jiji	2-0	W

Kagera Sugar

1W 3D 6L · goals 9:18 · per match 0.9 for, 1.8 against

28 Oct	A	Coastal Union	0-1	L
24 Oct	A	JKT Tanzania	0-1	L
17 Oct	H	Polisi Tanzania	1-1	D
9 Oct	A	Mbeya City	3-1	W
13 Sep	H	Fountain Gate	1-1	D
31 Aug	H	Azam	0-2	L
27 Aug	A	Mashujaa	1-2	L
22 Aug	A	Geita Gold	2-6	L
19 Aug	H	Singida Black Stars	1-1	D
16 Aug	H	Simba	0-2	L

Head to head

15Young Africans wins

2draws

1Kagera Sugar wins

18 meetings · goals 40:11 · last 10: 8W 2D 0L for Young Africans

1 Feb 2025Ligi kuu Bara	Ligi kuu Bara	Young Africans4-0Kagera Sugar
29 Aug 2024Ligi kuu Bara	Ligi kuu Bara	Kagera Sugar0-2Young Africans
8 May 2024Ligi kuu Bara	Ligi kuu Bara	Young Africans1-0Kagera Sugar
2 Feb 2024Ligi kuu Bara	Ligi kuu Bara	Kagera Sugar0-0Young Africans
11 Apr 2023Ligi kuu Bara	Ligi kuu Bara	Young Africans5-0Kagera Sugar
13 Nov 2022Ligi kuu Bara	Ligi kuu Bara	Kagera Sugar0-1Young Africans
27 Feb 2022Ligi kuu Bara	Ligi kuu Bara	Young Africans3-0Kagera Sugar
29 Sep 2021Ligi kuu Bara	Ligi kuu Bara	Kagera Sugar0-1Young Africans
17 Feb 2021Ligi kuu Bara	Ligi kuu Bara	Young Africans3-3Kagera Sugar
19 Sep 2020Ligi kuu Bara	Ligi kuu Bara	Kagera Sugar0-1Young Africans

Ligi kuu Bara tableLigi kuu Baraupdated 1 Nov 07:01 UTC

In the Ligi kuu Bara table, Young Africans sit 3rd with 22 points from 9 games, while Kagera Sugar are 15th with 6 points from 10.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Simba	9	9	0	0	20:4	+16	27
2	Azam	10	7	2	1	19:8	+11	23
3	Young Africans	9	7	1	1	19:5	+14	22
4	JKT Tanzania	11	5	2	4	13:14	-1	17
5	Dodoma Jiji	10	4	4	2	8:5	+3	16
6	Namungo	10	5	0	5	10:12	-2	15
7	Singida Black Stars	9	4	2	3	15:11	+4	14
8	Coastal Union	11	4	2	5	9:13	-4	14
9	Polisi Tanzania	10	3	3	4	12:12	0	12
10	Mashujaa	9	4	0	5	10:15	-5	12
11	Mbeya City	9	3	1	5	8:13	-5	10
12	Geita Gold	10	2	3	5	11:17	-6	9
13	Tabora United	9	1	5	3	7:8	-1	8
14	Pamba Jiji	10	1	3	6	10:16	-6	6
15	Kagera Sugar	10	1	3	6	9:18	-9	6
16	Fountain Gate	10	1	3	6	5:14	-9	6

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg185%1.07X11%7.9724%22.8

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.3% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.50	2.50	6.7%
1xBet	1.45	2.41	10.5%
Marathonbet	1.45	2.41	10.5%
Best of all books	1.50	2.50	6.7%
Average	1.47	2.44	9.2%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	3.14	1.30	8.8%
Marathonbet	3.14	1.28	10.0%
Best of all books	3.14	1.30	8.8%
Average	3.14	1.29	9.4%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Young Africans 45%Draw 45%Kagera Sugar 10%

The statistical model rates Young Africans at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Kagera Sugar at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.07 | 7.97 | 22.83, which imply roughly 93.5% for a Young Africans win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Ligi kuu Bara table: Young Africans are 3rd (22 pts, 19-5 goals), Kagera Sugar 15th (6 pts, 9-18).

Over their last five matches, Young Africans averaged 1.2 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game; Kagera Sugar averaged 1 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Winner : Young Africans.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.07	7.97	22.8

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.01	6.08	1.04

Draw no bet

1	2
1.02	9.88

Both teams to score

Yes	No
3.14	1.29

1st half

1	X	2
1.40	2.93	16.6

2nd half

1	X	2
1.24	3.98	16.3

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	1.41	36.7	139.0
HT X	3.80	11.0	38.7
HT 2	25.7	39.0	42.3

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.11	14.1	7.10

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	–	17.0
1.5	1.12	5.00
2.5	1.47	2.44
3.5	2.11	1.61
4.5	3.34	1.24
5.5	5.85	1.10

9 more lines

Line	Over	Under
2	1.18	3.90
2.25	1.32	2.88
2.75	1.56	2.17
3	1.69	1.95
3.25	1.90	1.75
3.75	2.38	1.47
4	2.83	1.33
4.25	3.08	1.28
5	5.35	1.09

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-3.25	2.60	1.40
-3	2.33	1.48
-2.75	2.03	1.65
-2.5	1.85	1.83
-2.25	1.65	2.01
-2	1.47	2.35

8 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-4.5	5.40	1.10
-4	4.35	1.14
-3.75	3.34	1.24
-3.5	2.83	1.33
-1.75	1.38	2.62
-1.5	1.31	2.92
-1	1.09	5.30
0	1.01	11.0

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
9	1.88	1.92
9.5	2.10	1.67

Next Ligi kuu Bara matches

1 Nov

Polisi Tanzania – Geita Gold

All Ligi kuu Bara fixtures and the table

Latest Ligi kuu Bara results

31 Oct	JKT Tanzania 1-2 Azam
29 Oct	Namungo 1-0 Polisi Tanzania
29 Oct	Fountain Gate 0-1 Simba
29 Oct	Pamba Jiji 0-1 Singida Black Stars
28 Oct	Azam 4-0 Mbeya City
27 Oct	Dodoma Jiji 0-0 JKT Tanzania