Somaspor vs Aliağa FAŞ• 2. Lig, Turkey

#121.6:2.01-2FTToday1.8:1.6#4

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

17.121XBX4.75B36521.42B365Margin at best5.5%Books6Markets48Rating37 · 64Exp. goals L53.5

Price board · 1X2captured 18 Oct 13:58 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	5.87	4.51	1.40	10.6%
BetVictor	6.50	4.60	1.36	10.7%
1xBet	7.12	4.50	1.34	10.9%
Bet365	5.00	4.75	1.42	11.5%
William Hill	6.50	4.00	1.40	11.8%
Marathonbet	6.75	4.50	1.33	12.2%
Best of all books	7.12	4.75	1.42	5.5%
Average	6.29	4.48	1.38	11.0%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

SomasporAliağa FAŞ

Last 10#12Table position#41.40Points per game2.509Form pts · last 5121.6Goals for · last 51.82.0Goals against · last 51.647Attack rating5344Defence rating5637Form rating6320H2H rating8038Goals model6237Overall rating64

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 04:20 UTC

Somaspor

3W 2D 5L · goals 16:22 · per match 1.6 for, 2.2 against

11 Oct	A	Adana Demirspor	0-3	L
7 Oct	H	Alanya 1221 FK	4-2	W
26 Sep	A	Ankaraspor	1-0	W
20 Sep	H	Muş Sport Klübü	1-3	L
12 Sep	A	İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik	3-1	W
6 Sep	H	68 Aksaray Belediyespor	3-3	D
25 Apr	H	Kahramanmaraş İstiklal Spor	2-3	L
19 Apr	A	Bursaspor	1-5	L
12 Apr	H	68 Aksaray Belediyespor	0-0	D
4 Apr	A	Menemen FK	1-2	L

Aliağa FAŞ

5W 3D 2L · goals 15:16 · per match 1.5 for, 1.6 against

10 Oct	H	Menemen FK	1-0	W
3 Oct	A	Erbaaspor	4-2	W
27 Sep	H	Şanlıurfaspor	2-1	W
19 Sep	A	Elazığspor	0-5	L
13 Sep	H	Isparta 32 Spor	2-0	W
6 Sep	A	Arnavutköy Belediyespor	4-1	W
4 May	A	Muş Sport Klübü	0-0	D
30 Apr	H	Muş Sport Klübü	1-1	D
25 Apr	H	Bursaspor	0-5	L
19 Apr	A	68 Aksaray Belediyespor	1-1	D

Head to head

0Somaspor wins

1draws

1Aliağa FAŞ wins

2 meetings · goals 3:6 · last 2: 0W 1D 1L for Somaspor

9 Feb 20262. Lig	2. Lig	Aliağa FAŞ3-3Somaspor
28 Sep 20252. Lig	2. Lig	Somaspor0-3Aliağa FAŞ

2. Lig tableLig B: White Groupupdated 18 Oct 15:40 UTC

In the 2. Lig table, Somaspor sit 12th with 7 points from 5 games, while Aliağa FAŞ are 4th with 15 points from 6.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Elazığspor	7	5	1	1	18:4	+14	16
2	Muş Sport Klübü	6	5	1	0	16:7	+9	16
3	Güzide Gebzespor	7	4	3	0	10:5	+5	15
4	Aliağa FAŞ	6	5	0	1	13:9	+4	15
5	Çorluspor 1947	7	4	1	2	14:8	+6	13
6	İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik	7	4	1	2	13:9	+4	13
7	Şanlıurfaspor	7	3	3	1	14:11	+3	12
8	Isparta 32 Spor	7	3	2	2	13:12	+1	11
9	68 Aksaray Belediyespor	7	2	3	2	12:9	+3	9
10	Menemen FK	7	3	0	4	7:9	-2	9
11	Erbaaspor	7	2	1	4	14:15	-1	7
12	Somaspor	5	2	1	2	8:10	-2	7
13	Ankaraspor	6	2	0	4	4:8	-4	6
14	Kastamonuspor	7	2	1	4	6:16	-10	4
15	Sebat Gençlikspor	6	0	2	4	8:13	-5	2
16	Arnavutköy Belediyespor	7	0	0	7	4:17	-13	0
17	Hatayspor	7	1	1	5	4:11	-7
18	Adana Demirspor	7	2	1	4	6:11	-5

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg114%6.29X20%4.48265%1.38

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.5% margin.

1X2 since open average price

17.14 → 6.25 -12.5%X4.95 → 4.45 -10.1%21.30 → 1.38 +6.2%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.53	2.38	7.4%
Pinnacle	1.50	2.41	8.2%
BetVictor	1.50	2.35	9.2%
1xBet	1.46	2.38	10.5%
Marathonbet	1.46	2.38	10.5%
Best of all books	1.53	2.41	6.9%
Average	1.49	2.38	9.1%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
BetVictor	1.67	2.05	8.7%
1xBet	1.66	2.05	9.0%
William Hill	1.67	2.00	9.9%
Marathonbet	1.66	2.01	10.0%
Best of all books	1.67	2.05	8.7%
Average	1.67	2.03	9.4%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Somaspor 10%Draw 45%Aliağa FAŞ 45%

The statistical model rated Somaspor at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Aliağa FAŞ at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 6.29 | 4.48 | 1.38, which imply roughly 22.3% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the 2. Lig table: Somaspor are 12th (7 pts, 8-10 goals), Aliağa FAŞ 4th (15 pts, 13-9).

Over their last five matches, Somaspor averaged 1.6 goals scored and 2 conceded per game; Aliağa FAŞ averaged 1.8 scored and 1.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Aliağa FAŞ and +2.5 goals (goal line signal: over 2.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
6.29	4.48	1.38

Double chance

1X	X2	12
2.70	1.07	1.13

Draw no bet

1	2
4.79	1.17

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.67	2.03

1st half

1	X	2
6.14	2.47	1.81

2nd half

1	X	2
5.77	2.95	1.66

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	11.0	20.0	17.3
HT X	14.5	8.25	4.50
HT 2	42.0	20.0	1.98

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
3.08	18.6	1.36

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	15.0
1.5	1.13	4.90
2.5	1.49	2.38
3.5	2.23	1.57
4.5	3.87	1.19
5.5	7.50	1.07

9 more lines

Line	Over	Under
2	1.16	4.05
2.25	1.33	2.88
2.75	1.60	2.15
3	1.77	1.91
3.25	1.99	1.70
3.75	2.55	1.42
4	3.08	1.29
4.25	3.42	1.23
5	6.35	1.06

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
+0.5	2.76	1.39
+0.75	2.48	1.44
+1	2.17	1.58
+1.25	1.87	1.83
+1.5	1.72	2.01
+1.75	1.51	2.32

7 more lines

Line	Home	Away
0	5.40	1.09
+0.25	3.50	1.22
+2	1.35	2.80
+2.25	1.31	3.01
+2.5	1.23	3.42
+3	1.07	5.90
+3.5	1.05	6.70

Latest 2. Lig results

18 Oct	Muş Sport Klübü 4-2 Ankaraspor
18 Oct	Beyoğlu Yeni Çarşı 1-2 Sakaryaspor
18 Oct	Kırklarelispor 2-4 Ankara Demirspor
18 Oct	Kastamonuspor 2-2 Isparta 32 Spor
18 Oct	68 Aksaray Belediyespor 2-0 Adana Demirspor
18 Oct	Erbaaspor 0-1 Çorluspor 1947