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Buxton vs Worksop Town• National League - North, England

#101.6:2.02-2FT17/101.4:1.4#15

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.68PINX4.01PIN24.421XBMargin at best7.1%Books6Markets87Rating62 · 39Exp. goals L53.2

Price board · 1X2captured 17 Oct 06:01 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Pinnacle1.684.014.287.8%
BetVictor1.653.904.339.3%
1xBet1.613.884.4210.5%
William Hill1.673.704.2010.7%
Bet3651.653.804.1011.3%
Marathonbet1.593.884.3311.8%
Best of all books1.684.014.427.1%
Average1.643.864.2810.2%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

BuxtonWorksop Town
Last 10#10Table position#151.45Points per game1.366Form pts · last 571.6Goals for · last 51.42.0Goals against · last 51.453Attack rating4741Defence rating5940Form rating6088H2H rating1377Goals model2362Overall rating39

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 03:20 UTC

Buxton

5W 0D 5L · goals 15:17 · per match 1.5 for, 1.7 against

10 OctAKing's Lynn Town0-1L
3 OctHSouth Shields0-2L
26 SepASouth Shields0-4L
19 SepHAshton United1-0W
12 SepHChester3-1W
8 SepHBrackley Town5-0W
5 SepAMorecambe0-4L
31 AugHMerthyr Town2-1W
28 AugAOxford City3-2W
22 AugHHebburn Town1-2L

Worksop Town

4W 1D 5L · goals 15:18 · per match 1.5 for, 1.8 against

10 OctHMorecambe2-1W
3 OctHUnited of Manchester0-3L
26 SepAChester1-4L
22 SepHAFC Telford United5-2W
19 SepAAFC Telford United2-2D
12 SepHSouthport2-0W
8 SepHBedford Town1-2L
5 SepAMarine1-0W
31 AugHOxford City0-1L
29 AugASpalding United1-3L

Head to head

2Buxton wins
1draws
0Worksop Town wins

3 meetings · goals 5:2 · last 3: 2W 1D 0L for Buxton

6 Apr 2026National League - NorthNational League - NorthWorksop Town1-2Buxton
30 Dec 2025National League - NorthNational League - NorthBuxton3-1Worksop Town
16 Jul 2024Friendlies ClubsFriendlies ClubsWorksop Town0-0Buxton

National League - North tableNational League N/S: Northupdated 17 Oct 02:50 UTC

In the National League - North table, Buxton sit 10th with 16 points from 11 games, while Worksop Town are 15th with 15 points from 11.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Macclesfield1173117:9+824
2Hereford1172222:6+1623
3Oxford City1172221:7+1423
4Chester1162314:9+520
5South Shields1162318:17+120
6King's Lynn Town1161421:15+619
7Hebburn Town1153316:19-318
8Spalding United1152414:9+517
9Chorley1152418:18017
10Buxton1151518:19-116
11Bedford Town1151514:15-116
12Hednesford Town1143418:17+115
13Marine1150613:12+115
14Harborough Town1143411:12-115
15Worksop Town1150612:17-515
16Brackley Town1143413:20-715
17Morecambe1142515:11+414
18Merthyr Town1135313:12+114
19Scarborough Athletic1133516:16012
20Southport1123613:21-89
21Radcliffe1130813:21-89
22AFC Telford United112369:17-89
23Darlington 18831122713:22-98
24Spennymoor Town1114612:23-117

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg155%1.66X24%3.80221%4.26

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.1% margin.

1X2 since open average price

15 Oct 02:3016 Oct 17:501 1.64X 3.862 4.27
11.71 → 1.64 -4.1%X3.79 → 3.86 +1.8%23.93 → 4.27 +8.7%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle1.522.446.8%
Bet3651.532.387.4%
BetVictor1.522.338.7%
1xBet1.482.3310.5%
Marathonbet1.482.3310.5%
Best of all books1.532.446.3%
Average1.512.368.7%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
William Hill1.572.307.2%
Bet3651.572.258.1%
BetVictor1.502.408.3%
1xBet1.522.348.5%
Marathonbet1.522.309.3%
Best of all books1.572.405.4%
Average1.542.328.2%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Buxton 45%Draw 45%Worksop Town 10%

The statistical model rated Buxton at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Worksop Town at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.66 | 3.80 | 4.26, which imply roughly 60.2% for a Buxton win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the National League - North table: Buxton are 10th (16 pts, 18-19 goals), Worksop Town 15th (15 pts, 12-17).

Over their last five matches, Buxton averaged 1.6 goals scored and 2 conceded per game; Worksop Town averaged 1.4 scored and 1.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Buxton or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.643.864.28

Double chance

1XX212
1.172.071.19

Draw no bet

12
1.303.35

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.542.32

1st half

1X2
2.132.404.50

2nd half

1X2
1.972.754.13

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 12.3815.138.7
HT X4.676.5710.3
HT 221.015.47.33

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.5117.52.50

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0211.7
1.51.134.83
2.51.512.36
3.52.261.56
4.53.981.19
5.57.451.05
6.510.01.03
7.515.01.01
8.521.0–
14 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.019.60
1.251.056.45
1.751.144.45
21.173.94
2.251.352.85
2.751.622.13
31.801.88
3.252.031.68
3.752.601.42
43.201.26
4.253.591.21
4.754.861.12
56.701.05
5.257.101.04

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-1.52.641.42
-1.252.371.51
-12.091.67
-0.751.811.90
-0.51.662.15
-0.251.452.51
13 more lines
LineHomeAway
-3.511.01.05
-310.01.01
-2.756.401.07
-2.54.971.13
-2.254.571.15
-24.181.17
-1.753.191.29
01.283.33
+0.251.213.77
+0.51.224.15
+0.751.105.60
+11.018.90
+1.51.058.25

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
6.51.075.47
7.51.233.43
8.51.472.41
9.51.821.88
10.52.301.52
11.53.051.29
12.54.351.13
13.56.621.03
21 more lines
LineOverUnder
6.751.085.23
71.094.98
7.251.164.01
7.751.253.26
81.293.08
8.251.382.69
8.751.532.30
91.632.13
9.251.712.01
9.751.921.79
102.091.66
10.252.171.60
10.752.481.45
112.751.36
11.252.901.32
11.753.421.23
123.991.16
12.254.171.14
12.755.071.08
136.201.04
13.256.411.03

Latest National League - North results

17 OctAFC Telford United 2-1 Darlington 1883
17 OctHednesford Town 3-2 Brackley Town
17 OctSouthport 0-2 Radcliffe
17 OctMerthyr Town 1-1 King's Lynn Town
17 OctHebburn Town 0-2 Scarborough Athletic
10 OctWorksop Town 2-1 Morecambe