Newport County vs
Crystal Palace U21• EFL Trophy, England
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 3 Nov 16:39 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dafabet | 1.72 | 4.10 | 4.40 | 5.3% |
| Pinnacle | 1.71 | 4.00 | 4.24 | 7.1% |
| Betano | 1.70 | 3.90 | 4.25 | 8.0% |
| BetVictor | 1.67 | 3.90 | 4.20 | 9.3% |
| 1xBet | 1.67 | 3.88 | 4.11 | 10.0% |
| Betfair | 1.62 | 3.90 | 4.33 | 10.5% |
| Marathonbet | 1.65 | 3.88 | 4.05 | 11.1% |
| Bet365 | 1.65 | 4.00 | 3.90 | 11.2% |
| William Hill | 1.67 | 3.50 | 4.00 | 13.5% |
| Best of all books | 1.72 | 4.10 | 4.40 | 5.3% |
| Average | 1.67 | 3.90 | 4.16 | 9.4% |
Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 2 Nov 17:00 UTC
Newport County
4W 5D 1L · goals 14:8 · per match 1.4 for, 0.8 against
| 30 Oct | H | Chesterfield | 4-1 | W |
| 24 Oct | A | Cheltenham | 0-1 | L |
| 20 Oct | A | Rotherham | 2-2 | D |
| 17 Oct | H | York | 1-1 | D |
| 10 Oct | H | Colchester | 1-0 | W |
| 6 Oct | H | Plymouth | 2-2 | D |
| 3 Oct | A | Gillingham | 0-0 | D |
| 26 Sep | H | Grimsby | 2-1 | W |
| 22 Sep | A | Swindon Town | 2-0 | W |
| 19 Sep | A | Accrington ST | 0-0 | D |
Crystal Palace U21
4W 1D 5L · goals 15:24 · per match 1.5 for, 2.4 against
| 26 Oct | H | Southampton U21 | 2-5 | L |
| 18 Oct | A | Leeds United U21 | 4-1 | W |
| 14 Oct | H | Anderlecht U21 | 1-4 | L |
| 22 Sep | A | Plymouth | 1-5 | L |
| 19 Sep | H | Blackburn Rovers U21 | 0-1 | L |
| 15 Sep | A | Swindon Town | 2-1 | W |
| 2 Sep | H | Paris Saint-Germain U21 | 2-1 | W |
| 28 Aug | A | Aston Villa U21 | 2-0 | W |
| 22 Aug | A | Arsenal U21 | 1-1 | D |
| 21 Jul | A | Dagenham & Redbridge | 0-5 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings between Newport County and Crystal Palace U21 on record.
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.3% margin.
1X2 since open average price
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.50 | 2.50 | 6.7% |
| Betano | 1.53 | 2.40 | 7.0% |
| Pinnacle | 1.50 | 2.47 | 7.2% |
| Betfair | 1.44 | 2.60 | 7.9% |
| 1xBet | 1.52 | 2.36 | 8.2% |
| Marathonbet | 1.52 | 2.36 | 8.2% |
| BetVictor | 1.52 | 2.33 | 8.7% |
| Best of all books | 1.53 | 2.60 | 3.8% |
| Average | 1.50 | 2.43 | 7.6% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.62 | 2.20 | 7.2% |
| Betfair | 1.44 | 2.60 | 7.9% |
| BetVictor | 1.50 | 2.40 | 8.3% |
| William Hill | 1.50 | 2.40 | 8.3% |
| Betano | 1.53 | 2.32 | 8.5% |
| 1xBet | 1.51 | 2.36 | 8.6% |
| Marathonbet | 1.51 | 2.32 | 9.3% |
| Best of all books | 1.62 | 2.60 | 0.2% |
| Average | 1.52 | 2.37 | 8.1% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates Newport County at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Crystal Palace U21 at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.68 | 3.86 | 4.14, which imply roughly 59.5% for a Newport County win versus the model's 45%.
Over their last five matches, Newport County averaged 2 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Crystal Palace U21 averaged 1.5 scored and 3 conceded.
Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Newport County or draw and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
Confirmed Lineups
Newport County
4-2-3-1Coach: H. Mullins
Goalkeeper
- 25J. Turner
Defence
- 12Joe Thomas
- 34D. Sassi
- 41Rocco Lenney
- 17Alfie Merritt
Midfield
- 2C. Evans
- 18A. Lewis
- 7K. Evans
- 19G. Garner
- 9S. Gwengwe
Attack
- 11J. Crole
Substitutes (7)
- 8M. Smith
- 33S. MacDonald
- 20Y. Bamba
- 10H. Biggins
- 6C. Brennan
- 3T. Davies
- 38H. Halpin
Crystal Palace U21
3-4-2-1Goalkeeper
- 41H. Lee
Defence
- 37G. King
- 45Mohamed Taha Majni
- 56C. Smith
Midfield
- 60J. Judd
- 58C. Okoli
- 43S. Williams
- 54D. Benamar
- 64Amari Sealey
- 12Z. Gozo
Attack
- 59David Montjen
Substitutes (7)
- 72Jacob Fasida
- 40J. Gibbard
- 51M. Hill
- 65Nathanael James Kalembo
- 50R. Coleman
- 77Donte Martin
- 57S. Somade
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.67 | 3.90 | 4.16 |
Double chance
| 1X | X2 | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.18 | 2.05 | 1.20 |
Draw no bet
| 1 | 2 |
|---|---|
| 1.30 | 3.23 |
Both teams to score
| Yes | No |
|---|---|
| 1.52 | 2.37 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.16 | 2.42 | 4.31 |
2nd half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.99 | 2.76 | 4.03 |
HT/FT
| HT / FT | FT 1 | FT X | FT 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| HT 1 | 2.48 | 14.6 | 34.8 |
| HT X | 4.70 | 6.48 | 9.66 |
| HT 2 | 20.5 | 15.0 | 6.85 |
First team to score
| Home | No Goal | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 1.55 | 17.6 | 2.44 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 1.02 | 12.6 |
| 1.5 | 1.13 | 4.92 |
| 2.5 | 1.50 | 2.43 |
| 3.5 | 2.26 | 1.56 |
| 4.5 | 3.88 | 1.21 |
| 5.5 | 7.15 | 1.06 |
| 6.5 | 9.67 | 1.03 |
| 7.5 | 15.0 | 1.01 |
| 8.5 | 21.0 | – |
13 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1.01 | 10.0 |
| 1.25 | 1.04 | 6.85 |
| 1.75 | 1.14 | 4.35 |
| 2 | 1.18 | 3.88 |
| 2.25 | 1.35 | 2.85 |
| 2.75 | 1.62 | 2.12 |
| 3 | 1.81 | 1.89 |
| 3.25 | 2.03 | 1.68 |
| 3.75 | 2.60 | 1.41 |
| 4 | 3.28 | 1.25 |
| 4.25 | 3.58 | 1.21 |
| 4.75 | 5.00 | 1.10 |
| 5 | 6.90 | 1.04 |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 2.71 | 1.40 |
| -1.25 | 2.44 | 1.48 |
| -1 | 2.14 | 1.63 |
| -0.75 | 1.84 | 1.86 |
| -0.5 | 1.67 | 2.12 |
| -0.25 | 1.48 | 2.44 |
14 more lines
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -3.5 | 9.90 | 1.01 |
| -3 | 9.00 | 1.02 |
| -2.75 | 6.00 | 1.12 |
| -2.5 | 5.12 | 1.12 |
| -2.25 | 4.77 | 1.14 |
| -2 | 4.40 | 1.16 |
| -1.75 | 3.26 | 1.28 |
| 0 | 1.31 | 3.20 |
| +0.25 | 1.24 | 3.52 |
| +0.5 | 1.24 | 3.90 |
| +0.75 | 1.12 | 5.22 |
| +1 | 1.05 | 7.73 |
| +1.25 | 1.01 | 8.70 |
| +1.75 | 1.01 | 8.98 |
Corners 2-Way
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 1.07 | 5.41 |
| 7.5 | 1.23 | 3.41 |
| 8.5 | 1.47 | 2.43 |
| 9.5 | 1.82 | 1.89 |
| 10.5 | 2.31 | 1.52 |
| 11.5 | 3.07 | 1.29 |
| 12.5 | 4.40 | 1.13 |
| 13.5 | 6.71 | 1.02 |
21 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.75 | 1.08 | 5.17 |
| 7 | 1.09 | 4.92 |
| 7.25 | 1.16 | 3.98 |
| 7.75 | 1.26 | 3.22 |
| 8 | 1.29 | 3.04 |
| 8.25 | 1.39 | 2.67 |
| 8.75 | 1.54 | 2.29 |
| 9 | 1.60 | 2.18 |
| 9.25 | 1.72 | 2.00 |
| 9.75 | 1.93 | 1.78 |
| 10 | 2.05 | 1.69 |
| 10.25 | 2.18 | 1.60 |
| 10.75 | 2.50 | 1.44 |
| 11 | 2.78 | 1.36 |
| 11.25 | 2.93 | 1.32 |
| 11.75 | 3.46 | 1.22 |
| 12 | 4.04 | 1.16 |
| 12.25 | 4.22 | 1.14 |
| 12.75 | 5.13 | 1.08 |
| 13 | 6.29 | 1.04 |
| 13.25 | 6.50 | 1.03 |