OddsFilter
Live

Chorley vs Hereford• National League - North, England

#131.8:1.41-2FT07/11 · Victory Park, Chorley0.6:1.4#2

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.79PINX3.50B36522.42PINMargin at best5.7%Books10Markets77Rating60 · 40Exp. goals L52.6

Price board · 1X2captured 7 Nov 12:01 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Dafabet2.653.552.446.9%
Pinnacle2.703.422.457.1%
Betano2.623.502.378.9%
BetVictor2.603.402.409.5%
Betfair2.633.502.3010.1%
Bet3652.503.502.3511.1%
William Hill2.623.102.4511.2%
1xBet2.633.282.3111.8%
Marathonbet2.633.282.3111.8%
SBO2.453.142.3515.2%
Best of all books2.703.552.456.0%
Average2.603.372.3710.3%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

ChorleyHereford
Last 10#13Table position#21.33Points per game1.934Form pts · last 561.8Goals for · last 50.61.4Goals against · last 51.475Attack rating2550Defence rating5069Form rating3171H2H rating2927Goals model7360Overall rating40

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 5 Nov 03:01 UTC

Chorley

5W 1D 4L · goals 15:12 · per match 1.5 for, 1.2 against

31 OctASpennymoor Town0-2L
27 OctARadcliffe3-0W
24 OctHBuxton2-3L
20 OctAWorcester City0-1L
17 OctHWorcester City1-1D
10 OctHAFC Telford United2-1W
3 OctABarton Town Old Boys4-1W
26 SepHSpalding United2-1W
19 SepARylands1-0W
12 SepAKing's Lynn Town0-2L

Hereford

5W 1D 4L · goals 18:12 · per match 1.8 for, 1.2 against

7 NovAChorley2-1W
31 OctHKing's Lynn Town0-3L
27 OctHAFC Telford United0-1L
24 OctAMacclesfield2-1W
10 OctHHednesford Town0-1L
26 SepABedford Town1-1D
19 SepAStafford Rangers2-3L
12 SepHSouth Shields6-0W
8 SepAHarborough Town3-0W
5 SepHSpennymoor Town2-1W

Head to head

5Chorley wins
3draws
3Hereford wins

11 meetings · goals 19:13 · last 10: 5W 2D 3L for Chorley

20 Dec 2025National League - NorthNational League - NorthChorley4-2Hereford
23 Aug 2025National League - NorthNational League - NorthHereford1-4Chorley
14 Dec 2024National League - NorthNational League - NorthHereford1-0Chorley
17 Aug 2024National League - NorthNational League - NorthChorley1-1Hereford
9 Mar 2024National League - NorthNational League - NorthHereford0-1Chorley
28 Oct 2023National League - NorthNational League - NorthChorley1-2Hereford
7 Mar 2023National League - NorthNational League - NorthChorley2-0Hereford
6 Dec 2022National League - NorthNational League - NorthHereford1-1Chorley
29 Jan 2022National League - NorthNational League - NorthChorley3-2Hereford
6 Nov 2021National League - NorthNational League - NorthHereford1-0Chorley

National League - North tableNational League N/S: Northupdated 10 Nov 15:10 UTC

In the National League - North table, Chorley sit 13th with 20 points from 15 games, while Hereford are 2nd with 29 points from 15.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1South Shields15102330:20+1032
2Hereford1592426:12+1429
3Oxford City1483326:11+1527
4Macclesfield1383221:11+1027
5Hednesford Town1683530:22+827
6King's Lynn Town1683527:21+627
7Buxton1683532:27+527
8Chester1582518:14+426
9Morecambe1572623:18+523
10Bedford Town1471617:19-222
11AFC Telford United1664618:22-422
12Spalding United1563620:17+321
13Chorley1562724:25-120
14Worksop Town1562720:21-120
15Hebburn Town1555520:28-820
16Merthyr Town1647522:23-119
17Brackley Town1654718:27-919
18Harborough Town1445513:17-417
19Scarborough Athletic1544721:22-116
20Marine1451817:19-216
21Radcliffe1551919:27-816
22Darlington 188315321019:28-911
23Southport1524915:30-1510
24Spennymoor Town1524914:29-1510

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg135%2.60X27%3.37238%2.37

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.7% margin.

1X2 since open average price

5 Nov 03:005 Nov 15:001 2.65X 3.362 2.35
12.58 → 2.65 +2.7%X3.46 → 3.36 -2.9%22.33 → 2.35 +0.9%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle1.692.126.3%
Bet3651.702.106.4%
Betfair1.652.108.2%
Betano1.702.028.3%
1xBet1.711.989.0%
Marathonbet1.711.989.0%
BetVictor1.672.039.1%
Best of all books1.712.125.6%
Average1.692.058.0%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betfair1.572.307.2%
Bet3651.622.207.2%
William Hill1.572.258.1%
1xBet1.582.218.5%
BetVictor1.532.308.8%
Betano1.602.159.0%
Marathonbet1.582.179.4%
Best of all books1.622.305.2%
Average1.582.238.3%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Chorley 45%Draw 45%Hereford 10%

The statistical model rated Chorley at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Hereford at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.60 | 3.37 | 2.37, which imply roughly 38.5% for a Chorley win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the National League - North table: Chorley are 13th (20 pts, 24-25 goals), Hereford 2nd (29 pts, 26-12).

Over their last five matches, Chorley averaged 1.8 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; Hereford averaged 0.6 scored and 1.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Chorley or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
2.603.372.37

Double chance

1XX212
1.501.401.25

Draw no bet

12
1.911.81

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.582.23

1st half

1X2
3.142.222.90

2nd half

1X2
2.912.542.63

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 14.2513.324.0
HT X6.385.555.90
HT 225.413.33.82

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.9812.81.89

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0211.0
1.51.213.91
2.51.692.05
3.52.681.40
4.54.771.14
5.58.581.03
6.512.01.01
7.521.0–
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
0.751.018.85
11.018.70
1.251.105.06
1.751.253.29
21.313.03
2.251.502.36
2.751.861.84
32.141.61
3.252.401.48
3.753.211.26
44.201.15
4.254.551.13
58.301.02

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-0.52.561.46
-0.252.261.56
01.961.77
+0.251.682.04
+0.51.532.38
+0.751.382.78
13 more lines
LineHomeAway
-2.510.01.01
-29.001.02
-1.756.631.07
-1.55.101.12
-1.254.671.14
-14.271.17
-0.753.121.31
+11.233.62
+1.251.194.04
+1.51.164.40
+1.751.105.67
+21.028.10
+2.51.018.70

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
6.51.055.87
7.51.213.61
8.51.432.51
9.51.821.89
10.52.201.57
11.52.911.32
12.54.071.15
13.56.101.04
21 more lines
LineOverUnder
6.751.065.61
71.075.36
7.251.144.28
7.751.233.44
81.253.26
8.251.342.83
8.751.482.40
91.562.26
9.251.662.09
9.751.851.85
101.981.75
10.252.081.66
10.752.371.50
112.581.42
11.252.751.36
11.753.221.26
123.721.19
12.253.901.17
12.754.701.11
135.691.06
13.255.901.05

Latest National League - North results

7 NovAFC Telford United 2-1 Spalding United
7 NovMerthyr Town 4-1 Hebburn Town
7 NovBrackley Town 0-1 Chester
7 NovKing's Lynn Town 2-0 Spennymoor Town
7 NovScarborough Athletic 2-2 Buxton
7 NovSouth Shields 5-1 Southport