Farnborough vs Weston-super-Mare• National League - South, England

#190.8:1.82-1FTToday1.6:2.2#14

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.90DAFX3.60BFR22.45WHMargin at best3.1%Books10Markets79Rating42 · 58Exp. goals L53.2

Price board · 1X2captured 28 Oct 16:50 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	2.90	3.60	2.25	6.7%
Pinnacle	2.87	3.51	2.25	7.8%
Betano	2.55	3.55	2.42	8.7%
BetVictor	2.50	3.60	2.40	9.4%
William Hill	2.50	3.40	2.45	10.2%
Bet365	2.55	3.50	2.30	11.3%
Betfair	2.60	3.60	2.20	11.7%
Marathonbet	2.67	3.54	2.17	11.8%
1xBet	2.44	3.54	2.35	11.8%
SBO	2.69	3.34	2.08	15.2%
Best of all books	2.90	3.60	2.45	3.1%
Average	2.63	3.52	2.29	10.2%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

FarnboroughWeston-super-Mare

Last 10#19Table position#141.17Points per game1.507Form pts · last 520.8Goals for · last 51.61.8Goals against · last 52.233Attack rating6755Defence rating4536Form rating6440H2H rating6042Goals model5842Overall rating58

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 28 Oct 21:40 UTC

Farnborough

2W 2D 6L · goals 8:20 · per match 0.8 for, 2.0 against

28 Oct	H	Weston-super-Mare	2-1	W
24 Oct	A	Folkestone Invicta	0-2	L
17 Oct	H	Dagenham & Redbridge	2-0	W
10 Oct	A	Billericay Town	0-4	L
26 Sep	A	Walton & Hersham	2-2	D
22 Sep	H	Uxbridge	0-2	L
19 Sep	A	Uxbridge	2-2	D
12 Sep	H	Dover	0-1	L
8 Sep	A	Hampton & Richmond	0-2	L
5 Sep	H	Tonbridge Angels	0-4	L

Weston-super-Mare

2W 4D 4L · goals 12:17 · per match 1.2 for, 1.7 against

28 Oct	A	Farnborough	1-2	L
17 Oct	A	Ebbsfleet United	1-6	L
10 Oct	H	Folkestone Invicta	1-1	D
26 Sep	A	Farnham Town	2-3	L
22 Sep	A	Wimborne Town	1-1	D
19 Sep	H	Wimborne Town	1-1	D
12 Sep	H	Dagenham & Redbridge	1-0	W
8 Sep	H	AFC Totton	3-1	W
5 Sep	A	Maidstone Utd	0-1	L
31 Aug	H	Chelmsford City	1-1	D

Head to head

5Farnborough wins

2draws

4Weston-super-Mare wins

11 meetings · goals 22:18 · last 10: 4W 2D 4L for Farnborough

3 Jan 2026National League - South	National League - South	Weston-super-Mare4-1Farnborough
25 Aug 2025National League - South	National League - South	Farnborough1-3Weston-super-Mare
1 Mar 2025National League - South	National League - South	Farnborough2-1Weston-super-Mare
23 Nov 2024National League - South	National League - South	Weston-super-Mare4-3Farnborough
26 Mar 2024National League - South	National League - South	Weston-super-Mare0-3Farnborough
30 Sep 2023FA Cup	FA Cup	Farnborough0-1Weston-super-Mare
26 Aug 2023National League - South	National League - South	Farnborough3-0Weston-super-Mare
19 Mar 2022Non League Premier - Southern South	Non League Premier - Southern South	Farnborough1-1Weston-super-Mare
25 Jan 2022Non League Premier - Southern South	Non League Premier - Southern South	Weston-super-Mare2-2Farnborough
7 Dec 2019Non League Premier - Southern South	Non League Premier - Southern South	Weston-super-Mare1-3Farnborough

National League - South tableNational League N/S: Southupdated 28 Oct 21:40 UTC

In the National League - South table, Farnborough sit 19th with 14 points from 12 games, while Weston-super-Mare are 14th with 18 points from 12.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Ebbsfleet United	12	8	4	0	29:7	+22	28
2	Truro City	13	8	3	2	24:12	+12	27
3	Maidstone Utd	14	8	2	4	24:17	+7	26
4	Salisbury	13	7	4	2	23:9	+14	25
5	Tonbridge Angels	14	7	3	4	26:14	+12	24
6	Farnham Town	13	7	2	4	27:18	+9	23
7	Dagenham & Redbridge	14	7	2	5	13:11	+2	23
8	Billericay Town	12	6	4	2	27:16	+11	22
9	Dorking Wanderers	13	5	6	2	29:21	+8	21
10	Folkestone Invicta	14	5	4	5	20:16	+4	19
11	Dover	13	5	4	4	19:19	0	19
12	Horsham	14	4	7	3	16:16	0	19
13	Chelmsford City	12	3	9	0	18:11	+7	18
14	Weston-super-Mare	12	5	3	4	20:17	+3	18
15	Torquay	13	4	5	4	19:17	+2	17
16	AFC Totton	14	5	1	8	13:24	-11	16
17	Hemel Hempstead Town	14	3	6	5	14:17	-3	15
18	Maidenhead	14	3	5	6	14:19	-5	14
19	Farnborough	12	4	2	6	10:19	-9	14
20	Braintree	13	4	1	8	20:34	-14	13
21	Chesham United	13	3	1	9	18:30	-12	10
22	Hampton & Richmond	13	2	3	8	16:32	-16	9
23	Walton & Hersham	13	2	2	9	10:30	-20	8
24	Slough Town	14	1	1	12	14:37	-23	4

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg133%2.73X26%3.50241%2.23

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.1% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.81 → 2.63 -6.4%X3.46 → 3.52 +1.7%22.17 → 2.29 +5.5%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.60	2.30	6.0%
Pinnacle	1.58	2.29	7.0%
Betfair	1.50	2.40	8.3%
Betano	1.50	2.37	8.9%
BetVictor	1.54	2.27	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.51	2.26	10.5%
1xBet	1.50	2.28	10.5%
Best of all books	1.60	2.40	4.2%
Average	1.53	2.31	8.5%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Bet365	1.50	2.50	6.7%
William Hill	1.50	2.45	7.5%
Betfair	1.45	2.55	8.2%
1xBet	1.45	2.53	8.5%
BetVictor	1.44	2.55	8.7%
Betano	1.42	2.60	8.9%
Marathonbet	1.46	2.45	9.3%
Best of all books	1.50	2.60	5.1%
Average	1.46	2.52	8.2%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Farnborough 10%Draw 45%Weston-super-Mare 45%

The statistical model rated Farnborough at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Weston-super-Mare at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.73 | 3.50 | 2.23, which imply roughly 28.6% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the National League - South table: Farnborough are 19th (14 pts, 10-19 goals), Weston-super-Mare 14th (18 pts, 20-17).

Over their last five matches, Farnborough averaged 0.8 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game; Weston-super-Mare averaged 1.6 scored and 2.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Weston-super-Mare.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.63	3.52	2.29

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.52	1.41	1.23

Draw no bet

1	2
1.95	1.78

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.46	2.52

1st half

1	X	2
3.05	2.34	2.80

2nd half

1	X	2
2.80	2.69	2.57

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	4.15	13.3	21.6
HT X	6.61	6.16	6.01
HT 2	23.7	13.3	3.64

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.96	18.1	1.81

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	12.7
1.5	1.14	4.70
2.5	1.53	2.31
3.5	2.33	1.53
4.5	4.02	1.20
5.5	7.23	1.06
6.5	10.3	1.02
7.5	16.0	1.01
8.5	21.0	–

14 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.03	9.80
1.25	1.06	6.05
1.75	1.15	4.18
2	1.23	3.55
2.25	1.38	2.72
2.75	1.66	2.05
3	1.84	1.86
3.25	2.10	1.63
3.75	2.71	1.39
4	3.20	1.27
4.25	3.65	1.21
4.75	4.97	1.11
5	6.80	1.04
5.25	7.15	1.04

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.5	2.59	1.46
-0.25	2.26	1.57
0	1.98	1.76
+0.25	1.71	2.02
+0.5	1.56	2.33
+0.75	1.41	2.66

12 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	9.70	1.01
-1.75	6.27	1.08
-1.5	4.83	1.13
-1.25	4.47	1.16
-1	4.05	1.19
-0.75	3.03	1.33
+1	1.26	3.43
+1.25	1.20	3.88
+1.5	1.17	4.28
+1.75	1.11	5.53
+2	1.02	8.00
+2.5	1.02	8.75

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
6.5	1.06	5.53
7.5	1.22	3.48
8.5	1.45	2.46
9.5	1.84	1.87
10.5	2.25	1.54
11.5	3.00	1.30
12.5	4.30	1.13
13.5	6.54	1.03

21 more lines

Line	Over	Under
6.75	1.07	5.28
7	1.09	5.03
7.25	1.16	4.06
7.75	1.25	3.28
8	1.28	3.10
8.25	1.37	2.71
8.75	1.52	2.32
9	1.59	2.20
9.25	1.70	2.02
9.75	1.90	1.80
10	2.03	1.71
10.25	2.15	1.61
10.75	2.46	1.46
11	2.73	1.37
11.25	2.88	1.33
11.75	3.40	1.23
12	3.94	1.16
12.25	4.12	1.15
12.75	5.01	1.09
13	6.12	1.04
13.25	6.33	1.03

Next National League - South matches

31 Oct	AFC Totton – Chelmsford City
31 Oct	Billericay Town – Hemel Hempstead Town
31 Oct	Braintree – Hampton & Richmond
31 Oct	Chesham United – Folkestone Invicta
31 Oct	Dorking Wanderers – Weston-super-Mare
31 Oct	Dover – Farnham Town

All National League - South fixtures and the table

Latest National League - South results

27 Oct	AFC Totton 1-0 Torquay
27 Oct	Maidenhead 1-1 Horsham
27 Oct	Dover 0-1 Chelmsford City
27 Oct	Maidstone Utd 1-3 Ebbsfleet United
27 Oct	Walton & Hersham 0-2 Salisbury
27 Oct	Chesham United 2-4 Farnham Town