Avro vs Ashton United• Non League Premier - Northern, England

#51.6:1.83-0LiveToday1.0:1.4#16

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.82PINX4.18PIN23.60B365Margin at best6.6%Books6Markets70Rating60 · 41Exp. goals L52.9

Price board · 1X2captured 21 Oct 18:00 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	1.82	4.18	3.29	9.3%
1xBet	1.75	3.88	3.58	10.8%
Bet365	1.73	3.90	3.60	11.2%
Marathonbet	1.73	3.88	3.50	12.1%
William Hill	1.75	3.75	3.40	13.2%
BetVictor	1.70	3.30	3.25	19.9%
Best of all books	1.82	4.18	3.60	6.6%
Average	1.75	3.81	3.44	12.6%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

AvroAshton United

Last 10#5Table position#161.92Points per game1.086Form pts · last 541.6Goals for · last 51.01.8Goals against · last 51.462Attack rating3844Defence rating5667Form rating330H2H rating065Goals model3560Overall rating41

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 19 Oct 03:10 UTC

Avro

5W 1D 4L · goals 23:21 · per match 2.3 for, 2.1 against

17 Oct	A	Ilkeston Town	0-2	L
13 Oct	A	Redcar Athletic	1-3	L
10 Oct	H	Guiseley AFC	0-1	L
7 Oct	H	Lancaster City	5-3	W
26 Sep	A	Dunston UTS	2-0	W
12 Sep	A	Gainsborough Trinity	2-0	W
5 Sep	H	Witton Albion	0-2	L
31 Aug	A	United of Manchester	4-3	W
29 Aug	H	Stockton Town	5-3	W
26 Aug	H	Leek Town	4-4	D

Ashton United

1W 4D 5L · goals 13:16 · per match 1.3 for, 1.6 against

17 Oct	H	Redcar Athletic	1-2	L
13 Oct	H	Alfreton Town	0-0	D
10 Oct	A	Leek Town	2-2	D
6 Oct	A	Quorn	2-2	D
26 Sep	A	Warrington Town	2-2	D
19 Sep	A	Buxton	0-1	L
12 Sep	H	Cleethorpes Town	0-1	L
5 Sep	A	Whitby Town	5-2	W
31 Aug	A	Curzon Ashton	0-2	L
28 Aug	H	Gainsborough Trinity	1-2	L

Head to head

No previous meetings between Avro and Ashton United on record.

Non League Premier - Northern tableRegular Seasonupdated 20 Oct 22:50 UTC

In the Non League Premier - Northern table, Avro sit 5th with 25 points from 13 games, while Ashton United are 16th with 14 points from 13.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Redcar Athletic	15	10	4	1	33:13	+20	34
2	Cleethorpes Town	14	9	3	2	31:9	+22	30
3	Guiseley AFC	13	9	1	3	27:12	+15	28
4	Gainsborough Trinity	13	8	1	4	29:16	+13	25
5	Avro	13	8	1	4	34:25	+9	25
6	Workington	15	7	3	5	26:25	+1	24
7	Warrington Town	13	6	5	2	24:19	+5	23
8	Rylands	14	7	2	5	25:21	+4	23
9	Curzon Ashton	13	7	1	5	24:17	+7	22
10	Alfreton Town	15	6	2	7	21:17	+4	20
11	Lancaster City	15	6	2	7	20:28	-8	20
12	Bury	11	6	1	4	22:11	+11	19
13	Whitby Town	14	6	1	7	20:33	-13	19
14	Hyde United	15	4	3	8	15:29	-14	15
15	Leek Town	13	3	5	5	26:26	0	14
16	Ashton United	13	3	5	5	15:15	0	14
17	Quorn	13	3	5	5	23:29	-6	14
18	AFC Emley	14	3	5	6	15:26	-11	14
19	Stockton Town	15	3	3	9	18:28	-10	12
20	Bamber Bridge	14	2	4	8	17:34	-17	10
21	Ilkeston Town	15	3	1	11	10:34	-24	10
22	United of Manchester	12	1	4	7	15:23	-8	7

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg151%1.75X23%3.82226%3.44

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.6% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.70 → 1.75 +2.9%X3.82 → 3.82 0.0%23.78 → 3.44 -9.0%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.57	2.35	6.2%
Pinnacle	1.57	2.29	7.4%
1xBet	1.51	2.26	10.5%
Marathonbet	1.51	2.26	10.5%
BetVictor	1.45	1.96	20.0%
Best of all books	1.57	2.35	6.2%
Average	1.52	2.22	10.7%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	1.53	2.30	8.8%
1xBet	1.51	2.34	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.51	2.29	9.9%
BetVictor	1.40	2.05	20.2%
Best of all books	1.53	2.34	8.1%
Average	1.49	2.25	11.8%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Avro 45%Draw 45%Ashton United 10%

The statistical model rates Avro at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Ashton United at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.75 | 3.82 | 3.44, which imply roughly 57.1% for a Avro win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Non League Premier - Northern table: Avro are 5th (25 pts, 34-25 goals), Ashton United 16th (14 pts, 15-15).

Over their last five matches, Avro averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game; Ashton United averaged 1 scored and 1.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Avro or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.75	3.82	3.44

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.22	1.85	1.16

Draw no bet

1	2
1.33	2.65

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.49	2.25

1st half

1	X	2
2.18	2.39	3.92

2nd half

1	X	2
2.10	2.63	3.74

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.55	15.3	30.3
HT X	5.03	6.93	9.00
HT 2	21.0	15.5	5.83

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.57	17.1	2.36

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.01	13.7
1.5	1.12	4.17
2.5	1.52	2.22
3.5	2.30	1.48
4.5	3.81	1.15
5.5	6.70	1.02

14 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.01	10.0
1.25	1.06	6.10
1.75	1.16	4.15
2	1.25	3.22
2.25	1.37	2.59
2.75	1.64	1.98
3	1.83	1.76
3.25	2.08	1.59
3.75	2.65	1.35
4	3.48	1.22
4.25	3.80	1.19
4.75	5.15	1.10
5	7.10	1.04
5.25	7.40	1.03

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.25	2.59	1.39
-1	2.31	1.49
-0.75	1.94	1.70
-0.5	1.76	1.89
-0.25	1.56	2.16
0	1.37	2.65

14 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	12.0	1.04
-3	11.0	1.05
-2.75	7.13	1.05
-2.5	5.77	1.10
-2.25	5.37	1.11
-2	4.93	1.13
-1.75	3.63	1.23
-1.5	2.92	1.34
+0.25	1.31	3.08
+0.5	1.27	3.55
+0.75	1.16	4.43
+1	1.07	6.57
+1.25	1.06	7.06
+1.5	1.03	7.50

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
6.5	1.05	5.97
7.5	1.19	3.68
8.5	1.42	2.57
9.5	1.74	1.99
10.5	2.17	1.60
11.5	2.86	1.34
12.5	4.00	1.16
13.5	5.98	1.05

7 more lines

Line	Over	Under
7	1.07	5.46
8	1.25	3.30
9	1.53	2.29
10	1.97	1.79
11	2.58	1.42
12	3.66	1.20
13	5.58	1.06

Next Non League Premier - Northern matches

24 Oct

Warrington Town – Gainsborough Trinity

All Non League Premier - Northern fixtures and the table

Latest Non League Premier - Northern results

20 Oct	Guiseley AFC 2-1 Cleethorpes Town
17 Oct	Alfreton Town 1-1 Warrington Town
17 Oct	Stockton Town 1-3 AFC Emley
17 Oct	Gainsborough Trinity 4-0 Hyde United
17 Oct	Ilkeston Town 2-0 Avro
17 Oct	Bamber Bridge 1-2 Workington