Dover vs Chelmsford City• National League - South, England

#111.2:0.419:45Today2.4:1.4#15

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.10BVCX3.75B36522.09PINMargin at best6.8%Books9Markets81Rating54 · 46 levelExp. goals L52.7

Price board · 1X2captured 27 Oct 06:01 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	3.10	3.60	2.14	6.8%
Pinnacle	3.09	3.61	2.09	7.9%
Betano	3.10	3.60	2.05	8.8%
BetVictor	3.10	3.50	2.05	9.6%
1xBet	3.06	3.52	2.02	10.6%
Bet365	2.90	3.60	2.05	11.0%
Marathonbet	2.99	3.52	2.00	11.9%
Betfair	3.00	3.60	1.95	12.4%
William Hill	3.00	3.30	2.05	12.4%
Best of all books	3.10	3.61	2.14	6.7%
Average	3.04	3.54	2.04	10.1%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

DoverChelmsford City

Last 10#11Table position#151.58Points per game1.3611Form pts · last 581.2Goals for · last 52.40.4Goals against · last 51.433Attack rating6778Defence rating2261Form rating3962H2H rating3835Goals model6554Overall rating46

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 25 Oct 15:02 UTC

Dover

6W 3D 1L · goals 17:12 · per match 1.7 for, 1.2 against

24 Oct	A	Salisbury	1-1	D
17 Oct	H	Dorking Wanderers	3-2	W
10 Oct	H	Dorking Wanderers	1-1	D
3 Oct	A	Hanwell Town	2-1	W
26 Sep	H	AFC Totton	2-0	W
19 Sep	H	Folkestone Invicta	4-2	W
12 Sep	A	Farnborough	1-0	W
8 Sep	A	Dagenham & Redbridge	1-0	W
5 Sep	H	Maidenhead	0-3	L
31 Aug	A	Chesham United	2-2	D

Chelmsford City

3W 6D 1L · goals 17:10 · per match 1.7 for, 1.0 against

24 Oct	H	Tonbridge Angels	3-3	D
17 Oct	A	Wimborne Town	0-1	L
10 Oct	A	Chesham United	5-0	W
3 Oct	A	Brackley Town	2-0	W
26 Sep	H	Horsham	0-0	D
19 Sep	A	Canvey Island	1-0	W
12 Sep	A	Hampton & Richmond	1-1	D
8 Sep	A	Dorking Wanderers	3-3	D
5 Sep	H	Salisbury	1-1	D
31 Aug	A	Weston-super-Mare	1-1	D

Head to head

2Dover wins

4draws

2Chelmsford City wins

8 meetings · goals 9:10 · last 8: 2W 4D 2L for Dover

21 Mar 2026National League - South	National League - South	Chelmsford City1-2Dover
28 Oct 2025National League - South	National League - South	Dover0-1Chelmsford City
1 Apr 2024National League - South	National League - South	Dover1-0Chelmsford City
23 Oct 2023National League - South	National League - South	Chelmsford City3-3Dover
18 Feb 2023National League - South	National League - South	Dover0-0Chelmsford City
7 Nov 2022National League - South	National League - South	Chelmsford City0-0Dover
13 Nov 2012FA Trophy	FA Trophy	Dover2-4Chelmsford City
10 Nov 2012FA Trophy	FA Trophy	Chelmsford City1-1Dover

National League - South tableNational League N/S: Southupdated 26 Oct 15:10 UTC

In the National League - South table, Dover sit 11th with 19 points from 12 games, while Chelmsford City are 15th with 15 points from 11.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Maidstone Utd	13	8	2	3	23:14	+9	26
2	Ebbsfleet United	11	7	4	0	26:6	+20	25
3	Truro City	12	7	3	2	21:11	+10	24
4	Dagenham & Redbridge	13	7	2	4	12:9	+3	23
5	Salisbury	12	6	4	2	21:9	+12	22
6	Billericay Town	11	6	3	2	25:14	+11	21
7	Tonbridge Angels	13	6	3	4	24:14	+10	21
8	Dorking Wanderers	12	5	5	2	26:18	+8	20
9	Farnham Town	12	6	2	4	23:16	+7	20
10	Folkestone Invicta	13	5	4	4	20:14	+6	19
11	Dover	12	5	4	3	19:18	+1	19
12	Weston-super-Mare	12	5	3	4	20:17	+3	18
13	Horsham	13	4	6	3	15:15	0	18
14	Torquay	12	4	5	3	19:16	+3	17
15	Chelmsford City	11	2	9	0	17:11	+6	15
16	Hemel Hempstead Town	13	3	5	5	11:14	-3	14
17	Farnborough	12	4	2	6	10:19	-9	14
18	Maidenhead	13	3	4	6	13:18	-5	13
19	AFC Totton	13	4	1	8	12:24	-12	13
20	Chesham United	12	3	1	8	16:26	-10	10
21	Braintree	12	3	1	8	18:33	-15	10
22	Hampton & Richmond	12	2	2	8	14:30	-16	8
23	Walton & Hersham	12	2	2	8	10:28	-18	8
24	Slough Town	13	1	1	11	13:34	-21	4

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg130%3.04X25%3.56245%2.02

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.8% margin.

1X2 since open average price

13.22 → 3.04 -5.6%X3.72 → 3.56 -4.3%21.88 → 2.02 +7.4%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.65	2.20	6.1%
Bet365	1.62	2.25	6.2%
Betfair	1.57	2.25	8.1%
BetVictor	1.61	2.13	9.1%
Betano	1.57	2.20	9.1%
1xBet	1.56	2.15	10.6%
Marathonbet	1.56	2.15	10.6%
Best of all books	1.65	2.25	5.1%
Average	1.59	2.19	8.5%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	1.53	2.40	7.0%
Bet365	1.53	2.38	7.4%
Betfair	1.50	2.40	8.3%
1xBet	1.51	2.36	8.6%
BetVictor	1.50	2.38	8.7%
Betano	1.52	2.32	8.9%
Marathonbet	1.51	2.32	9.3%
Best of all books	1.53	2.40	7.0%
Average	1.51	2.37	8.3%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Dover 45%Draw 45%Chelmsford City 10%

The statistical model rates Dover at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Chelmsford City at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.04 | 3.56 | 2.02, which imply roughly 32.9% for a Dover win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the National League - South table: Dover are 11th (19 pts, 19-18 goals), Chelmsford City 15th (15 pts, 17-11).

Over their last five matches, Dover averaged 1.2 goals scored and 0.4 conceded per game; Chelmsford City averaged 2.4 scored and 1.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Dover or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
3.04	3.54	2.04

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.67	1.31	1.23

Draw no bet

1	2
2.32	1.54

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.51	2.37

1st half

1	X	2
3.55	2.32	2.53

2nd half

1	X	2
3.23	2.63	2.36

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	4.95	13.7	21.2
HT X	7.44	5.94	5.38
HT 2	27.4	13.7	3.17

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.13	15.3	1.72

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	12.2
1.5	1.17	4.33
2.5	1.59	2.19
3.5	2.47	1.48
4.5	4.31	1.17
5.5	7.65	1.05
6.5	11.0	1.02
7.5	17.0	–
8.5	21.0	–

14 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.01	10.0
1.25	1.07	5.80
1.75	1.18	3.82
2	1.26	3.33
2.25	1.43	2.56
2.75	1.74	1.95
3	1.96	1.73
3.25	2.22	1.56
3.75	2.81	1.36
4	3.58	1.21
4.25	3.90	1.18
4.75	5.20	1.10
5	7.10	1.04
5.25	6.75	1.04

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.25	2.62	1.43
0	2.30	1.55
+0.25	1.92	1.80
+0.5	1.72	2.04
+0.75	1.53	2.33
+1	1.37	2.81

12 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.75	7.60	1.03
-1.5	5.93	1.09
-1.25	5.58	1.10
-1	5.15	1.12
-0.75	3.57	1.23
-0.5	3.01	1.37
+1.25	1.32	3.11
+1.5	1.24	3.52
+1.75	1.16	4.47
+2	1.08	6.37
+2.25	1.10	7.00
+2.5	1.07	6.72

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
6.5	1.07	5.37
7.5	1.23	3.44
8.5	1.46	2.44
9.5	1.79	1.90
10.5	2.25	1.54
11.5	3.07	1.29
12.5	4.43	1.12
13.5	6.78	1.02

21 more lines

Line	Over	Under
6.75	1.08	5.12
7	1.10	4.88
7.25	1.16	3.94
7.75	1.26	3.20
8	1.30	3.02
8.25	1.39	2.66
8.75	1.54	2.28
9	1.60	2.18
9.25	1.73	1.99
9.75	1.93	1.77
10	2.03	1.70
10.25	2.19	1.59
10.75	2.51	1.44
11	2.80	1.35
11.25	2.95	1.31
11.75	3.48	1.22
12	4.07	1.15
12.25	4.25	1.14
12.75	5.18	1.08
13	6.35	1.03
13.25	6.56	1.03

Next National League - South matches

27 Oct	Maidenhead – Horsham
27 Oct	Chesham United – Farnham Town
27 Oct	Dorking Wanderers – Hemel Hempstead Town
27 Oct	Maidstone Utd – Ebbsfleet United
27 Oct	Tonbridge Angels – Folkestone Invicta
27 Oct	AFC Totton – Torquay

All National League - South fixtures and the table

Latest National League - South results

24 Oct	Dagenham & Redbridge 2-0 Chesham United
24 Oct	Folkestone Invicta 2-0 Farnborough
24 Oct	Horsham 1-0 Walton & Hersham
24 Oct	Ebbsfleet United 4-0 Maidenhead
24 Oct	Farnham Town 6-0 Braintree
24 Oct	Hampton & Richmond 3-4 Truro City