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Tamworth vs Sutton Utd• National League, England

#201.4:2.82-0FT30/09 · The Lamb Ground, Tamworth1.2:2.0#16

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.34PINX4.001XB22.91PINMargin at best2.1%Books8Markets48Rating47 · 53 levelExp. goals L53.7

Price board · 1X2captured 27 Sep 02:15 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Pinnacle2.313.622.816.5%
Betano2.353.502.826.6%
Bet3652.253.602.709.3%
BetVictor2.253.502.759.4%
William Hill2.253.402.7510.2%
1xBet2.223.422.7510.6%
Betfair2.203.602.6311.3%
Marathonbet2.203.422.6911.9%
Best of all books2.353.622.825.6%
Average2.253.512.749.4%

Best price per column is highlighted. These prices were captured 3 days before kickoff and were not refreshed later; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

TamworthSutton Utd
Last 10#20Table position#161.08Points per game1.299Form pts · last 571.4Goals for · last 51.22.8Goals against · last 52.054Attack rating4642Defence rating5844Form rating5650H2H rating5044Goals model5647Overall rating53

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 23 Oct 00:02 UTC

Tamworth

4W 0D 6L · goals 12:19 · per match 1.2 for, 1.9 against

17 OctACarlisle1-2L
10 OctHBarrow1-2L
6 OctHLeeds United U211-0W
3 OctAHartlepool1-0W
30 SepHSutton Utd2-0W
26 SepAAldershot Town1-5L
19 SepHWealdstone2-1W
15 SepASouthend1-3L
12 SepAHarrogate Town1-3L
9 SepHMiddlesbrough U211-3L

Sutton Utd

3W 4D 3L · goals 12:15 · per match 1.2 for, 1.5 against

17 OctHTruro City1-0W
13 OctHWest Bromwich Albion U213-2W
9 OctHBoreham Wood0-2L
3 OctAKidderminster Harriers1-1D
30 SepATamworth0-2L
26 SepHForest Green3-3D
19 SepAFC Halifax Town1-1D
15 SepHEastleigh2-1W
12 SepHScunthorpe0-2L
8 SepHBirmingham City U211-1D

Head to head

2Tamworth wins
1draws
2Sutton Utd wins

5 meetings · goals 6:6 · last 5: 2W 1D 2L for Tamworth

24 Jan 2026National LeagueNational LeagueTamworth0-1Sutton Utd
13 Sep 2025National LeagueNational LeagueSutton Utd2-3Tamworth
7 Jan 2025FA TrophyFA TrophySutton Utd1-0Tamworth
21 Dec 2024National LeagueNational LeagueSutton Utd1-2Tamworth
10 Aug 2024National LeagueNational LeagueTamworth1-1Sutton Utd

National League tableConferenceupdated 24 Oct 19:50 UTC

In the National League table, Tamworth sit 20th with 14 points from 13 games, while Sutton Utd are 16th with 18 points from 14.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Boreham Wood14122038:13+2538
2Harrogate Town14101332:18+1431
3Southend1484233:21+1228
4Worthing1483329:19+1027
5Altrincham1490522:20+227
6Yeovil Town1474333:17+1625
7AFC Fylde1472524:22+223
8FC Halifax Town1463524:17+721
9Barrow1363422:16+621
10AFC Hornchurch1470716:21-521
11Carlisle1455425:21+420
12Kidderminster Harriers1455416:14+220
13Woking1453623:22+118
14Aldershot Town1453618:17+118
15Eastleigh1453618:22-418
16Sutton Utd1453615:21-618
17Forest Green1243519:22-315
18Wealdstone1443718:24-615
19Hartlepool1450914:20-615
20Tamworth1342721:30-914
21Boston United1433817:27-1012
22Scunthorpe1331917:24-710
23Solihull Moors14211114:37-237
24Gateshead1311118:31-234

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg141%2.23X26%3.56233%2.76

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 2.1% margin.

1X2 since open average price

27 Sep 03:0130 Sep 09:511 2.22X 3.582 2.77
12.25 → 2.22 -1.3%X3.51 → 3.58 +2.0%22.74 → 2.77 +1.1%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Betano1.622.275.8%
Pinnacle1.552.406.2%
Bet3651.702.106.4%
BetVictor1.582.199.0%
1xBet1.542.279.0%
Marathonbet1.542.279.0%
Best of all books1.702.400.5%
Average1.592.257.4%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Bet3651.622.207.2%
Betano1.502.428.0%
William Hill1.572.258.1%
1xBet1.472.478.5%
BetVictor1.472.458.8%
Marathonbet1.472.429.3%
Best of all books1.622.472.2%
Average1.522.378.2%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Tamworth 33%Draw 33%Sutton Utd 33%

The statistical model rated Tamworth at 33% to win, the draw at 33% and Sutton Utd at 33% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.23 | 3.56 | 2.76, which imply roughly 44.8% for a Tamworth win versus the model's 33%.

Form context from the National League table: Tamworth are 20th (14 pts, 21-30 goals), Sutton Utd 16th (18 pts, 15-21).

Over their last five matches, Tamworth averaged 1.4 goals scored and 2.8 conceded per game; Sutton Utd averaged 1.2 scored and 2 conceded.

Statistical advice: No predictions available.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
2.253.512.74

Double chance

1XX212
1.391.571.26

Draw no bet

12
1.722.03

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.522.37

1st half

1X2
2.772.313.26

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.8214.42.01

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0311.9
1.51.174.43
2.51.592.25
3.52.421.50
4.54.241.19
5.58.201.05
6.517.41.02
7.550.5–
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.019.55
1.251.066.00
1.751.174.00
21.243.40
2.251.442.58
2.751.692.04
31.881.81
3.252.131.64
3.752.691.38
43.341.24
4.253.591.21
4.754.851.11
56.501.05

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-0.752.631.43
-0.52.281.60
-0.251.971.76
01.702.05
+0.251.522.37
+0.51.442.74
14 more lines
LineHomeAway
-3.513.01.01
-2.58.031.03
-27.101.04
-1.755.251.11
-1.54.041.19
-1.253.741.23
-13.361.27
+0.751.293.25
+11.164.39
+1.251.144.83
+1.51.125.30
+1.751.056.55
+21.029.10
+2.51.0210.0

Next National League matches

27 OctBoston United – Gateshead
27 OctAFC Fylde – Hartlepool
27 OctAFC Hornchurch – Yeovil Town

All National League fixtures and the table

Latest National League results

24 OctKidderminster Harriers 1-2 Worthing
24 OctYeovil Town 1-2 Altrincham
24 OctAldershot Town 0-1 Wealdstone
24 OctBoreham Wood 4-0 AFC Fylde
24 OctScunthorpe 2-3 Woking
24 OctHartlepool 2-1 AFC Hornchurch