Hartlepool vs AFC Hornchurch• National League, England

#201.2:2.214:00Today · Victoria Park, Hartlepool1.0:1.4#9

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.07BTNX3.70PIN23.44PINMargin at best4.4%Books10Markets84Rating45 · 55Exp. goals L52.9

Price board · 1X2captured 24 Oct 06:01 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	2.03	3.72	3.46	5.0%
Betano	2.10	3.45	3.30	6.9%
Dafabet	2.04	3.55	3.35	7.0%
BetVictor	1.95	3.50	3.40	9.3%
Bet365	2.05	3.40	3.20	9.4%
William Hill	2.00	3.40	3.30	9.7%
1xBet	1.96	3.38	3.34	10.5%
Betfair	1.95	3.50	3.25	10.6%
Marathonbet	1.94	3.38	3.26	11.8%
SBO	1.98	3.10	3.11	14.9%
Best of all books	2.10	3.72	3.46	3.4%
Average	2.00	3.44	3.30	9.4%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

HartlepoolAFC Hornchurch

Last 10#20Table position#90.92Points per game1.623Form pts · last 5101.2Goals for · last 51.02.2Goals against · last 51.455Attack rating4539Defence rating6125Form rating750H2H rating062Goals model3845Overall rating55

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 24 Oct 00:12 UTC

Hartlepool

1W 0D 9L · goals 8:20 · per match 0.8 for, 2.0 against

17 Oct	H	Marine	0-2	L
13 Oct	H	Newcastle United U21	1-2	L
10 Oct	A	Forest Green	4-2	W
3 Oct	H	Tamworth	0-1	L
29 Sep	H	Harrogate Town	0-1	L
26 Sep	A	Scunthorpe	1-4	L
19 Sep	H	Worthing	1-3	L
16 Sep	A	Altrincham	1-2	L
11 Sep	A	Kidderminster Harriers	0-2	L
8 Sep	H	Everton U21	0-1	L

AFC Hornchurch

5W 1D 4L · goals 13:12 · per match 1.3 for, 1.2 against

17 Oct	A	Uxbridge	4-0	W
10 Oct	H	Eastleigh	2-0	W
6 Oct	H	Fulham U21	1-1	D
3 Oct	A	Harrogate Town	0-3	L
29 Sep	H	Aldershot Town	2-1	W
26 Sep	A	Altrincham	0-3	L
19 Sep	H	Scunthorpe	1-0	W
15 Sep	A	Worthing	0-1	L
12 Sep	A	FC Halifax Town	0-3	L
8 Sep	H	Ipswich Town U21	3-0	W

Head to head

No previous meetings between Hartlepool and AFC Hornchurch on record.

National League tableConferenceupdated 24 Oct 00:31 UTC

In the National League table, Hartlepool sit 20th with 12 points from 13 games, while AFC Hornchurch are 9th with 21 points from 13.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Boreham Wood	13	11	2	0	34:13	+21	35
2	Harrogate Town	13	9	1	3	29:17	+12	28
3	Southend	13	8	3	2	31:19	+12	27
4	Yeovil Town	13	7	4	2	32:15	+17	25
5	Worthing	13	7	3	3	27:18	+9	24
6	Altrincham	13	8	0	5	20:19	+1	24
7	AFC Fylde	13	7	2	4	24:18	+6	23
8	Barrow	13	6	3	4	22:16	+6	21
9	AFC Hornchurch	13	7	0	6	15:19	-4	21
10	FC Halifax Town	13	6	2	5	22:15	+7	20
11	Kidderminster Harriers	13	5	5	3	15:12	+3	20
12	Aldershot Town	13	5	3	5	18:16	+2	18
13	Sutton Utd	13	5	3	5	14:18	-4	18
14	Carlisle	13	4	5	4	23:20	+3	17
15	Woking	13	4	3	6	20:20	0	15
16	Forest Green	12	4	3	5	19:22	-3	15
17	Eastleigh	13	4	3	6	14:20	-6	15
18	Tamworth	13	4	2	7	21:30	-9	14
19	Wealdstone	13	3	3	7	17:24	-7	12
20	Hartlepool	13	4	0	9	12:19	-7	12
21	Boston United	13	3	3	7	15:23	-8	12
22	Scunthorpe	12	3	1	8	15:21	-6	10
23	Solihull Moors	13	2	1	10	13:35	-22	7
24	Gateshead	13	1	1	11	8:31	-23	4

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg146%2.00X27%3.46228%3.33

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.4% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.19 → 2.00 -8.7%X3.36 → 3.46 +3.0%22.94 → 3.33 +13.3%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.81	2.03	4.5%
Bet365	1.80	2.00	5.6%
SBO	1.80	1.98	6.1%
Betano	1.78	2.00	6.2%
Betfair	1.75	1.95	8.4%
BetVictor	1.76	1.92	8.9%
1xBet	1.74	1.94	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.74	1.94	9.0%
Best of all books	1.81	2.03	4.5%
Average	1.77	1.97	7.2%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	1.62	2.20	7.2%
Bet365	1.67	2.10	7.5%
Betano	1.65	2.12	7.8%
Betfair	1.65	2.10	8.2%
BetVictor	1.65	2.10	8.2%
1xBet	1.63	2.12	8.5%
Marathonbet	1.63	2.09	9.2%
Best of all books	1.67	2.20	5.3%
Average	1.64	2.12	8.1%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Hartlepool 10%Draw 45%AFC Hornchurch 45%

The statistical model rates Hartlepool at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and AFC Hornchurch at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.00 | 3.46 | 3.33, which imply roughly 28.9% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the National League table: Hartlepool are 20th (12 pts, 12-19 goals), AFC Hornchurch 9th (21 pts, 15-19).

Over their last five matches, Hartlepool averaged 1.2 goals scored and 2.2 conceded per game; AFC Hornchurch averaged 1 scored and 1.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or AFC Hornchurch.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.00	3.44	3.30

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.28	1.73	1.26

Draw no bet

1	2
1.48	2.49

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.64	2.12

1st half

1	X	2
2.59	2.20	3.82

2nd half

1	X	2
2.34	2.51	3.49

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.14	13.7	31.8
HT X	5.05	5.52	7.61
HT 2	22.9	14.2	5.57

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.74	12.5	2.19

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	10.7
1.5	1.23	3.78
2.5	1.77	1.97
3.5	2.93	1.35
4.5	5.48	1.12
5.5	11.1	1.03
6.5	21.2	1.01
7.5	50.5	–

12 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.04	7.90
1.25	1.10	5.20
1.75	1.27	3.21
2	1.35	2.88
2.25	1.56	2.28
2.75	1.95	1.75
3	2.30	1.55
3.25	2.59	1.43
3.75	3.43	1.23
4	4.70	1.12
4.25	5.05	1.10
4.75	7.00	1.04

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1	2.87	1.36
-0.75	2.28	1.56
-0.5	2.00	1.79
-0.25	1.71	2.02
0	1.47	2.52
+0.25	1.37	2.86

14 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	13.0	1.01
-2.5	7.93	1.03
-2.25	7.27	1.05
-2	6.93	1.06
-1.75	4.63	1.14
-1.5	3.65	1.24
-1.25	3.28	1.30
+0.5	1.31	3.44
+0.75	1.19	4.14
+1	1.08	6.43
+1.25	1.06	6.93
+1.5	1.07	6.93
+1.75	1.01	8.40
+2.5	1.02	13.0

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
6.5	1.05	5.82
7.5	1.23	3.58
8.5	1.44	2.56
9.5	1.78	1.95
10.5	2.27	1.57
11.5	2.88	1.36
12.5	3.93	1.19
13.5	6.16	1.04
14.5	7.24	1.01

24 more lines

Line	Over	Under
6.75	1.06	5.56
7	1.07	5.31
7.25	1.14	4.24
7.75	1.23	3.42
8	1.26	3.24
8.25	1.35	2.81
8.75	1.49	2.39
9	1.56	2.28
9.25	1.66	2.08
9.75	1.86	1.84
10	2.01	1.73
10.25	2.09	1.65
10.75	2.38	1.49
11	2.57	1.44
11.25	2.77	1.36
11.75	3.25	1.25
12	3.75	1.19
12.25	3.92	1.17
12.75	4.74	1.10
13	5.75	1.06
13.25	5.95	1.05
13.75	5.65	1.06
14	6.95	1.02
14.25	7.03	1.02

Next National League matches

24 Oct	Eastleigh – Boston United
24 Oct	Harrogate Town – Sutton Utd
24 Oct	Scunthorpe – Woking
24 Oct	Aldershot Town – Wealdstone
24 Oct	Barrow – Forest Green
24 Oct	Boreham Wood – AFC Fylde

All National League fixtures and the table

Latest National League results

10 Oct	Forest Green 2-4 Hartlepool
10 Oct	Boston United 1-2 Southend
10 Oct	Woking 0-1 Harrogate Town
10 Oct	AFC Fylde 2-0 Scunthorpe
10 Oct	Tamworth 1-2 Barrow
10 Oct	AFC Hornchurch 2-0 Eastleigh