Rochdale vs
Doncaster• EFL Trophy, England
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 3 Nov 16:39 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dafabet | 2.95 | 3.85 | 2.21 | 5.1% |
| Pinnacle | 2.86 | 3.81 | 2.18 | 7.1% |
| Betano | 2.90 | 3.60 | 2.18 | 8.1% |
| BetVictor | 2.88 | 3.70 | 2.10 | 9.4% |
| 1xBet | 2.95 | 3.60 | 2.07 | 10.0% |
| Betfair | 2.80 | 3.70 | 2.10 | 10.4% |
| Marathonbet | 2.90 | 3.60 | 2.05 | 11.0% |
| Bet365 | 2.75 | 3.70 | 2.05 | 12.2% |
| William Hill | 2.80 | 3.40 | 2.10 | 12.7% |
| Best of all books | 2.95 | 3.85 | 2.21 | 5.1% |
| Average | 2.87 | 3.66 | 2.12 | 9.5% |
Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 2 Nov 17:30 UTC
Rochdale
3W 3D 4L · goals 15:24 · per match 1.5 for, 2.4 against
| 31 Oct | A | Port Vale | 2-4 | L |
| 24 Oct | H | Accrington ST | 0-5 | L |
| 20 Oct | H | Grimsby | 2-2 | D |
| 17 Oct | A | Crewe | 2-3 | L |
| 10 Oct | A | Tranmere | 1-1 | D |
| 6 Oct | A | Huddersfield | 0-5 | L |
| 3 Oct | H | Swindon Town | 1-0 | W |
| 26 Sep | A | Fleetwood Town | 2-1 | W |
| 22 Sep | H | Liverpool U21 | 3-3 | D |
| 19 Sep | H | Oldham | 2-0 | W |
Doncaster
4W 0D 6L · goals 10:17 · per match 1.0 for, 1.7 against
| 31 Oct | A | Milton Keynes Dons | 1-6 | L |
| 27 Oct | A | Luton | 1-3 | L |
| 24 Oct | H | Sheffield Wednesday | 2-0 | W |
| 20 Oct | H | Stockport County | 0-2 | L |
| 17 Oct | A | Leicester | 1-2 | L |
| 10 Oct | H | Burton Albion | 1-0 | W |
| 6 Oct | H | Liverpool U21 | 1-0 | W |
| 19 Sep | A | Peterborough | 2-0 | W |
| 12 Sep | A | AFC Wimbledon | 0-1 | L |
| 8 Sep | H | Huddersfield | 1-3 | L |
Head to head
17 meetings · goals 19:30 · last 10: 1W 2D 7L for Rochdale
| 29 Dec 2022League Two | League Two | Doncaster4-3Rochdale |
| 1 Oct 2022League Two | League Two | Rochdale1-2Doncaster |
| 1 May 2021League One | League One | Rochdale1-2Doncaster |
| 19 Jan 2021League One | League One | Doncaster1-0Rochdale |
| 8 Feb 2020League One | League One | Doncaster1-1Rochdale |
| 10 Aug 2019League One | League One | Rochdale1-1Doncaster |
| 1 Jan 2019League One | League One | Doncaster5-0Rochdale |
| 13 Oct 2018League One | League One | Rochdale2-3Doncaster |
| 6 Jan 2018FA Cup | FA Cup | Doncaster0-1Rochdale |
| 29 Dec 2017League One | League One | Doncaster2-0Rochdale |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.1% margin.
1X2 since open average price
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.50 | 2.50 | 6.7% |
| Pinnacle | 1.48 | 2.54 | 6.9% |
| Betano | 1.55 | 2.35 | 7.1% |
| Betfair | 1.45 | 2.55 | 8.2% |
| BetVictor | 1.49 | 2.39 | 9.0% |
| 1xBet | 1.46 | 2.38 | 10.5% |
| Marathonbet | 1.46 | 2.38 | 10.5% |
| Best of all books | 1.55 | 2.55 | 3.7% |
| Average | 1.48 | 2.44 | 8.3% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.50 | 2.50 | 6.7% |
| Betfair | 1.44 | 2.60 | 7.9% |
| Betano | 1.47 | 2.50 | 8.0% |
| BetVictor | 1.40 | 2.70 | 8.5% |
| 1xBet | 1.43 | 2.59 | 8.5% |
| Marathonbet | 1.43 | 2.54 | 9.3% |
| William Hill | 1.44 | 2.50 | 9.4% |
| Best of all books | 1.50 | 2.70 | 3.7% |
| Average | 1.44 | 2.56 | 8.3% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates Rochdale at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Doncaster at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.87 | 3.66 | 2.12, which imply roughly 27.3% for the draw versus the model's 45%.
Over their last five matches, Rochdale averaged 1.5 goals scored and 4.5 conceded per game; Doncaster averaged 1 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Doncaster and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
Confirmed Lineups
Rochdale
4-2-3-1Coach: Ian Watson
Goalkeeper
- 42J. Clarke
Defence
- 16T. Nixon
- 27S. Grehan
- 6J. McGrath
- 23J. Senior
Midfield
- 20D. Robinson
- 22R. Gotts
- 15H. Clifton
- 18W. Keane
- 25B. McCann
Attack
- 9B. Hanlan
Substitutes (7)
- 8G. Broadbent
- 4O. Bailey
- 47H. Adelakun
- 21I. Hutchinson
- 10A. May
- 1Tommy Simkin
- 19J. Thomas
Doncaster
4-2-3-1Coach: G. McCann
Goalkeeper
- 20Sam William John Waller
Defence
- 33S. Beckwith
- 26S. Sherring
- 3Kaiden Wilson
- 27B. Bilongo
Midfield
- 14E. Francis
- 11Z. Silcott-Duberry
- 19L. Hannant
- 35J. Paterson
- 45G. Middleton
Attack
- 40I. Henderson
Substitutes (7)
- 2C. Tasker
- 17B. Adeeko
- 6E. Ebanks-Landell
- 44A. Flint
- 8H. Gilmour
- 7C. Hayes
- 12J. Spaven
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.87 | 3.66 | 2.12 |
Double chance
| 1X | X2 | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.62 | 1.35 | 1.23 |
Draw no bet
| 1 | 2 |
|---|---|
| 2.17 | 1.62 |
Both teams to score
| Yes | No |
|---|---|
| 1.44 | 2.56 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 3.34 | 2.37 | 2.60 |
2nd half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 3.20 | 2.69 | 2.33 |
HT/FT
| HT / FT | FT 1 | FT X | FT 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| HT 1 | 4.64 | 13.4 | 20.8 |
| HT X | 7.22 | 6.26 | 5.72 |
| HT 2 | 25.0 | 13.3 | 3.31 |
First team to score
| Home | No Goal | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 2.07 | 17.4 | 1.73 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 1.02 | 12.8 |
| 1.5 | 1.13 | 4.95 |
| 2.5 | 1.48 | 2.44 |
| 3.5 | 2.23 | 1.59 |
| 4.5 | 3.74 | 1.22 |
| 5.5 | 6.73 | 1.07 |
| 6.5 | 9.83 | 1.03 |
| 7.5 | 16.0 | 1.01 |
| 8.5 | 21.0 | – |
15 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.75 | – | 9.20 |
| 1 | 1.01 | 9.50 |
| 1.25 | 1.06 | 6.15 |
| 1.75 | 1.14 | 4.40 |
| 2 | 1.23 | 3.62 |
| 2.25 | 1.34 | 2.93 |
| 2.75 | 1.59 | 2.19 |
| 3 | 1.77 | 1.93 |
| 3.25 | 1.98 | 1.72 |
| 3.75 | 2.52 | 1.44 |
| 4 | 3.04 | 1.29 |
| 4.25 | 3.35 | 1.25 |
| 4.75 | 4.41 | 1.14 |
| 5 | 5.85 | 1.07 |
| 5.25 | 6.15 | 1.06 |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -0.5 | 2.82 | 1.40 |
| -0.25 | 2.50 | 1.46 |
| 0 | 2.18 | 1.60 |
| +0.25 | 1.86 | 1.84 |
| +0.5 | 1.68 | 2.11 |
| +0.75 | 1.50 | 2.38 |
11 more lines
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 5.50 | 1.10 |
| -1.25 | 5.15 | 1.12 |
| -1 | 4.67 | 1.14 |
| -0.75 | 3.43 | 1.25 |
| +1 | 1.37 | 2.87 |
| +1.25 | 1.29 | 3.23 |
| +1.5 | 1.23 | 3.57 |
| +1.75 | 1.16 | 4.43 |
| +2 | 1.08 | 6.27 |
| +2.25 | 1.07 | 6.63 |
| +2.5 | 1.07 | 6.47 |
Corners 2-Way
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 1.04 | 6.28 |
| 7.5 | 1.19 | 3.79 |
| 8.5 | 1.43 | 2.55 |
| 9.5 | 1.76 | 1.96 |
| 10.5 | 2.21 | 1.58 |
| 11.5 | 2.80 | 1.35 |
| 12.5 | 3.82 | 1.18 |
| 13.5 | 5.66 | 1.06 |
21 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.75 | 1.04 | 6.02 |
| 7 | 1.05 | 5.76 |
| 7.25 | 1.12 | 4.55 |
| 7.75 | 1.20 | 3.64 |
| 8 | 1.22 | 3.45 |
| 8.25 | 1.31 | 2.97 |
| 8.75 | 1.44 | 2.51 |
| 9 | 1.52 | 2.34 |
| 9.25 | 1.60 | 2.17 |
| 9.75 | 1.79 | 1.92 |
| 10 | 1.90 | 1.80 |
| 10.25 | 2.01 | 1.72 |
| 10.75 | 2.27 | 1.55 |
| 11 | 2.50 | 1.44 |
| 11.25 | 2.62 | 1.40 |
| 11.75 | 3.06 | 1.29 |
| 12 | 3.49 | 1.22 |
| 12.25 | 3.66 | 1.20 |
| 12.75 | 4.39 | 1.13 |
| 13 | 5.26 | 1.08 |
| 13.25 | 5.46 | 1.07 |