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Chorley vs Buxton• National League - North, England

#101.8:2.014:00Tomorrow · Victory Park, Chorley2.0:1.6#11

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.001XBX3.50B36522.22PINMargin at best6.9%Books8Markets53Rating48 · 52 levelExp. goals L53.7

Price board · 1X2captured 23 Oct 00:16 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Pinnacle2.963.452.227.8%
Betano2.823.502.229.1%
BetVictor2.903.502.159.6%
Betfair2.753.502.2010.4%
1xBet3.003.422.0810.7%
Bet3652.753.502.1511.4%
William Hill2.883.302.1511.5%
Marathonbet2.933.422.0611.9%
Best of all books3.003.502.226.9%
Average2.873.452.1510.2%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

ChorleyBuxton
Last 10#10Table position#111.55Points per game1.4210Form pts · last 541.8Goals for · last 52.02.0Goals against · last 51.647Attack rating5344Defence rating5656Form rating4420H2H rating8076Goals model2448Overall rating52

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 22 Oct 06:02 UTC

Chorley

5W 2D 3L · goals 17:15 · per match 1.7 for, 1.5 against

20 OctAWorcester City0-1L
17 OctHWorcester City1-1D
10 OctHAFC Telford United2-1W
3 OctABarton Town Old Boys4-1W
26 SepHSpalding United2-1W
19 SepARylands1-0W
12 SepAKing's Lynn Town0-2L
8 SepHDarlington 18835-2W
5 SepAOxford City0-4L
31 AugHBrackley Town2-2D

Buxton

5W 1D 4L · goals 16:17 · per match 1.6 for, 1.7 against

17 OctHWorksop Town2-2D
10 OctAKing's Lynn Town0-1L
3 OctHSouth Shields0-2L
26 SepASouth Shields0-4L
19 SepHAshton United1-0W
12 SepHChester3-1W
8 SepHBrackley Town5-0W
5 SepAMorecambe0-4L
31 AugHMerthyr Town2-1W
28 AugAOxford City3-2W

Head to head

2Chorley wins
2draws
4Buxton wins

8 meetings · goals 14:15 · last 8: 2W 2D 4L for Chorley

14 Mar 2026National League - NorthNational League - NorthChorley1-2Buxton
18 Oct 2025National League - NorthNational League - NorthBuxton3-2Chorley
18 Apr 2025National League - NorthNational League - NorthBuxton1-0Chorley
4 Feb 2025National League - NorthNational League - NorthChorley3-0Buxton
6 Apr 2024National League - NorthNational League - NorthBuxton3-1Chorley
12 Dec 2023National League - NorthNational League - NorthChorley3-2Buxton
25 Feb 2023National League - NorthNational League - NorthChorley2-2Buxton
10 Jan 2023National League - NorthNational League - NorthBuxton2-2Chorley

National League - North tableNational League N/S: Northupdated 23 Oct 06:10 UTC

In the National League - North table, Chorley sit 10th with 17 points from 11 games, while Buxton are 11th with 17 points from 12.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Macclesfield1173117:9+824
2Hereford1172222:6+1623
3Oxford City1172221:7+1423
4King's Lynn Town1262422:16+620
5Chester1162314:9+520
6South Shields1162318:17+120
7Hednesford Town1253421:19+218
8Hebburn Town1253416:21-518
9Spalding United1152414:9+517
10Chorley1152418:18017
11Buxton1252520:21-117
12Bedford Town1151514:15-116
13Worksop Town1251614:19-516
14Scarborough Athletic1243518:16+215
15Merthyr Town1236314:13+115
16Marine1150613:12+115
17Harborough Town1143411:12-115
18Brackley Town1243515:23-815
19Morecambe1142515:11+414
20Radcliffe1240815:21-612
21AFC Telford United1233611:18-712
22Southport1223713:23-109
23Darlington 18831222814:24-108
24Spennymoor Town1114612:23-117

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg132%2.87X26%3.45242%2.15

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.9% margin.

1X2 since open average price

22 Oct 06:0122 Oct 15:011 2.87X 3.452 2.15
12.80 → 2.87 +2.5%X3.44 → 3.45 +0.3%22.17 → 2.15 -0.9%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle1.742.066.0%
Bet3651.702.106.4%
Betano1.672.078.2%
Betfair1.652.108.2%
1xBet1.692.018.9%
BetVictor1.692.018.9%
Marathonbet1.692.018.9%
Best of all books1.742.105.1%
Average1.692.057.9%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Bet3651.622.207.2%
William Hill1.622.207.2%
Betfair1.572.258.1%
BetVictor1.572.258.1%
1xBet1.582.218.5%
Betano1.572.209.1%
Marathonbet1.582.179.4%
Best of all books1.622.256.2%
Average1.592.218.2%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Chorley 35%Draw 35%Buxton 30%

The statistical model rates Chorley at 35% to win, the draw at 35% and Buxton at 30% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.87 | 3.45 | 2.15, which imply roughly 34.8% for a Chorley win versus the model's 35%.

Form context from the National League - North table: Chorley are 10th (17 pts, 18-18 goals), Buxton 11th (17 pts, 20-21).

Over their last five matches, Chorley averaged 1.8 goals scored and 2 conceded per game; Buxton averaged 2 scored and 1.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Chorley or draw and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
2.873.452.15

Double chance

1XX212
1.601.341.25

Draw no bet

12
2.091.66

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.592.21

1st half

1X2
3.422.242.72

2nd half

1X2
3.122.552.47

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 14.6613.823.8
HT X7.005.705.62
HT 228.413.63.37

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
2.0913.61.77

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0311.3
1.51.194.01
2.51.692.05
3.52.681.40
4.54.781.14
5.58.031.05
6.512.01.01
7.521.0–
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.038.60
1.251.085.50
1.751.233.51
21.313.04
2.251.512.36
2.751.881.81
32.161.60
3.252.441.47
3.753.281.25
44.401.14
4.254.761.12
4.756.551.05
59.20–

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-0.52.881.40
-0.252.531.45
02.201.60
+0.251.841.87
+0.51.642.18
+0.751.472.49
12 more lines
LineHomeAway
-210.01.01
-1.758.651.01
-1.56.231.08
-1.255.801.10
-15.201.12
-0.753.601.23
+11.303.21
+1.251.243.52
+1.51.193.97
+1.751.125.18
+21.027.80
+2.51.018.70

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
81.352.82
8.51.552.24
91.731.94
9.52.001.69
102.401.48

Next National League - North matches

24 OctAFC Telford United – Hebburn Town
24 OctDarlington 1883 – Spennymoor Town
24 OctHarborough Town – Worksop Town
24 OctHednesford Town – Spalding United
24 OctMacclesfield – Hereford
24 OctMarine – Oxford City

All National League - North fixtures and the table

Latest National League - North results

17 OctAFC Telford United 2-1 Darlington 1883
17 OctBuxton 2-2 Worksop Town
17 OctHednesford Town 3-2 Brackley Town
17 OctSouthport 0-2 Radcliffe
17 OctMerthyr Town 1-1 King's Lynn Town
17 OctHebburn Town 0-2 Scarborough Athletic