Whitby Town vs Curzon Ashton• Non League Premier - Northern, England

#131.6:2.01-0FT17/10 · Turnbull Ground, Whitby2.0:1.2#9

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

14.701XBX4.16PIN21.60B365Margin at best7.8%Books5Markets53Rating35 · 66Exp. goals L53.4

Price board · 1X2captured 17 Oct 06:01 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	4.70	4.00	1.55	10.8%
Pinnacle	4.12	4.16	1.60	10.8%
Bet365	4.50	3.80	1.60	11.0%
Marathonbet	4.60	4.00	1.53	12.1%
BetVictor	4.00	3.50	1.50	20.2%
Best of all books	4.70	4.16	1.60	7.8%
Average	4.38	3.89	1.56	12.8%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Whitby TownCurzon Ashton

Last 10#13Table position#91.36Points per game1.694Form pts · last 5121.6Goals for · last 52.02.0Goals against · last 51.244Attack rating5638Defence rating6337Form rating630H2H rating019Goals model8135Overall rating66

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 03:51 UTC

Whitby Town

3W 1D 6L · goals 17:31 · per match 1.7 for, 3.1 against

13 Oct	A	Workington	2-1	W
10 Oct	H	Bamber Bridge	0-0	D
6 Oct	H	Gainsborough Trinity	2-6	L
29 Sep	H	Lancaster City	1-2	L
26 Sep	A	Bridlington Town	0-3	L
12 Sep	A	Hyde United	3-1	W
5 Sep	H	Ashton United	2-5	L
31 Aug	H	Alfreton Town	1-4	L
29 Aug	A	Quorn	6-3	W
25 Aug	A	Cleethorpes Town	0-6	L

Curzon Ashton

7W 0D 3L · goals 22:12 · per match 2.2 for, 1.2 against

13 Oct	A	Rylands	1-5	L
10 Oct	H	Hyde United	2-0	W
6 Oct	H	Redcar Athletic	3-1	W
26 Sep	H	Stalybridge Celtic	3-1	W
12 Sep	A	Lancaster City	2-0	W
5 Sep	H	Bradford (Park Avenue)	1-2	L
31 Aug	H	Ashton United	2-0	W
28 Aug	A	Cleethorpes Town	3-1	W
25 Aug	A	Warrington Town	4-0	W
22 Aug	H	Guiseley AFC	1-2	L

Head to head

No previous meetings between Whitby Town and Curzon Ashton on record.

Non League Premier - Northern tableRegular Seasonupdated 20 Oct 22:50 UTC

In the Non League Premier - Northern table, Whitby Town sit 13th with 19 points from 14 games, while Curzon Ashton are 9th with 22 points from 13.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Redcar Athletic	15	10	4	1	33:13	+20	34
2	Cleethorpes Town	14	9	3	2	31:9	+22	30
3	Guiseley AFC	13	9	1	3	27:12	+15	28
4	Gainsborough Trinity	13	8	1	4	29:16	+13	25
5	Avro	13	8	1	4	34:25	+9	25
6	Workington	15	7	3	5	26:25	+1	24
7	Warrington Town	13	6	5	2	24:19	+5	23
8	Rylands	14	7	2	5	25:21	+4	23
9	Curzon Ashton	13	7	1	5	24:17	+7	22
10	Alfreton Town	15	6	2	7	21:17	+4	20
11	Lancaster City	15	6	2	7	20:28	-8	20
12	Bury	11	6	1	4	22:11	+11	19
13	Whitby Town	14	6	1	7	20:33	-13	19
14	Hyde United	15	4	3	8	15:29	-14	15
15	Leek Town	13	3	5	5	26:26	0	14
16	Ashton United	13	3	5	5	15:15	0	14
17	Quorn	13	3	5	5	23:29	-6	14
18	AFC Emley	14	3	5	6	15:26	-11	14
19	Stockton Town	15	3	3	9	18:28	-10	12
20	Bamber Bridge	14	2	4	8	17:34	-17	10
21	Ilkeston Town	15	3	1	11	10:34	-24	10
22	United of Manchester	12	1	4	7	15:23	-8	7

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg120%4.34X23%3.91257%1.56

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.8% margin.

1X2 since open average price

13.75 → 4.38 +16.8%X3.71 → 3.89 +4.9%21.75 → 1.56 -10.9%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.57	2.35	6.2%
Pinnacle	1.56	2.26	8.4%
1xBet	1.56	2.22	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.56	2.22	9.1%
BetVictor	1.46	1.95	19.8%
Best of all books	1.57	2.35	6.2%
Average	1.54	2.20	10.3%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.60	2.15	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.60	2.11	9.9%
BetVictor	1.47	1.93	19.8%
Best of all books	1.60	2.15	9.0%
Average	1.56	2.06	12.7%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Whitby Town 10%Draw 45%Curzon Ashton 45%

The statistical model rated Whitby Town at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Curzon Ashton at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 4.34 | 3.91 | 1.56, which imply roughly 25.6% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Non League Premier - Northern table: Whitby Town are 13th (19 pts, 20-33 goals), Curzon Ashton 9th (22 pts, 24-17).

Over their last five matches, Whitby Town averaged 1.6 goals scored and 2 conceded per game; Curzon Ashton averaged 2 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Curzon Ashton and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
4.38	3.89	1.56

Double chance

1X	X2	12
2.13	1.13	1.14

Draw no bet

1	2
3.15	1.23

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.56	2.06

1st half

1	X	2
4.57	2.37	2.03

2nd half

1	X	2
4.54	2.74	1.88

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	7.67	15.7	19.8
HT X	10.8	6.80	4.58
HT 2	36.7	16.0	2.27

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.65	16.1	1.49

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.01	13.9
1.5	1.13	4.07
2.5	1.54	2.20
3.5	2.30	1.46
4.5	3.84	1.14
5.5	6.77	1.02

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.01	9.90
1.25	1.06	6.25
1.75	1.17	4.00
2	1.22	3.50
2.25	1.38	2.55
2.75	1.65	1.96
3	1.86	1.73
3.25	2.09	1.57
3.75	2.67	1.34
4	3.50	1.22
4.25	3.88	1.18
4.75	5.25	1.09
5	7.20	1.03

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
+0.25	2.61	1.40
+0.5	2.06	1.61
+0.75	1.92	1.71
+1	1.72	1.93
+1.25	1.52	2.16
+1.5	1.42	2.41

10 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	8.60	1.02
-0.75	5.85	1.07
-0.25	4.00	1.17
0	3.58	1.21
+1.75	1.31	2.97
+2	1.18	3.92
+2.25	1.15	4.30
+2.5	1.12	4.70
+2.75	1.07	5.95
+3	1.01	8.70

Next Non League Premier - Northern matches

21 Oct	Avro – Ashton United
24 Oct	Warrington Town – Gainsborough Trinity

All Non League Premier - Northern fixtures and the table

Latest Non League Premier - Northern results

20 Oct	Guiseley AFC 2-1 Cleethorpes Town
17 Oct	Stockton Town 1-3 AFC Emley
17 Oct	Gainsborough Trinity 4-0 Hyde United
17 Oct	Lancaster City 1-2 Leek Town
17 Oct	Ilkeston Town 2-0 Avro
17 Oct	Bamber Bridge 1-2 Workington