AFC Totton vs Chelmsford City• National League - South, England

#161.0:1.815:0031/102.0:0.8#13

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.80BFRX3.80BFR21.88BTNMargin at best5.8%Books6Markets50Rating45 · 56Exp. goals L52.8

Price board · 1X2captured 28 Oct 16:50 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Betano	3.50	3.70	1.88	8.8%
BetVictor	3.60	3.70	1.83	9.4%
Betfair	3.80	3.80	1.73	10.4%
1xBet	3.62	3.64	1.80	10.7%
Bet365	3.40	3.60	1.85	11.2%
Marathonbet	3.54	3.64	1.78	11.9%
Best of all books	3.80	3.80	1.88	5.8%
Average	3.58	3.68	1.81	10.3%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

AFC TottonChelmsford City

Last 10#16Table position#131.14Points per game1.506Form pts · last 5101.0Goals for · last 52.01.8Goals against · last 50.833Attack rating6731Defence rating6940Form rating6080H2H rating2023Goals model7745Overall rating56

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 28 Oct 18:02 UTC

AFC Totton

3W 0D 7L · goals 10:18 · per match 1.0 for, 1.8 against

27 Oct	H	Torquay	1-0	W
24 Oct	A	Hemel Hempstead Town	3-1	W
17 Oct	A	Folkestone Invicta	1-2	L
13 Oct	A	Ebbsfleet United	0-5	L
10 Oct	H	Walton & Hersham	0-1	L
26 Sep	A	Dover	0-2	L
19 Sep	H	Gloucester City	0-2	L
12 Sep	H	Slough Town	0-1	L
8 Sep	A	Weston-super-Mare	1-3	L
5 Sep	H	Hampton & Richmond	4-1	W

Chelmsford City

4W 5D 1L · goals 17:9 · per match 1.7 for, 0.9 against

27 Oct	A	Dover	1-0	W
24 Oct	H	Tonbridge Angels	3-3	D
17 Oct	A	Wimborne Town	0-1	L
10 Oct	A	Chesham United	5-0	W
3 Oct	A	Brackley Town	2-0	W
26 Sep	H	Horsham	0-0	D
19 Sep	A	Canvey Island	1-0	W
12 Sep	A	Hampton & Richmond	1-1	D
8 Sep	A	Dorking Wanderers	3-3	D
5 Sep	H	Salisbury	1-1	D

Head to head

1AFC Totton wins

1draws

0Chelmsford City wins

2 meetings · goals 3:2 · last 2: 1W 1D 0L for AFC Totton

30 Mar 2026National League - South	National League - South	Chelmsford City1-1AFC Totton
25 Oct 2025National League - South	National League - South	AFC Totton2-1Chelmsford City

National League - South tableNational League N/S: Southupdated 28 Oct 21:40 UTC

In the National League - South table, AFC Totton sit 16th with 16 points from 14 games, while Chelmsford City are 13th with 18 points from 12.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Ebbsfleet United	12	8	4	0	29:7	+22	28
2	Truro City	13	8	3	2	24:12	+12	27
3	Maidstone Utd	14	8	2	4	24:17	+7	26
4	Salisbury	13	7	4	2	23:9	+14	25
5	Tonbridge Angels	14	7	3	4	26:14	+12	24
6	Farnham Town	13	7	2	4	27:18	+9	23
7	Dagenham & Redbridge	14	7	2	5	13:11	+2	23
8	Billericay Town	12	6	4	2	27:16	+11	22
9	Dorking Wanderers	13	5	6	2	29:21	+8	21
10	Folkestone Invicta	14	5	4	5	20:16	+4	19
11	Dover	13	5	4	4	19:19	0	19
12	Horsham	14	4	7	3	16:16	0	19
13	Chelmsford City	12	3	9	0	18:11	+7	18
14	Weston-super-Mare	12	5	3	4	20:17	+3	18
15	Torquay	13	4	5	4	19:17	+2	17
16	AFC Totton	14	5	1	8	13:24	-11	16
17	Hemel Hempstead Town	14	3	6	5	14:17	-3	15
18	Maidenhead	14	3	5	6	14:19	-5	14
19	Farnborough	12	4	2	6	10:19	-9	14
20	Braintree	13	4	1	8	20:34	-14	13
21	Chesham United	13	3	1	9	18:30	-12	10
22	Hampton & Richmond	13	2	3	8	16:32	-16	9
23	Walton & Hersham	13	2	2	9	10:30	-20	8
24	Slough Town	14	1	1	12	14:37	-23	4

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg125%3.58X25%3.68250%1.81

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.8% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.60	2.30	6.0%
BetVictor	1.59	2.17	9.0%
Betano	1.60	2.15	9.0%
1xBet	1.57	2.20	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.57	2.20	9.1%
Best of all books	1.60	2.30	6.0%
Average	1.59	2.20	8.4%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Bet365	1.57	2.25	8.1%
1xBet	1.53	2.32	8.5%
BetVictor	1.53	2.30	8.8%
Betano	1.55	2.25	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.53	2.28	9.2%
Best of all books	1.57	2.32	6.8%
Average	1.54	2.28	8.7%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

AFC Totton 10%Draw 45%Chelmsford City 45%

The statistical model rates AFC Totton at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Chelmsford City at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.58 | 3.68 | 1.81, which imply roughly 27.2% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the National League - South table: AFC Totton are 16th (16 pts, 13-24 goals), Chelmsford City 13th (18 pts, 18-11).

Over their last five matches, AFC Totton averaged 1 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game; Chelmsford City averaged 2 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Chelmsford City.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
3.58	3.68	1.81

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.87	1.22	1.21

Draw no bet

1	2
2.59	1.44

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.54	2.28

1st half

1	X	2
3.97	2.32	2.35

2nd half

1	X	2
3.59	2.70	2.17

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	5.87	14.5	22.3
HT X	8.37	6.00	4.87
HT 2	32.7	14.0	2.74

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.30	15.9	1.63

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.01	14.0
1.5	1.16	4.35
2.5	1.59	2.20
3.5	2.42	1.47
4.5	4.26	1.17
5.5	7.73	1.04
6.5	10.5	1.02
7.5	17.0	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	9.40
1.25	1.06	6.35
1.75	1.17	4.01
2	1.22	3.50
2.25	1.41	2.58
2.75	1.71	1.95
3	1.93	1.73
3.25	2.18	1.57
3.75	2.84	1.34
4	3.72	1.20
4.25	4.06	1.17
4.75	5.55	1.08
5	7.90	1.02

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
0	2.69	1.39
+0.25	2.14	1.61
+0.5	1.88	1.85
+0.75	1.66	2.05
+1	1.46	2.49
+1.25	1.35	2.82

11 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	7.90	1.02
-1.25	7.40	1.03
-1	6.73	1.07
-0.75	4.47	1.15
-0.5	3.45	1.30
-0.25	3.09	1.30
+1.5	1.29	3.19
+1.75	1.19	3.93
+2	1.10	5.53
+2.25	1.08	5.97
+2.5	1.07	6.40

Next National League - South matches

31 Oct	Billericay Town – Hemel Hempstead Town
31 Oct	Braintree – Hampton & Richmond
31 Oct	Chesham United – Folkestone Invicta
31 Oct	Dorking Wanderers – Weston-super-Mare
31 Oct	Dover – Farnham Town
31 Oct	Farnborough – Horsham

All National League - South fixtures and the table

Latest National League - South results

28 Oct	Farnborough 2-1 Weston-super-Mare
27 Oct	Maidenhead 1-1 Horsham
27 Oct	Dover 0-1 Chelmsford City
27 Oct	Chesham United 2-4 Farnham Town
27 Oct	Maidstone Utd 1-3 Ebbsfleet United
27 Oct	Walton & Hersham 0-2 Salisbury