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Merthyr Town vs Morecambe• National League - North, England

#150.8:0.814:00Tomorrow2.0:1.0#19

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.45PINX3.60BFR22.60PINMargin at best7.1%Books8Markets54Rating48 · 52 levelExp. goals L52.3

Price board · 1X2captured 23 Oct 00:16 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Pinnacle2.453.512.607.8%
Betano2.423.452.608.8%
BetVictor2.383.502.559.8%
William Hill2.403.402.5011.1%
Betfair2.303.602.5011.3%
Bet3652.383.502.4511.4%
1xBet2.263.562.5311.9%
Marathonbet2.263.562.5311.9%
Best of all books2.453.602.607.1%
Average2.363.512.5310.4%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Merthyr TownMorecambe
Last 10#15Table position#191.25Points per game1.273Form pts · last 570.8Goals for · last 52.00.8Goals against · last 51.029Attack rating7156Defence rating4446Form rating540H2H rating060Goals model4048Overall rating52

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 22 Oct 06:02 UTC

Merthyr Town

2W 5D 3L · goals 9:11 · per match 0.9 for, 1.1 against

17 OctHKing's Lynn Town1-1D
10 OctADarlington 18831-1D
26 SepHMarine1-2L
22 SepATruro City0-2L
19 SepHTruro City1-1D
12 SepAScarborough Athletic0-0D
8 SepAChester1-0W
5 SepHMacclesfield2-1W
31 AugABuxton1-2L
29 AugHChorley1-1D

Morecambe

6W 1D 3L · goals 19:8 · per match 1.9 for, 0.8 against

17 OctAAFC Rushden & Diamonds1-2L
10 OctAWorksop Town1-2L
3 OctHDarlington 18833-0W
26 SepAOxford City1-1D
19 SepHSouthport2-0W
12 SepHBrackley Town3-0W
8 SepASouthport1-2L
5 SepHBuxton4-0W
31 AugAChester1-0W
28 AugHAFC Telford United2-1W

Head to head

No previous meetings between Merthyr Town and Morecambe on record.

National League - North tableNational League N/S: Northupdated 23 Oct 06:10 UTC

In the National League - North table, Merthyr Town sit 15th with 15 points from 12 games, while Morecambe are 19th with 14 points from 11.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Macclesfield1173117:9+824
2Hereford1172222:6+1623
3Oxford City1172221:7+1423
4King's Lynn Town1262422:16+620
5Chester1162314:9+520
6South Shields1162318:17+120
7Hednesford Town1253421:19+218
8Hebburn Town1253416:21-518
9Spalding United1152414:9+517
10Chorley1152418:18017
11Buxton1252520:21-117
12Bedford Town1151514:15-116
13Worksop Town1251614:19-516
14Scarborough Athletic1243518:16+215
15Merthyr Town1236314:13+115
16Marine1150613:12+115
17Harborough Town1143411:12-115
18Brackley Town1243515:23-815
19Morecambe1142515:11+414
20Radcliffe1240815:21-612
21AFC Telford United1233611:18-712
22Southport1223713:23-109
23Darlington 18831222814:24-108
24Spennymoor Town1114612:23-117

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg138%2.36X26%3.51236%2.53

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.1% margin.

1X2 since open average price

22 Oct 06:0123 Oct 02:001 2.36X 3.512 2.53
12.42 → 2.36 -2.5%X3.53 → 3.51 -0.6%22.41 → 2.53 +5.0%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Bet3651.572.356.2%
Pinnacle1.562.337.0%
Betfair1.502.408.3%
Betano1.552.278.6%
BetVictor1.542.279.0%
1xBet1.492.3010.6%
Marathonbet1.492.3010.6%
Best of all books1.572.405.4%
Average1.532.328.6%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Bet3651.502.506.7%
Betfair1.452.558.2%
1xBet1.442.568.5%
BetVictor1.442.558.7%
Marathonbet1.442.519.3%
William Hill1.442.509.4%
Betano1.452.479.5%
Best of all books1.502.565.7%
Average1.452.528.6%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Merthyr Town 35%Draw 35%Morecambe 30%

The statistical model rates Merthyr Town at 35% to win, the draw at 35% and Morecambe at 30% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.36 | 3.51 | 2.53, which imply roughly 42.4% for a Merthyr Town win versus the model's 35%.

Form context from the National League - North table: Merthyr Town are 15th (15 pts, 14-13 goals), Morecambe 19th (14 pts, 15-11).

Over their last five matches, Merthyr Town averaged 0.8 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game; Morecambe averaged 2 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Merthyr Town or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
2.363.512.53

Double chance

1XX212
1.431.511.24

Draw no bet

12
1.811.87

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.452.52

1st half

1X2
2.822.343.06

2nd half

1X2
2.572.682.83

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 13.6513.825.3
HT X5.986.106.57
HT 223.313.54.16

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.8317.61.94

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0114.5
1.51.144.68
2.51.532.32
3.52.301.53
4.53.851.20
5.56.781.06
6.510.51.02
7.517.0–
8.521.0–
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.019.70
1.751.144.30
21.183.86
2.251.362.78
2.751.642.09
31.841.84
3.252.071.66
3.752.641.40
43.201.26
4.253.511.23
4.754.801.12
56.501.05
5.256.801.04

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-0.752.721.39
-0.52.381.53
-0.252.071.68
01.791.94
+0.251.582.22
+0.51.482.52
13 more lines
LineHomeAway
-2.58.701.01
-27.901.02
-1.755.571.10
-1.54.301.17
-1.253.931.20
-13.491.25
+0.751.333.00
+11.194.03
+1.251.164.42
+1.51.134.82
+1.751.086.23
+21.028.25
+2.51.029.10

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
81.352.82
8.51.552.24
91.731.94
9.51.991.69
102.391.48

Next National League - North matches

24 OctAFC Telford United – Hebburn Town
24 OctChorley – Buxton
24 OctDarlington 1883 – Spennymoor Town
24 OctHarborough Town – Worksop Town
24 OctHednesford Town – Spalding United
24 OctMacclesfield – Hereford

All National League - North fixtures and the table

Latest National League - North results

17 OctAFC Telford United 2-1 Darlington 1883
17 OctBuxton 2-2 Worksop Town
17 OctHednesford Town 3-2 Brackley Town
17 OctSouthport 0-2 Radcliffe
17 OctMerthyr Town 1-1 King's Lynn Town
17 OctHebburn Town 0-2 Scarborough Athletic