Lancaster City vs
Leek Town• Non League Premier - Northern, England
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 17 Oct 06:01 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.18 | 3.61 | 2.71 | 10.5% |
| 1xBet | 2.12 | 3.52 | 2.83 | 10.9% |
| Bet365 | 2.00 | 3.50 | 3.00 | 11.9% |
| Marathonbet | 2.10 | 3.52 | 2.76 | 12.3% |
| BetVictor | 1.95 | 3.10 | 2.70 | 20.6% |
| Best of all books | 2.18 | 3.61 | 3.00 | 6.9% |
| Average | 2.07 | 3.45 | 2.80 | 13.0% |
Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 03:51 UTC
Lancaster City
4W 2D 4L · goals 14:18 · per match 1.4 for, 1.8 against
| 13 Oct | H | Stockton Town | 1-0 | W |
| 10 Oct | A | Warrington Town | 2-2 | D |
| 7 Oct | A | Avro | 3-5 | L |
| 3 Oct | H | Ilkeston Town | 2-1 | W |
| 29 Sep | A | Whitby Town | 2-1 | W |
| 26 Sep | A | Cleethorpes Town | 1-5 | L |
| 19 Sep | A | Bradford (Park Avenue) | 0-1 | L |
| 12 Sep | H | Curzon Ashton | 0-2 | L |
| 8 Sep | A | Tadcaster Albion | 2-0 | W |
| 5 Sep | H | Tadcaster Albion | 1-1 | D |
Leek Town
3W 3D 4L · goals 24:20 · per match 2.4 for, 2.0 against
| 10 Oct | H | Ashton United | 2-2 | D |
| 6 Oct | H | Rylands | 3-3 | D |
| 26 Sep | A | Worcester City | 2-0 | W |
| 22 Sep | H | Hyde United | 2-1 | W |
| 19 Sep | A | Bromsgrove Sporting | 1-2 | L |
| 12 Sep | A | Redcar Athletic | 2-3 | L |
| 5 Sep | A | Sporting Khalsa | 5-0 | W |
| 1 Sep | H | Warrington Town | 1-2 | L |
| 29 Aug | A | Workington | 2-3 | L |
| 26 Aug | A | Avro | 4-4 | D |
Head to head
4 meetings · goals 4:4 · last 4: 2W 0D 2L for Lancaster City
| 14 Feb 2026Non League Premier - Northern | Non League Premier - Northern | Lancaster City2-1Leek Town |
| 11 Oct 2025Non League Premier - Northern | Non League Premier - Northern | Leek Town0-1Lancaster City |
| 18 Jan 2025Non League Premier - Northern | Non League Premier - Northern | Leek Town2-1Lancaster City |
| 1 Oct 2024Non League Premier - Northern | Non League Premier - Northern | Lancaster City0-1Leek Town |
Non League Premier - Northern tableRegular Seasonupdated 21 Oct 20:50 UTC
In the Non League Premier - Northern table, Lancaster City sit 11th with 20 points from 15 games, while Leek Town are 15th with 14 points from 13.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Redcar Athletic | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 33:13 | +20 | 34 |
| 2 | Cleethorpes Town | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 31:9 | +22 | 30 |
| 3 | Guiseley AFC | 13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 27:12 | +15 | 28 |
| 4 | Gainsborough Trinity | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 29:16 | +13 | 25 |
| 5 | Avro | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 34:25 | +9 | 25 |
| 6 | Workington | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 26:25 | +1 | 24 |
| 7 | Warrington Town | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 24:19 | +5 | 23 |
| 8 | Rylands | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 25:21 | +4 | 23 |
| 9 | Curzon Ashton | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 24:17 | +7 | 22 |
| 10 | Alfreton Town | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 21:17 | +4 | 20 |
| 11 | Lancaster City | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 20:28 | -8 | 20 |
| 12 | Bury | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 22:11 | +11 | 19 |
| 13 | Whitby Town | 14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 20:33 | -13 | 19 |
| 14 | Hyde United | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 15:29 | -14 | 15 |
| 15 | Leek Town | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 26:26 | 0 | 14 |
| 16 | Ashton United | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 15:15 | 0 | 14 |
| 17 | Quorn | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 23:29 | -6 | 14 |
| 18 | AFC Emley | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 15:26 | -11 | 14 |
| 19 | Stockton Town | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 18:28 | -10 | 12 |
| 20 | Bamber Bridge | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 17:34 | -17 | 10 |
| 21 | Ilkeston Town | 15 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 10:34 | -24 | 10 |
| 22 | United of Manchester | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 15:23 | -8 | 7 |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.9% margin.
1X2 since open average price
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.73 | 2.08 | 5.9% |
| Pinnacle | 1.65 | 2.14 | 7.3% |
| 1xBet | 1.65 | 2.06 | 9.1% |
| Marathonbet | 1.65 | 2.06 | 9.1% |
| BetVictor | 1.53 | 1.83 | 20.0% |
| Best of all books | 1.73 | 2.14 | 4.5% |
| Average | 1.64 | 2.03 | 10.1% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.54 | 2.26 | 9.2% |
| Marathonbet | 1.54 | 2.22 | 10.0% |
| BetVictor | 1.44 | 1.95 | 20.7% |
| Best of all books | 1.54 | 2.26 | 9.2% |
| Average | 1.51 | 2.14 | 13.0% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rated Lancaster City at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Leek Town at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.07 | 3.45 | 2.81, which imply roughly 48.3% for a Lancaster City win versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the Non League Premier - Northern table: Lancaster City are 11th (20 pts, 20-28 goals), Leek Town 15th (14 pts, 26-26).
Over their last five matches, Lancaster City averaged 2 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game; Leek Town averaged 2 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Statistical advice: Double chance : Lancaster City or draw.
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.07 | 3.45 | 2.80 |
Double chance
| 1X | X2 | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.32 | 1.58 | 1.18 |
Draw no bet
| 1 | 2 |
|---|---|
| 1.50 | 2.15 |
Both teams to score
| Yes | No |
|---|---|
| 1.51 | 2.14 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.58 | 2.23 | 3.38 |
2nd half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.49 | 2.54 | 3.10 |
HT/FT
| HT / FT | FT 1 | FT X | FT 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| HT 1 | 3.21 | 14.3 | 29.7 |
| HT X | 5.60 | 6.07 | 7.17 |
| HT 2 | 25.0 | 14.5 | 4.63 |
First team to score
| Home | No Goal | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 1.74 | 13.9 | 2.13 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 1.02 | 11.5 |
| 1.5 | 1.16 | 3.73 |
| 2.5 | 1.64 | 2.03 |
| 3.5 | 2.51 | 1.39 |
| 4.5 | 4.43 | 1.11 |
| 5.5 | 4.60 | 1.02 |
13 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1.03 | 8.40 |
| 1.25 | 1.07 | 5.80 |
| 1.75 | 1.21 | 3.58 |
| 2 | 1.27 | 3.02 |
| 2.25 | 1.44 | 2.36 |
| 2.75 | 1.78 | 1.82 |
| 3 | 2.02 | 1.61 |
| 3.25 | 2.27 | 1.47 |
| 3.75 | 3.14 | 1.27 |
| 4 | 4.20 | 1.15 |
| 4.25 | 4.60 | 1.13 |
| 4.75 | 6.30 | 1.06 |
| 5 | 9.10 | – |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -0.75 | 2.39 | 1.42 |
| -0.5 | 2.02 | 1.57 |
| -0.25 | 1.82 | 1.81 |
| 0 | 1.60 | 2.07 |
| +0.25 | 1.44 | 2.35 |
| +0.5 | 1.41 | 2.67 |
10 more lines
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -2 | 8.20 | 1.02 |
| -1.75 | 5.36 | 1.09 |
| -1.5 | 4.15 | 1.16 |
| -1.25 | 3.70 | 1.20 |
| -1 | 3.25 | 1.27 |
| +0.75 | 1.23 | 3.42 |
| +1 | 1.11 | 4.95 |
| +1.25 | 1.08 | 5.45 |
| +1.5 | 1.07 | 5.95 |
| +1.75 | 1.02 | 8.00 |
Next Non League Premier - Northern matches
| 24 Oct | Warrington Town – Gainsborough Trinity |