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Rochdale vs Doncaster• EFL Trophy, England

1.5:4.519:00Today · Spotland, Rochdale1.0:1.5

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.951XBX3.85DAF22.21DAFMargin at best5.1%Books9Markets82Rating33 · 68Exp. goals L54.3

Price board · 1X2captured 3 Nov 16:39 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Dafabet2.953.852.215.1%
Pinnacle2.863.812.187.1%
Betano2.903.602.188.1%
BetVictor2.883.702.109.4%
1xBet2.953.602.0710.0%
Betfair2.803.702.1010.4%
Marathonbet2.903.602.0511.0%
Bet3652.753.702.0512.2%
William Hill2.803.402.1012.7%
Best of all books2.953.852.215.1%
Average2.873.662.129.5%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

RochdaleDoncaster
Last 102Form pts · last 531.5Goals for · last 51.04.5Goals against · last 51.560Attack rating4025Defence rating750Form rating1007H2H rating930Goals model033Overall rating68

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 2 Nov 17:30 UTC

Rochdale

3W 3D 4L · goals 15:24 · per match 1.5 for, 2.4 against

31 OctAPort Vale2-4L
24 OctHAccrington ST0-5L
20 OctHGrimsby2-2D
17 OctACrewe2-3L
10 OctATranmere1-1D
6 OctAHuddersfield0-5L
3 OctHSwindon Town1-0W
26 SepAFleetwood Town2-1W
22 SepHLiverpool U213-3D
19 SepHOldham2-0W

Doncaster

4W 0D 6L · goals 10:17 · per match 1.0 for, 1.7 against

31 OctAMilton Keynes Dons1-6L
27 OctALuton1-3L
24 OctHSheffield Wednesday2-0W
20 OctHStockport County0-2L
17 OctALeicester1-2L
10 OctHBurton Albion1-0W
6 OctHLiverpool U211-0W
19 SepAPeterborough2-0W
12 SepAAFC Wimbledon0-1L
8 SepHHuddersfield1-3L

Head to head

3Rochdale wins
5draws
9Doncaster wins

17 meetings · goals 19:30 · last 10: 1W 2D 7L for Rochdale

29 Dec 2022League TwoLeague TwoDoncaster4-3Rochdale
1 Oct 2022League TwoLeague TwoRochdale1-2Doncaster
1 May 2021League OneLeague OneRochdale1-2Doncaster
19 Jan 2021League OneLeague OneDoncaster1-0Rochdale
8 Feb 2020League OneLeague OneDoncaster1-1Rochdale
10 Aug 2019League OneLeague OneRochdale1-1Doncaster
1 Jan 2019League OneLeague OneDoncaster5-0Rochdale
13 Oct 2018League OneLeague OneRochdale2-3Doncaster
6 Jan 2018FA CupFA CupDoncaster0-1Rochdale
29 Dec 2017League OneLeague OneDoncaster2-0Rochdale

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg132%2.87X25%3.66243%2.12

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.1% margin.

1X2 since open average price

2 Nov 17:303 Nov 17:201 2.87X 3.662 2.12
13.60 → 2.87 -20.3%X3.71 → 3.66 -1.3%21.83 → 2.12 +15.8%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Bet3651.502.506.7%
Pinnacle1.482.546.9%
Betano1.552.357.1%
Betfair1.452.558.2%
BetVictor1.492.399.0%
1xBet1.462.3810.5%
Marathonbet1.462.3810.5%
Best of all books1.552.553.7%
Average1.482.448.3%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Bet3651.502.506.7%
Betfair1.442.607.9%
Betano1.472.508.0%
BetVictor1.402.708.5%
1xBet1.432.598.5%
Marathonbet1.432.549.3%
William Hill1.442.509.4%
Best of all books1.502.703.7%
Average1.442.568.3%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Rochdale 10%Draw 45%Doncaster 45%

The statistical model rates Rochdale at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Doncaster at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.87 | 3.66 | 2.12, which imply roughly 27.3% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Over their last five matches, Rochdale averaged 1.5 goals scored and 4.5 conceded per game; Doncaster averaged 1 scored and 1.5 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Doncaster and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Confirmed Lineups

Rochdale

4-2-3-1

Coach: Ian Watson

Goalkeeper

  • 42J. Clarke

Defence

  • 16T. Nixon
  • 27S. Grehan
  • 6J. McGrath
  • 23J. Senior

Midfield

  • 20D. Robinson
  • 22R. Gotts
  • 15H. Clifton
  • 18W. Keane
  • 25B. McCann

Attack

  • 9B. Hanlan
Substitutes (7)
  • 8G. Broadbent
  • 4O. Bailey
  • 47H. Adelakun
  • 21I. Hutchinson
  • 10A. May
  • 1Tommy Simkin
  • 19J. Thomas

Doncaster

4-2-3-1

Coach: G. McCann

Goalkeeper

  • 20Sam William John Waller

Defence

  • 33S. Beckwith
  • 26S. Sherring
  • 3Kaiden Wilson
  • 27B. Bilongo

Midfield

  • 14E. Francis
  • 11Z. Silcott-Duberry
  • 19L. Hannant
  • 35J. Paterson
  • 45G. Middleton

Attack

  • 40I. Henderson
Substitutes (7)
  • 2C. Tasker
  • 17B. Adeeko
  • 6E. Ebanks-Landell
  • 44A. Flint
  • 8H. Gilmour
  • 7C. Hayes
  • 12J. Spaven

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
2.873.662.12

Double chance

1XX212
1.621.351.23

Draw no bet

12
2.171.62

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.442.56

1st half

1X2
3.342.372.60

2nd half

1X2
3.202.692.33

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 14.6413.420.8
HT X7.226.265.72
HT 225.013.33.31

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
2.0717.41.73

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0212.8
1.51.134.95
2.51.482.44
3.52.231.59
4.53.741.22
5.56.731.07
6.59.831.03
7.516.01.01
8.521.0–
15 more lines
LineOverUnder
0.75–9.20
11.019.50
1.251.066.15
1.751.144.40
21.233.62
2.251.342.93
2.751.592.19
31.771.93
3.251.981.72
3.752.521.44
43.041.29
4.253.351.25
4.754.411.14
55.851.07
5.256.151.06

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-0.52.821.40
-0.252.501.46
02.181.60
+0.251.861.84
+0.51.682.11
+0.751.502.38
11 more lines
LineHomeAway
-1.55.501.10
-1.255.151.12
-14.671.14
-0.753.431.25
+11.372.87
+1.251.293.23
+1.51.233.57
+1.751.164.43
+21.086.27
+2.251.076.63
+2.51.076.47

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
6.51.046.28
7.51.193.79
8.51.432.55
9.51.761.96
10.52.211.58
11.52.801.35
12.53.821.18
13.55.661.06
21 more lines
LineOverUnder
6.751.046.02
71.055.76
7.251.124.55
7.751.203.64
81.223.45
8.251.312.97
8.751.442.51
91.522.34
9.251.602.17
9.751.791.92
101.901.80
10.252.011.72
10.752.271.55
112.501.44
11.252.621.40
11.753.061.29
123.491.22
12.253.661.20
12.754.391.13
135.261.08
13.255.461.07

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