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Merthyr Town vs King's Lynn Town• National League - North, England

#151.0:0.81-1FT17/102.4:0.6#4

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.40WHX3.60BFR22.72PINMargin at best6.2%Books6Markets78Rating36 · 64Exp. goals L52.4

Price board · 1X2captured 17 Oct 06:01 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Pinnacle2.353.482.747.8%
BetVictor2.303.502.709.1%
Bet3652.253.402.7010.9%
William Hill2.303.252.7011.3%
1xBet2.323.282.6211.8%
Marathonbet2.323.282.6211.8%
Best of all books2.353.502.747.6%
Average2.313.372.6810.4%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Merthyr TownKing's Lynn Town
Last 10#15Table position#41.25Points per game1.673Form pts · last 5101.0Goals for · last 52.40.8Goals against · last 50.629Attack rating7143Defence rating5740Form rating6050H2H rating5034Goals model6636Overall rating64

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 22 Oct 06:02 UTC

Merthyr Town

2W 5D 3L · goals 9:11 · per match 0.9 for, 1.1 against

17 OctHKing's Lynn Town1-1D
10 OctADarlington 18831-1D
26 SepHMarine1-2L
22 SepATruro City0-2L
19 SepHTruro City1-1D
12 SepAScarborough Athletic0-0D
8 SepAChester1-0W
5 SepHMacclesfield2-1W
31 AugABuxton1-2L
29 AugHChorley1-1D

King's Lynn Town

5W 1D 4L · goals 20:15 · per match 2.0 for, 1.5 against

17 OctAMerthyr Town1-1D
10 OctHBuxton1-0W
26 SepAAFC Telford United5-0W
19 SepABedford Town1-2L
12 SepHChorley2-0W
8 SepHHednesford Town2-3L
5 SepADarlington 18832-0W
31 AugHScarborough Athletic3-1W
29 AugAHebburn Town2-4L
22 AugHMarine1-4L

Head to head

1Merthyr Town wins
0draws
1King's Lynn Town wins

2 meetings · goals 1:4 · last 2: 1W 0D 1L for Merthyr Town

3 Jan 2026National League - NorthNational League - NorthMerthyr Town1-0King's Lynn Town
30 Aug 2025National League - NorthNational League - NorthKing's Lynn Town4-0Merthyr Town

National League - North tableNational League N/S: Northupdated 22 Oct 06:03 UTC

In the National League - North table, Merthyr Town sit 15th with 15 points from 12 games, while King's Lynn Town are 4th with 20 points from 12.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Macclesfield1173117:9+824
2Hereford1172222:6+1623
3Oxford City1172221:7+1423
4King's Lynn Town1262422:16+620
5Chester1162314:9+520
6South Shields1162318:17+120
7Hednesford Town1253421:19+218
8Hebburn Town1253416:21-518
9Spalding United1152414:9+517
10Chorley1152418:18017
11Buxton1252520:21-117
12Bedford Town1151514:15-116
13Worksop Town1251614:19-516
14Scarborough Athletic1243518:16+215
15Merthyr Town1236314:13+115
16Marine1150613:12+115
17Harborough Town1143411:12-115
18Brackley Town1243515:23-815
19Morecambe1142515:11+414
20Radcliffe1240815:21-612
21AFC Telford United1233611:18-712
22Southport1223713:23-109
23Darlington 18831222814:24-108
24Spennymoor Town1114612:23-117

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg139%2.30X27%3.38234%2.68

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.2% margin.

1X2 since open average price

15 Oct 02:3015 Oct 14:301 2.32X 3.402 2.66
12.33 → 2.32 -0.4%X3.49 → 3.40 -2.6%22.57 → 2.66 +3.5%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle1.662.186.1%
Bet3651.672.156.4%
BetVictor1.632.109.0%
1xBet1.592.1010.5%
Marathonbet1.592.1010.5%
Best of all books1.672.185.8%
Average1.632.138.5%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
William Hill1.552.386.5%
Bet3651.572.258.1%
1xBet1.502.388.7%
BetVictor1.502.388.7%
Marathonbet1.502.349.4%
Best of all books1.572.385.7%
Average1.522.358.2%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Merthyr Town 10%Draw 45%King's Lynn Town 45%

The statistical model rated Merthyr Town at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and King's Lynn Town at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.30 | 3.38 | 2.68, which imply roughly 29.6% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the National League - North table: Merthyr Town are 15th (15 pts, 14-13 goals), King's Lynn Town 4th (20 pts, 22-16).

Over their last five matches, Merthyr Town averaged 1 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game; King's Lynn Town averaged 2.4 scored and 0.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or King's Lynn Town.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
2.313.372.68

Double chance

1XX212
1.381.501.26

Draw no bet

12
1.702.05

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.522.35

1st half

1X2
2.862.253.18

2nd half

1X2
2.632.582.87

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 13.6914.027.3
HT X5.875.536.60
HT 225.014.04.31

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.8313.52.01

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0212.6
1.51.184.24
2.51.632.13
3.52.541.45
4.54.531.15
5.58.351.03
6.511.01.02
7.517.0–
14 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.029.00
1.251.085.70
1.751.193.74
21.273.28
2.251.442.50
2.751.771.91
32.001.69
3.252.251.54
3.752.921.31
43.741.19
4.254.101.16
4.755.501.08
57.501.03
5.257.501.03

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-0.752.711.40
-0.52.281.59
-0.252.011.72
01.722.01
+0.251.532.32
+0.51.422.68
12 more lines
LineHomeAway
-28.301.01
-1.755.601.10
-1.54.321.17
-1.253.901.20
-13.541.25
+0.751.293.21
+11.164.37
+1.251.134.92
+1.51.115.35
+1.751.076.80
+21.028.70
+2.51.019.70

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
6.51.075.28
7.51.243.34
8.51.482.39
9.51.811.90
10.52.321.51
11.53.111.27
12.54.511.12
13.56.921.02
21 more lines
LineOverUnder
6.751.095.04
71.104.80
7.251.173.88
7.751.273.16
81.312.98
8.251.402.62
8.751.562.25
91.632.13
9.251.741.97
9.751.951.76
102.061.70
10.252.221.58
10.752.541.43
112.841.34
11.252.991.30
11.753.541.21
124.141.15
12.254.321.13
12.755.281.08
136.491.03
13.256.711.02

Next National League - North matches

24 OctAFC Telford United – Hebburn Town
24 OctChorley – Buxton
24 OctDarlington 1883 – Spennymoor Town
24 OctHarborough Town – Worksop Town
24 OctHednesford Town – Spalding United
24 OctKing's Lynn Town – Southport

All National League - North fixtures and the table

Latest National League - North results

17 OctSouthport 0-2 Radcliffe
17 OctAFC Telford United 2-1 Darlington 1883
17 OctBuxton 2-2 Worksop Town
17 OctHednesford Town 3-2 Brackley Town
17 OctHebburn Town 0-2 Scarborough Athletic
10 OctKing's Lynn Town 1-0 Buxton