Morecambe vs Hereford• National League - North, England

#91.8:1.82-2LiveToday · Globe Arena, Morecambe0.8:1.4#2

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.28PINX3.50B36522.90BFRMargin at best6.9%Books10Markets78Rating57 · 43Exp. goals L52.9

Price board · 1X2captured 10 Nov 12:00 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	2.26	3.51	2.91	7.1%
Dafabet	2.23	3.60	2.90	7.1%
Betano	2.22	3.40	2.87	9.3%
BetVictor	2.20	3.50	2.80	9.7%
Betfair	2.20	3.30	2.88	10.5%
1xBet	2.20	3.38	2.81	10.6%
Bet365	2.20	3.50	2.70	11.1%
William Hill	2.25	3.20	2.80	11.4%
Marathonbet	2.18	3.38	2.75	11.8%
SBO	2.14	3.23	2.68	15.0%
Best of all books	2.26	3.60	2.91	6.4%
Average	2.21	3.40	2.81	10.3%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

MorecambeHereford

Last 10#9Table position#21.53Points per game1.939Form pts · last 561.8Goals for · last 50.81.8Goals against · last 51.469Attack rating3144Defence rating5660Form rating400H2H rating055Goals model4557Overall rating43

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 8 Nov 15:01 UTC

Morecambe

6W 1D 3L · goals 19:12 · per match 1.9 for, 1.2 against

7 Nov	A	Hednesford Town	2-6	L
31 Oct	H	Scarborough Athletic	2-0	W
27 Oct	H	Darlington 1883	1-0	W
24 Oct	A	Merthyr Town	3-1	W
17 Oct	A	AFC Rushden & Diamonds	1-2	L
10 Oct	A	Worksop Town	1-2	L
3 Oct	H	Darlington 1883	3-0	W
26 Sep	A	Oxford City	1-1	D
19 Sep	H	Southport	2-0	W
12 Sep	H	Brackley Town	3-0	W

Hereford

5W 1D 4L · goals 18:12 · per match 1.8 for, 1.2 against

7 Nov	A	Chorley	2-1	W
31 Oct	H	King's Lynn Town	0-3	L
27 Oct	H	AFC Telford United	0-1	L
24 Oct	A	Macclesfield	2-1	W
10 Oct	H	Hednesford Town	0-1	L
26 Sep	A	Bedford Town	1-1	D
19 Sep	A	Stafford Rangers	2-3	L
12 Sep	H	South Shields	6-0	W
8 Sep	A	Harborough Town	3-0	W
5 Sep	H	Spennymoor Town	2-1	W

Head to head

No previous meetings between Morecambe and Hereford on record.

National League - North tableNational League N/S: Northupdated 10 Nov 15:10 UTC

In the National League - North table, Morecambe sit 9th with 23 points from 15 games, while Hereford are 2nd with 29 points from 15.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	South Shields	15	10	2	3	30:20	+10	32
2	Hereford	15	9	2	4	26:12	+14	29
3	Oxford City	14	8	3	3	26:11	+15	27
4	Macclesfield	13	8	3	2	21:11	+10	27
5	Hednesford Town	16	8	3	5	30:22	+8	27
6	King's Lynn Town	16	8	3	5	27:21	+6	27
7	Buxton	16	8	3	5	32:27	+5	27
8	Chester	15	8	2	5	18:14	+4	26
9	Morecambe	15	7	2	6	23:18	+5	23
10	Bedford Town	14	7	1	6	17:19	-2	22
11	AFC Telford United	16	6	4	6	18:22	-4	22
12	Spalding United	15	6	3	6	20:17	+3	21
13	Chorley	15	6	2	7	24:25	-1	20
14	Worksop Town	15	6	2	7	20:21	-1	20
15	Hebburn Town	15	5	5	5	20:28	-8	20
16	Merthyr Town	16	4	7	5	22:23	-1	19
17	Brackley Town	16	5	4	7	18:27	-9	19
18	Harborough Town	14	4	5	5	13:17	-4	17
19	Scarborough Athletic	15	4	4	7	21:22	-1	16
20	Marine	14	5	1	8	17:19	-2	16
21	Radcliffe	15	5	1	9	19:27	-8	16
22	Darlington 1883	15	3	2	10	19:28	-9	11
23	Southport	15	2	4	9	15:30	-15	10
24	Spennymoor Town	15	2	4	9	14:29	-15	10

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg142%2.18X27%3.40232%2.84

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.9% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.24 → 2.21 -1.3%X3.49 → 3.41 -2.3%22.67 → 2.83 +6.0%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.65	2.20	6.1%
Pinnacle	1.63	2.23	6.2%
Betfair	1.60	2.20	8.0%
Betano	1.62	2.12	8.9%
BetVictor	1.62	2.12	8.9%
1xBet	1.62	2.11	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.62	2.11	9.1%
Best of all books	1.65	2.23	5.4%
Average	1.62	2.16	8.0%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.50	2.50	6.7%
Bet365	1.53	2.38	7.4%
BetVictor	1.50	2.40	8.3%
William Hill	1.50	2.40	8.3%
1xBet	1.52	2.34	8.5%
Betano	1.52	2.32	8.9%
Marathonbet	1.52	2.30	9.3%
Best of all books	1.53	2.50	5.4%
Average	1.51	2.38	8.2%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Morecambe 45%Draw 45%Hereford 10%

The statistical model rates Morecambe at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Hereford at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.18 | 3.40 | 2.84, which imply roughly 45.9% for a Morecambe win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the National League - North table: Morecambe are 9th (23 pts, 23-18 goals), Hereford 2nd (29 pts, 26-12).

Over their last five matches, Morecambe averaged 1.8 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game; Hereford averaged 0.8 scored and 1.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Morecambe or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.21	3.40	2.81

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.35	1.55	1.24

Draw no bet

1	2
1.66	2.09

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.51	2.38

1st half

1	X	2
2.73	2.26	3.31

2nd half

1	X	2
2.52	2.57	3.01

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.48	13.5	27.0
HT X	5.70	5.68	6.77
HT 2	23.4	13.8	4.52

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.80	14.9	2.02

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	11.5
1.5	1.18	4.24
2.5	1.62	2.16
3.5	2.52	1.46
4.5	4.63	1.15
5.5	8.43	1.06
6.5	11.0	1.02
7.5	17.0	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.03	8.50
1.25	1.07	5.90
1.75	1.19	3.76
2	1.27	3.31
2.25	1.44	2.51
2.75	1.78	1.93
3	2.01	1.70
3.25	2.28	1.54
3.75	3.05	1.30
4	3.94	1.17
4.25	4.31	1.15
4.75	5.90	1.07
5	8.40	1.01

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	2.58	1.43
-0.5	2.20	1.63
-0.25	1.94	1.79
0	1.66	2.11
+0.25	1.49	2.42
+0.5	1.41	2.79

12 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	9.07	1.07
-2	8.30	1.02
-1.75	5.38	1.11
-1.5	4.13	1.18
-1.25	3.72	1.22
-1	3.32	1.28
+0.75	1.26	3.38
+1	1.13	4.78
+1.25	1.11	5.28
+1.5	1.09	5.75
+1.75	1.02	7.70
+2	1.01	9.50

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
6.5	1.08	5.07
7.5	1.25	3.26
8.5	1.48	2.39
9.5	1.79	1.92
10.5	2.21	1.60
11.5	3.22	1.26
12.5	4.70	1.11
13.5	7.28	1.01

22 more lines

Line	Over	Under
6.75	1.10	4.84
7	1.11	4.60
7.25	1.19	3.75
7.75	1.29	3.06
8	1.33	2.89
8.25	1.43	2.55
8.75	1.59	2.20
9	1.62	2.15
9.25	1.78	1.93
9.75	2.00	1.72
10	2.00	1.76
10.25	2.27	1.54
10.75	2.62	1.40
11	2.73	1.38
11.25	3.09	1.28
11.75	3.68	1.19
12	4.32	1.13
12.25	4.51	1.12
12.75	5.52	1.06
13	6.84	1.02
13.25	7.06	1.02
14	7.21	1.01

Latest National League - North results

7 Nov	AFC Telford United 2-1 Spalding United
7 Nov	Merthyr Town 4-1 Hebburn Town
7 Nov	Brackley Town 0-1 Chester
7 Nov	Chorley 1-2 Hereford
7 Nov	King's Lynn Town 2-0 Spennymoor Town
7 Nov	Scarborough Athletic 2-2 Buxton