Merthyr Town vs 
Hebburn Town• National League - North, England
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 7 Nov 12:01 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dafabet | 2.10 | 3.70 | 3.10 | 6.9% |
| Pinnacle | 2.14 | 3.66 | 3.02 | 7.2% |
| Betano | 2.07 | 3.70 | 2.95 | 9.2% |
| BetVictor | 2.10 | 3.60 | 2.90 | 9.9% |
| 1xBet | 2.05 | 3.54 | 2.98 | 10.6% |
| Betfair | 2.00 | 3.75 | 2.90 | 11.1% |
| Bet365 | 2.05 | 3.75 | 2.80 | 11.2% |
| William Hill | 2.10 | 3.40 | 2.90 | 11.5% |
| Marathonbet | 2.03 | 3.54 | 2.91 | 11.9% |
| SBO | 1.98 | 3.29 | 2.94 | 14.9% |
| Best of all books | 2.14 | 3.75 | 3.10 | 5.7% |
| Average | 2.06 | 3.59 | 2.94 | 10.3% |
Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 5 Nov 03:01 UTC
Merthyr Town
1W 5D 4L · goals 9:16 · per match 0.9 for, 1.6 against
| 31 Oct | A | Radcliffe | 3-3 | D |
| 27 Oct | A | Oxford City | 0-3 | L |
| 24 Oct | H | Morecambe | 1-3 | L |
| 17 Oct | H | King's Lynn Town | 1-1 | D |
| 10 Oct | A | Darlington 1883 | 1-1 | D |
| 26 Sep | H | Marine | 1-2 | L |
| 22 Sep | A | Truro City | 0-2 | L |
| 19 Sep | H | Truro City | 1-1 | D |
| 12 Sep | A | Scarborough Athletic | 0-0 | D |
| 8 Sep | A | Chester | 1-0 | W |
Hebburn Town
1W 4D 5L · goals 9:23 · per match 0.9 for, 2.3 against
| 31 Oct | H | Harborough Town | 1-1 | D |
| 24 Oct | A | AFC Telford United | 2-2 | D |
| 17 Oct | H | Scarborough Athletic | 0-2 | L |
| 10 Oct | H | Oxford City | 0-3 | L |
| 26 Sep | A | Darlington 1883 | 1-1 | D |
| 19 Sep | H | Guiseley AFC | 1-4 | L |
| 12 Sep | H | Hednesford Town | 2-1 | W |
| 8 Sep | A | Radcliffe | 1-5 | L |
| 5 Sep | H | Chester | 1-1 | D |
| 31 Aug | A | Macclesfield | 0-3 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings between Merthyr Town and Hebburn Town on record.
National League - North tableNational League N/S: Northupdated 10 Nov 15:10 UTC
In the National League - North table, Merthyr Town sit 16th with 19 points from 16 games, while Hebburn Town are 15th with 20 points from 15.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | South Shields | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 30:20 | +10 | 32 |
| 2 | Hereford | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 26:12 | +14 | 29 |
| 3 | Oxford City | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 26:11 | +15 | 27 |
| 4 | Macclesfield | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 21:11 | +10 | 27 |
| 5 | Hednesford Town | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 30:22 | +8 | 27 |
| 6 | King's Lynn Town | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27:21 | +6 | 27 |
| 7 | Buxton | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 32:27 | +5 | 27 |
| 8 | Chester | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 18:14 | +4 | 26 |
| 9 | Morecambe | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 23:18 | +5 | 23 |
| 10 | Bedford Town | 14 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 17:19 | -2 | 22 |
| 11 | AFC Telford United | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 18:22 | -4 | 22 |
| 12 | Spalding United | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 20:17 | +3 | 21 |
| 13 | Chorley | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 24:25 | -1 | 20 |
| 14 | Worksop Town | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 20:21 | -1 | 20 |
| 15 | Hebburn Town | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 20:28 | -8 | 20 |
| 16 | Merthyr Town | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 22:23 | -1 | 19 |
| 17 | Brackley Town | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 18:27 | -9 | 19 |
| 18 | Harborough Town | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 13:17 | -4 | 17 |
| 19 | Scarborough Athletic | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 21:22 | -1 | 16 |
| 20 | Marine | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 17:19 | -2 | 16 |
| 21 | Radcliffe | 15 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 19:27 | -8 | 16 |
| 22 | Darlington 1883 | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 19:28 | -9 | 11 |
| 23 | Southport | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 15:30 | -15 | 10 |
| 24 | Spennymoor Town | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 14:29 | -15 | 10 |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.7% margin.
1X2 since open average price
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.57 | 2.35 | 6.2% |
| Pinnacle | 1.58 | 2.28 | 7.2% |
| Betfair | 1.50 | 2.40 | 8.3% |
| BetVictor | 1.55 | 2.24 | 9.2% |
| Betano | 1.53 | 2.27 | 9.4% |
| 1xBet | 1.51 | 2.26 | 10.5% |
| Marathonbet | 1.51 | 2.26 | 10.5% |
| Best of all books | 1.58 | 2.40 | 5.0% |
| Average | 1.54 | 2.29 | 8.7% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair | 1.50 | 2.50 | 6.7% |
| Bet365 | 1.53 | 2.38 | 7.4% |
| William Hill | 1.53 | 2.38 | 7.4% |
| 1xBet | 1.46 | 2.50 | 8.5% |
| BetVictor | 1.47 | 2.45 | 8.8% |
| Betano | 1.50 | 2.37 | 8.9% |
| Marathonbet | 1.46 | 2.45 | 9.3% |
| Best of all books | 1.53 | 2.50 | 5.4% |
| Average | 1.49 | 2.43 | 8.1% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rated Merthyr Town at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Hebburn Town at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.06 | 3.59 | 2.94, which imply roughly 48.5% for a Merthyr Town win versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the National League - North table: Merthyr Town are 16th (19 pts, 22-23 goals), Hebburn Town 15th (20 pts, 20-28).
Over their last five matches, Merthyr Town averaged 1.2 goals scored and 2.2 conceded per game; Hebburn Town averaged 0.8 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Statistical advice: Double chance : Merthyr Town or draw.
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.06 | 3.59 | 2.94 |
Double chance
| 1X | X2 | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.31 | 1.66 | 1.22 |
Draw no bet
| 1 | 2 |
|---|---|
| 1.60 | 2.22 |
Both teams to score
| Yes | No |
|---|---|
| 1.49 | 2.43 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.56 | 2.34 | 3.42 |
2nd half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.34 | 2.67 | 3.18 |
HT/FT
| HT / FT | FT 1 | FT X | FT 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| HT 1 | 3.16 | 13.6 | 27.6 |
| HT X | 5.42 | 6.19 | 7.34 |
| HT 2 | 22.0 | 13.9 | 4.82 |
First team to score
| Home | No Goal | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 1.69 | 18.3 | 2.15 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 1.01 | 13.1 |
| 1.5 | 1.15 | 4.64 |
| 2.5 | 1.54 | 2.29 |
| 3.5 | 2.37 | 1.52 |
| 4.5 | 4.11 | 1.18 |
| 5.5 | 7.54 | 1.05 |
| 6.5 | 10.5 | 1.02 |
| 7.5 | 17.0 | – |
| 8.5 | 21.0 | – |
13 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1.01 | 10.0 |
| 1.75 | 1.15 | 4.25 |
| 2 | 1.19 | 3.78 |
| 2.25 | 1.38 | 2.71 |
| 2.75 | 1.67 | 2.03 |
| 3 | 1.87 | 1.83 |
| 3.25 | 2.11 | 1.63 |
| 3.75 | 2.72 | 1.38 |
| 4 | 3.42 | 1.23 |
| 4.25 | 3.78 | 1.19 |
| 4.75 | 5.15 | 1.10 |
| 5 | 7.10 | 1.04 |
| 5.25 | 7.50 | 1.03 |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -0.75 | 2.39 | 1.50 |
| -0.5 | 2.05 | 1.72 |
| -0.25 | 1.83 | 1.88 |
| 0 | 1.58 | 2.24 |
| +0.25 | 1.44 | 2.57 |
| +0.5 | 1.39 | 2.90 |
12 more lines
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 7.53 | 1.05 |
| -2.25 | 7.00 | 1.10 |
| -2 | 6.87 | 1.06 |
| -1.75 | 4.70 | 1.14 |
| -1.5 | 3.69 | 1.22 |
| -1.25 | 3.21 | 1.30 |
| -1 | 2.97 | 1.34 |
| +0.75 | 1.23 | 3.57 |
| +1 | 1.12 | 5.10 |
| +1.25 | 1.10 | 5.60 |
| +1.5 | 1.08 | 6.00 |
| +1.75 | 1.02 | 8.10 |
Corners 2-Way
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 1.04 | 6.26 |
| 7.5 | 1.19 | 3.81 |
| 8.5 | 1.38 | 2.64 |
| 9.5 | 1.72 | 2.01 |
| 10.5 | 2.11 | 1.62 |
| 11.5 | 2.77 | 1.35 |
| 12.5 | 3.84 | 1.18 |
| 13.5 | 5.68 | 1.06 |
23 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.75 | 1.05 | 5.99 |
| 7 | 1.06 | 5.73 |
| 7.25 | 1.12 | 4.53 |
| 7.75 | 1.20 | 3.63 |
| 8 | 1.23 | 3.44 |
| 8.25 | 1.31 | 2.96 |
| 8.75 | 1.44 | 2.50 |
| 9 | 1.51 | 2.36 |
| 9.25 | 1.61 | 2.17 |
| 9.75 | 1.79 | 1.91 |
| 10 | 1.94 | 1.80 |
| 10.25 | 2.01 | 1.71 |
| 10.75 | 2.28 | 1.54 |
| 11 | 2.48 | 1.46 |
| 11.25 | 2.63 | 1.40 |
| 11.75 | 3.06 | 1.29 |
| 12 | 3.50 | 1.22 |
| 12.25 | 3.67 | 1.20 |
| 12.75 | 4.41 | 1.13 |
| 13 | 5.29 | 1.07 |
| 13.25 | 5.48 | 1.06 |
| 13.75 | 5.88 | 1.05 |
| 14 | 7.26 | 1.01 |
Next National League - North matches
| 10 Nov | Morecambe – Hereford |
| 10 Nov | Scarborough Athletic – Marine |
| 10 Nov | Darlington 1883 – Oxford City |