BSG Chemie Leipzig vs FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt• Regionalliga - Nordost, Germany

#141.6:1.418:00Today2.8:2.2#1

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

14.391XBX4.25PIN21.67DAFMargin at best6.2%Books6Markets53Rating34 · 66Exp. goals L54.0

Price board · 1X2captured 6 Nov 12:00 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	4.30	4.20	1.67	6.9%
Pinnacle	4.38	4.25	1.61	8.5%
Betano	4.25	4.10	1.65	8.5%
1xBet	4.39	4.05	1.58	10.8%
William Hill	4.00	3.80	1.65	11.9%
Marathonbet	4.30	4.05	1.56	12.0%
Best of all books	4.39	4.25	1.67	6.2%
Average	4.27	4.08	1.62	9.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

BSG Chemie LeipzigFC Rot-Weiß Erfurt

Last 10#14Table position#10.93Points per game2.278Form pts · last 5101.6Goals for · last 52.81.4Goals against · last 52.236Attack rating6461Defence rating3944Form rating5615H2H rating8522Goals model7834Overall rating66

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 6 Nov 06:01 UTC

BSG Chemie Leipzig

3W 4D 3L · goals 17:16 · per match 1.7 for, 1.6 against

1 Nov	A	Greifswalder FC	1-1	D
25 Oct	H	Hertha BSC II	2-0	W
17 Oct	A	Lokomotive Leipzig	2-2	D
9 Oct	H	Luckenwalde	1-3	L
27 Sep	A	Erzgebirge Aue	2-1	W
20 Sep	H	Chemnitzer FC	1-3	L
16 Sep	A	Tasmania Berlin	5-2	W
12 Sep	H	FSV Zwickau	2-2	D
28 Aug	A	Altglienicke	1-1	D
25 Aug	A	Magdeburg II	0-1	L

FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt

6W 3D 1L · goals 29:15 · per match 2.9 for, 1.5 against

1 Nov	H	SV Babelsberg 03	4-1	W
24 Oct	A	Greifswalder FC	3-2	W
16 Oct	H	FSV Zwickau	2-2	D
11 Oct	A	Chemnitzer FC	1-3	L
26 Sep	A	Lokomotive Leipzig	4-3	W
19 Sep	H	Erzgebirge Aue	2-2	D
15 Sep	A	Hertha BSC II	2-1	W
11 Sep	H	RSV Eintracht	5-0	W
29 Aug	H	BFC Preussen	1-1	D
25 Aug	A	Luckenwalde	5-0	W

Head to head

0BSG Chemie Leipzig wins

4draws

4FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt wins

8 meetings · goals 9:19 · last 8: 0W 4D 4L for BSG Chemie Leipzig

8 Mar 2026Regionalliga - Nordost	Regionalliga - Nordost	FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt2-2BSG Chemie Leipzig
16 Sep 2025Regionalliga - Nordost	Regionalliga - Nordost	BSG Chemie Leipzig0-1FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt
14 Mar 2025Regionalliga - Nordost	Regionalliga - Nordost	BSG Chemie Leipzig0-3FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt
21 Sep 2024Regionalliga - Nordost	Regionalliga - Nordost	FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt5-1BSG Chemie Leipzig
2 Feb 2024Regionalliga - Nordost	Regionalliga - Nordost	BSG Chemie Leipzig1-1Rot-weiss Erfurt
16 Aug 2023Regionalliga - Nordost	Regionalliga - Nordost	Rot-weiss Erfurt4-2BSG Chemie Leipzig
21 May 2023Regionalliga - Nordost	Regionalliga - Nordost	Rot-weiss Erfurt2-2BSG Chemie Leipzig
25 Jan 2023Regionalliga - Nordost	Regionalliga - Nordost	BSG Chemie Leipzig1-1Rot-weiss Erfurt

Regionalliga - Nordost tableRegionalliga: Nordostupdated 6 Nov 06:10 UTC

In the Regionalliga - Nordost table, BSG Chemie Leipzig sit 14th with 14 points from 15 games, while FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt are 1st with 34 points from 15.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt	15	10	4	1	46:19	+27	34
2	Chemnitzer FC	15	10	3	2	34:12	+22	33
3	Hallescher FC	15	8	6	1	23:12	+11	30
4	BFC Dynamo	15	8	5	2	24:13	+11	29
5	Altglienicke	15	8	3	4	27:20	+7	27
6	Erzgebirge Aue	15	8	3	4	24:18	+6	27
7	FC Carl Zeiss Jena	15	8	2	5	23:13	+10	26
8	Greifswalder FC	15	6	5	4	29:24	+5	23
9	Lokomotive Leipzig	15	5	6	4	30:28	+2	21
10	Magdeburg II	15	6	2	7	28:29	-1	20
11	FSV Zwickau	15	5	4	6	17:25	-8	19
12	SV Babelsberg 03	15	4	4	7	16:27	-11	16
13	BFC Preussen	15	3	5	7	19:22	-3	14
14	BSG Chemie Leipzig	15	3	5	7	18:23	-5	14
15	Hertha BSC II	15	2	5	8	11:26	-15	11
16	Tasmania Berlin	15	3	2	10	24:43	-19	11
17	RSV Eintracht	15	2	3	10	15:34	-19	9
18	Luckenwalde	15	2	1	12	15:35	-20	7

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg121%4.27X22%4.08256%1.62

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.2% margin.

1X2 since open average price

16.04 → 4.27 -29.3%X4.75 → 4.08 -14.1%21.36 → 1.62 +19.1%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.45	2.59	7.6%
Betano	1.47	2.45	8.8%
1xBet	1.42	2.49	10.6%
Marathonbet	1.42	2.49	10.6%
Best of all books	1.47	2.59	6.6%
Average	1.44	2.50	9.4%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	1.50	2.45	7.5%
Betano	1.52	2.32	8.9%
1xBet	1.48	2.41	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.48	2.36	9.9%
Best of all books	1.52	2.45	6.6%
Average	1.50	2.38	8.8%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

BSG Chemie Leipzig 10%Draw 45%FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt 45%

The statistical model rates BSG Chemie Leipzig at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 4.27 | 4.08 | 1.62, which imply roughly 24.5% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Regionalliga - Nordost table: BSG Chemie Leipzig are 14th (14 pts, 18-23 goals), FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt 1st (34 pts, 46-19).

Over their last five matches, BSG Chemie Leipzig averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt averaged 2.8 scored and 2.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : draw or FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
4.27	4.08	1.62

Double chance

1X	X2	12
2.12	1.16	1.18

Draw no bet

1	2
3.22	1.30

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.50	2.39

1st half

1	X	2
4.37	2.46	2.07

2nd half

1	X	2
4.11	2.85	1.91

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	7.33	14.9	18.6
HT X	10.4	6.97	4.60
HT 2	33.7	14.5	2.31

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.57	19.8	1.47

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	15.5
1.5	1.12	4.92
2.5	1.44	2.51
3.5	2.12	1.64
4.5	3.34	1.25
5.5	5.80	1.08

12 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1.75	1.12	4.65
2	1.15	4.25
2.25	1.29	3.06
2.75	1.54	2.28
3	1.69	2.02
3.25	1.90	1.79
3.75	2.39	1.48
4	2.87	1.34
4.25	3.09	1.28
4.75	4.15	1.16
5	5.40	1.09
5.25	5.70	1.08

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
+0.25	2.59	1.41
+0.5	2.26	1.58
+0.75	1.97	1.72
+1	1.74	1.98
+1.25	1.56	2.21
+1.5	1.46	2.45

12 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	8.50	1.01
-1	7.80	1.02
-0.75	5.30	1.09
-0.25	3.74	1.19
0	3.33	1.26
+1.75	1.33	2.90
+2	1.20	3.72
+2.25	1.16	4.05
+2.5	1.14	4.40
+2.75	1.08	5.45
+3	1.03	7.60
+3.5	1.02	8.20

Next Regionalliga - Nordost matches

6 Nov	FC Carl Zeiss Jena – BFC Preussen
6 Nov	Altglienicke – Tasmania Berlin
6 Nov	Hallescher FC – Luckenwalde
7 Nov	SV Babelsberg 03 – BFC Dynamo
7 Nov	Chemnitzer FC – Greifswalder FC
8 Nov	Hertha BSC II – Magdeburg II

All Regionalliga - Nordost fixtures and the table

Latest Regionalliga - Nordost results

1 Nov	Greifswalder FC 1-1 BSG Chemie Leipzig
1 Nov	FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt 4-1 SV Babelsberg 03
31 Oct	Erzgebirge Aue 1-0 FC Carl Zeiss Jena
31 Oct	BFC Preussen 3-0 FSV Zwickau
31 Oct	Magdeburg II 1-1 Hallescher FC
30 Oct	BFC Dynamo 2-0 RSV Eintracht