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AFC Telford United vs Spalding United• National League - North, England

#111.6:1.22-1FT07/11 · New Bucks Head, Telford1.2:1.8#12

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.05DAFX3.69PIN23.69PINMargin at best3.0%Books10Markets79Rating61 · 39Exp. goals L52.9

Price board · 1X2captured 7 Nov 12:01 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Dafabet1.993.653.456.6%
Pinnacle1.883.693.697.4%
Betano1.933.553.459.0%
Betfair1.903.603.509.0%
BetVictor1.873.603.509.8%
1xBet1.853.543.5410.6%
Bet3651.903.603.2511.2%
Marathonbet1.833.543.4611.8%
William Hill1.853.403.5012.0%
SBO1.873.263.2315.1%
Best of all books1.993.693.694.5%
Average1.893.543.4610.1%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

AFC Telford UnitedSpalding United
Last 10#11Table position#121.38Points per game1.4010Form pts · last 551.6Goals for · last 51.21.2Goals against · last 51.857Attack rating4360Defence rating4071Form rating2980H2H rating2033Goals model6761Overall rating39

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 5 Nov 03:01 UTC

AFC Telford United

4W 3D 3L · goals 13:18 · per match 1.3 for, 1.8 against

31 OctASouthport2-1W
27 OctAHereford1-0W
24 OctHHebburn Town2-2D
17 OctHDarlington 18832-1W
10 OctAChorley1-2L
26 SepHKing's Lynn Town0-5L
22 SepAWorksop Town2-5L
19 SepHWorksop Town2-2D
12 SepAHarborough Town0-0D
8 SepHOxford City1-0W

Spalding United

3W 3D 4L · goals 15:16 · per match 1.5 for, 1.6 against

31 OctHDarlington 18833-2W
27 OctHBrackley Town2-2D
24 OctAHednesford Town0-2L
20 OctAAlvechurch0-4L
17 OctHAlvechurch2-2D
10 OctAMarine0-1L
6 OctHBury Town4-0W
3 OctABury Town1-1D
26 SepAChorley1-2L
19 SepHHanley Town2-0W

Head to head

1AFC Telford United wins
1draws
0Spalding United wins

2 meetings · goals 2:1 · last 2: 1W 1D 0L for AFC Telford United

5 Apr 2025Non League Premier - Southern CentralNon League Premier - Southern CentralAFC Telford United1-1Spalding United
24 Aug 2024Non League Premier - Southern CentralNon League Premier - Southern CentralSpalding United0-1AFC Telford United

National League - North tableNational League N/S: Northupdated 10 Nov 15:10 UTC

In the National League - North table, AFC Telford United sit 11th with 22 points from 16 games, while Spalding United are 12th with 21 points from 15.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1South Shields15102330:20+1032
2Hereford1592426:12+1429
3Oxford City1483326:11+1527
4Macclesfield1383221:11+1027
5Hednesford Town1683530:22+827
6King's Lynn Town1683527:21+627
7Buxton1683532:27+527
8Chester1582518:14+426
9Morecambe1572623:18+523
10Bedford Town1471617:19-222
11AFC Telford United1664618:22-422
12Spalding United1563620:17+321
13Chorley1562724:25-120
14Worksop Town1562720:21-120
15Hebburn Town1555520:28-820
16Merthyr Town1647522:23-119
17Brackley Town1654718:27-919
18Harborough Town1445513:17-417
19Scarborough Athletic1544721:22-116
20Marine1451817:19-216
21Radcliffe1551919:27-816
22Darlington 188315321019:28-911
23Southport1524915:30-1510
24Spennymoor Town1524914:29-1510

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg148%1.89X26%3.54226%3.46

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.0% margin.

1X2 since open average price

5 Nov 03:006 Nov 19:101 1.91X 3.562 3.43
12.04 → 1.91 -6.4%X3.53 → 3.56 +0.8%23.03 → 3.43 +13.2%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle1.652.196.3%
Bet3651.672.156.4%
Betfair1.652.108.2%
Betano1.652.078.9%
BetVictor1.652.078.9%
1xBet1.632.109.0%
Marathonbet1.632.109.0%
Best of all books1.672.195.5%
Average1.652.118.1%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betfair1.602.256.9%
William Hill1.602.256.9%
Bet3651.672.107.5%
BetVictor1.572.258.1%
1xBet1.562.258.5%
Betano1.572.209.1%
Marathonbet1.562.219.4%
Best of all books1.672.254.3%
Average1.592.228.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

AFC Telford United 45%Draw 45%Spalding United 10%

The statistical model rated AFC Telford United at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Spalding United at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.89 | 3.54 | 3.46, which imply roughly 52.9% for a AFC Telford United win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the National League - North table: AFC Telford United are 11th (22 pts, 18-22 goals), Spalding United 12th (21 pts, 20-17).

Over their last five matches, AFC Telford United averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; Spalding United averaged 1.2 scored and 1.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : AFC Telford United or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.893.543.46

Double chance

1XX212
1.251.761.23

Draw no bet

12
1.442.59

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.592.22

1st half

1X2
2.402.273.88

2nd half

1X2
2.252.593.53

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 12.9213.831.4
HT X4.965.787.98
HT 222.114.35.70

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.6813.92.26

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0211.6
1.51.184.14
2.51.652.11
3.52.571.44
4.54.551.15
5.58.261.03
6.512.01.01
7.517.0–
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.028.80
1.251.085.70
1.751.203.68
21.283.21
2.251.462.48
2.751.821.89
32.041.67
3.252.301.53
3.752.981.31
43.881.18
4.254.261.15
4.755.701.08
57.901.02

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-1.252.911.35
-12.591.43
-0.752.121.64
-0.51.891.86
-0.251.652.11
01.422.65
12 more lines
LineHomeAway
-2.56.601.07
-2.256.201.08
-25.771.10
-1.754.091.18
-1.53.281.27
+0.251.342.97
+0.51.323.32
+0.751.174.29
+11.076.38
+1.251.066.87
+1.51.057.27
+1.751.018.85

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
6.51.075.39
7.51.253.30
8.51.492.36
9.51.891.84
10.52.361.50
11.53.181.27
12.54.421.12
13.56.751.02
21 more lines
LineOverUnder
6.751.085.15
71.094.90
7.251.163.96
7.751.263.22
81.303.04
8.251.392.66
8.751.542.28
91.632.13
9.251.722.00
9.751.931.78
102.091.66
10.252.191.59
10.752.511.44
112.791.35
11.252.941.32
11.753.481.22
124.051.16
12.254.241.14
12.755.151.08
136.321.03
13.256.531.03

Next National League - North matches

10 NovMorecambe – Hereford
10 NovScarborough Athletic – Marine
10 NovDarlington 1883 – Oxford City

All National League - North fixtures and the table

Latest National League - North results

7 NovMerthyr Town 4-1 Hebburn Town
7 NovBrackley Town 0-1 Chester
7 NovChorley 1-2 Hereford
7 NovKing's Lynn Town 2-0 Spennymoor Town
7 NovScarborough Athletic 2-2 Buxton
7 NovSouth Shields 5-1 Southport